Passing
FLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA offense
- #19
- TEX defense
- #20
EPA comparison
0.43
#19
0.00
#20
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
FLA 23.7%76.3% TEX
- Projected margin
- TEX by 11.1
- Projected total
- 54
- 80% outcome range
- FLA 8 to TEX 30
- Win probability
- TEX 76.3%
Current team profiles
Florida
TexasWhen Florida has the ball
Rushing
TEX defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA offense
- #35
- TEX defense
- #22
EPA comparison
0.19
#35
-0.09
#22
Rush EPA
Drive success
TEX defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA offense
- #30
- TEX defense
- #25
Success rates
48%
#30
35%
#25
Success rate
More metrics
0.28
#22
-0.05
#23
EPA / play
1.23
#71
1.04
#7
Explosiveness
12%
#29
21%
#10
Havoc
When Texas has the ball
Passing
TEX offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA defense
- #98
- TEX offense
- #60
EPA comparison
0.25
#98
0.26
#60
Pass EPA
Rushing
FLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA defense
- #63
- TEX offense
- #93
EPA comparison
0.03
#63
0.04
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
TEX offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA defense
- #83
- TEX offense
- #69
Success rates
42%
#83
44%
#69
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#82
0.08
#96
EPA / play
1.25
#85
1.18
#97
Explosiveness
18%
#30
17%
#110
Havoc
Current key players
FloridaQBAaron Philo
1114 yds · 8 TD · 2 INT
80.170/729
LBKJ Ford
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 96.1
- Coverage
- 44.6
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 12
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
90.112/1796
WRJustin Williams
2 rec · 21 yds · 0 TD
89.49/2069
RBJadan Baugh
613 yds · 11 TD · 6.5 YPC
88.617/1044
WRVernell Brown III
17 rec · 271 yds · 2 TD
87.814/2069
TEMicah Jones
1 rec · 6 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 68.8
- Run blocking
- 76.0
- Penalties
- 0
83.715/1017
Availability reports · 6
- Kelvin Jimenez · RBout · 2026-09-05
Jimenez is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Davian Groce · WRout · 2026-09-07
Groce is sidelined with a back injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- V. Brown III · WRQues. · 2026-10-05
Brown III is nursing a knee injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against South Carolina on Saturday.
- Eric Singleton Jr. · WRprobable · 2026-09-28
Singleton Jr is dealing with an ankle injury, but he is expected to be active against Missouri on Saturday.
- London Montgomery · RBprobable · 2026-10-09
Montgomery is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but he is likely to suit up against the South Carolina on Sunday.
- Bailey Stockton · WRprobable · 2026-10-02
Stockton is dealing with a back injury, and he is likely to be available against Missouri on Saturday, 3rd October.
TexasQBArch Manning
865 yds · 7 TD · 3 INT
74.8113/729
WRSterling Berkhalter
3 rec · 34 yds · 0 TD
83.729/2069
DBJelani McDonald
26 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.2
- Coverage
- 73.5
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 56
- Passer rating allowed
- 118.2
- Missed tackles
- 3
76.3149/2969
RBHollywood Smothers
198 yds · 2 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.1147/1044
DBGraceson Littleton
14 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.1
- Coverage
- 75.0
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 75
- Passer rating allowed
- 59.2
- Missed tackles
- 3
76.0161/2969
WRCam Coleman
11 rec · 194 yds · 4 TD
70.5246/2069
Availability reports · 4
- Trevor Goosby · OGQues. · 2026-10-11
Goosby is dealing with a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will suit up against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Zion Williams · DLQues. · 2026-10-11
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Kaliq Lockett · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Lockett is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
- Daylan McCutcheon · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
McCutcheon is ailing from an illness, and it is unclear if he will play against Gators on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
FLAFlorida
TEXTexas
vs
Offense
80.1
#56 of 138
QB
Quarterback
74.8
#83 of 138
85.5
#9 of 138
RB
Running backs
74.0
#82 of 138
84.5
#1 of 138
WR
Receivers
74.5
#37 of 138
83.7
#15 of 138
TE
Tight ends
63.2
#103 of 138
73.7
#23 of 138
OL
Offensive line
76.6
#10 of 138
Defense
82.7
#5 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.9
#24 of 138
81.7
#12 of 138
LB
Linebackers
66.3
#127 of 138
70.3
#91 of 138
DB
Secondary
70.6
#89 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Florida
opponent
Texas
Aaway-28.0
MIZMissouri#15+2.6Aaway
Hhome+24.0
MISSOle Miss#14+8.0Hhome
Hhome-0.6
OUOklahoma#19-3.0Nneutral