Passing
MISS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MISS offense
- #15
- FLA defense
- #98
EPA comparison
0.45
#15
0.25
#98
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MISS 40.3%59.7% FLA
- Projected margin
- FLA by 3.2
- Projected total
- 59
- 80% outcome range
- MISS 16 to FLA 23
- Win probability
- FLA 59.7%
FinalMISS 28 · FLA 52model had +3.2, off by 20.8
Current team profiles
Ole Miss
FloridaWhen Ole Miss has the ball
Rushing
MISS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MISS offense
- #42
- FLA defense
- #63
EPA comparison
0.17
#42
0.03
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
MISS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MISS offense
- #4
- FLA defense
- #83
Success rates
53%
#4
42%
#83
Success rate
More metrics
0.27
#26
0.09
#82
EPA / play
1.13
#115
1.25
#85
Explosiveness
13%
#37
18%
#30
Havoc
When Florida has the ball
Passing
FLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MISS defense
- #98
- FLA offense
- #19
EPA comparison
0.25
#98
0.43
#19
Pass EPA
Rushing
FLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MISS defense
- #102
- FLA offense
- #35
EPA comparison
0.13
#102
0.19
#35
Rush EPA
Drive success
FLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MISS defense
- #114
- FLA offense
- #30
Success rates
45%
#114
48%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#105
0.28
#22
EPA / play
1.17
#42
1.23
#71
Explosiveness
16%
#65
12%
#29
Havoc
Current key players
Ole MissQBTrinidad Chambliss
1222 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
85.044/729
TECaleb Odom
13 rec · 201 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 74.8
- Run blocking
- 70.3
- Penalties
- 1
79.427/1017
WRDeuce Alexander
27 rec · 429 yds · 4 TD
78.567/2069
WRDillon Alfred
1 rec · 34 yds · 0 TD
77.185/2069
RBKewan Lacy
191 yds · 4 TD · 4.9 YPC
76.0150/1044
CBDorian Barney
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.4
- Coverage
- 72.2
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
73.5256/2969
Availability reports · 1
- Izaiah Hartrup · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Hartrup is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.
FloridaQBAaron Philo
1114 yds · 8 TD · 2 INT
80.170/729
LBKJ Ford
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 96.1
- Coverage
- 44.6
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 12
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
90.112/1796
WRJustin Williams
2 rec · 21 yds · 0 TD
89.49/2069
RBJadan Baugh
613 yds · 11 TD · 6.5 YPC
88.617/1044
WRVernell Brown III
17 rec · 271 yds · 2 TD
87.814/2069
TEMicah Jones
1 rec · 6 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 68.8
- Run blocking
- 76.0
- Penalties
- 0
83.715/1017
Availability reports · 6
- Kelvin Jimenez · RBout · 2026-09-05
Jimenez is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Davian Groce · WRout · 2026-09-07
Groce is sidelined with a back injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- V. Brown III · WRQues. · 2026-10-05
Brown III is nursing a knee injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against South Carolina on Saturday.
- Eric Singleton Jr. · WRprobable · 2026-09-28
Singleton Jr is dealing with an ankle injury, but he is expected to be active against Missouri on Saturday.
- London Montgomery · RBprobable · 2026-10-09
Montgomery is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but he is likely to suit up against the South Carolina on Sunday.
- Bailey Stockton · WRprobable · 2026-10-02
Stockton is dealing with a back injury, and he is likely to be available against Missouri on Saturday, 3rd October.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MISSOle Miss
FLAFlorida
vs
Offense
85.0
#40 of 138
QB
Quarterback
80.1
#56 of 138
70.9
#114 of 138
RB
Running backs
85.5
#9 of 138
77.1
#25 of 138
WR
Receivers
84.5
#1 of 138
79.4
#26 of 138
TE
Tight ends
83.7
#15 of 138
64.5
#100 of 138
OL
Offensive line
73.7
#23 of 138
Defense
73.0
#71 of 138
DL
Defensive line
82.7
#5 of 138
71.2
#94 of 138
LB
Linebackers
81.7
#12 of 138
69.9
#99 of 138
DB
Secondary
70.3
#91 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Ole Miss
opponent
Florida
Aaway+35.0
VANVanderbilt#58+4.0Hhome
Hhome+2.5
MIZMissouri#15-28.0Aaway
Hhome-6.9
UGAGeorgia#6-12.6Nneutral
Aaway-8.0
TEXTexas#7-11.1Aaway
Aaway-2.9
OUOklahoma#19-0.6Hhome
Hhome+6.4
AUBAuburn#42+5.0Aaway