Passing
FLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA offense
- #19
- AUB defense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.43
#19
0.07
#41
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
FLA 35.5%64.5% AUB
- Projected margin
- AUB by 5.9
- Projected total
- 47
- 80% outcome range
- FLA 10 to AUB 27
- Win probability
- AUB 64.5%
FinalFLA 44 · AUB 39model had +5.9, off by 10.9
Current team profiles
Florida
AuburnWhen Florida has the ball
Rushing
FLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA offense
- #35
- AUB defense
- #73
EPA comparison
0.19
#35
0.05
#73
Rush EPA
Drive success
FLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA offense
- #30
- AUB defense
- #50
Success rates
48%
#30
38%
#50
Success rate
More metrics
0.28
#22
0.01
#44
EPA / play
1.23
#71
1.18
#45
Explosiveness
12%
#29
17%
#57
Havoc
When Auburn has the ball
Passing
FLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA defense
- #98
- AUB offense
- #119
EPA comparison
0.25
#98
0.04
#119
Pass EPA
Rushing
AUB offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA defense
- #63
- AUB offense
- #39
EPA comparison
0.03
#63
0.18
#39
Rush EPA
Drive success
FLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FLA defense
- #83
- AUB offense
- #86
Success rates
42%
#83
42%
#86
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#82
0.07
#98
EPA / play
1.25
#85
1.26
#55
Explosiveness
18%
#30
16%
#102
Havoc
Current key players
FloridaQBAaron Philo
1114 yds · 8 TD · 2 INT
80.170/729
LBKJ Ford
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 96.1
- Coverage
- 44.6
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 12
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
90.112/1796
WRJustin Williams
2 rec · 21 yds · 0 TD
89.49/2069
RBJadan Baugh
613 yds · 11 TD · 6.5 YPC
88.617/1044
WRVernell Brown III
17 rec · 271 yds · 2 TD
87.814/2069
TEMicah Jones
1 rec · 6 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 68.8
- Run blocking
- 76.0
- Penalties
- 0
83.715/1017
Availability reports · 6
- Kelvin Jimenez · RBout · 2026-09-05
Jimenez is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Davian Groce · WRout · 2026-09-07
Groce is sidelined with a back injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- V. Brown III · WRQues. · 2026-10-05
Brown III is nursing a knee injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against South Carolina on Saturday.
- Eric Singleton Jr. · WRprobable · 2026-09-28
Singleton Jr is dealing with an ankle injury, but he is expected to be active against Missouri on Saturday.
- London Montgomery · RBprobable · 2026-10-09
Montgomery is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but he is likely to suit up against the South Carolina on Sunday.
- Bailey Stockton · WRprobable · 2026-10-02
Stockton is dealing with a back injury, and he is likely to be available against Missouri on Saturday, 3rd October.
AuburnQBByrum Brown
1052 yds · 7 TD · 7 INT
83.056/729
LBMichael Matthews-Canty
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.3
- Coverage
- 72.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.447/1796
RBOmar Mabson II
213 yds · 1 TD · 6.5 YPC
77.0133/1044
LBXavier Atkins
37 tkl · 7.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.8
- Coverage
- 55.6
- Pressures
- 19
- Pass-rush snaps
- 57
- Missed tackles
- 10
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.1180/1796
SSylvester Smith-Reed
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.1
- Coverage
- 72.2
- Targets allowed
- 12
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 48
- Passer rating allowed
- 32.6
- Missed tackles
- 2
72.5302/2969
WRKeshaun Singleton
29 rec · 322 yds · 1 TD
71.2220/2069
Availability reports · 2
- Nykahi Davenport · RBout · 2026-09-20
Davenport is managing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no time table for his return.
- Hunter Herring · TEQues. · 2026-09-20
Herring is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be available against Commodores on Saturday, September 26th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
FLAFlorida
AUBAuburn
vs
Offense
80.1
#56 of 138
QB
Quarterback
83.0
#49 of 138
85.5
#9 of 138
RB
Running backs
73.9
#83 of 138
84.5
#1 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.1
#106 of 138
83.7
#15 of 138
TE
Tight ends
63.5
#100 of 138
73.7
#23 of 138
OL
Offensive line
63.8
#105 of 138
Defense
82.7
#5 of 138
DL
Defensive line
69.2
#115 of 138
81.7
#12 of 138
LB
Linebackers
78.2
#35 of 138
70.3
#91 of 138
DB
Secondary
66.7
#131 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Florida
opponent
Auburn
Hhome+24.0
MISSOle Miss#14-6.4Aaway
Nneutral-12.6
UGAGeorgia#6-15.9Aaway
Hhome+4.0
VANVanderbilt#58+6.0Hhome