CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
TA&M 48.4%51.6% OU
Projected margin
OU by 0.6
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
TA&M 18 to OU 19
Win probability
OU 51.6%

Current team profiles

Texas A&M
Oklahoma

When Texas A&M has the ball

Passing

OU defense
Higher-ranked profile
TA&M offense
#125
OU defense
#12
EPA comparison
-0.01
#125
-0.07
#12
Pass EPA

Rushing

OU defense
Higher-ranked profile
TA&M offense
#70
OU defense
#26
EPA comparison
0.11
#70
-0.08
#26
Rush EPA

Drive success

OU defense
Higher-ranked profile
TA&M offense
#91
OU defense
#2
Success rates
42%
#91
32%
#2
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#109
-0.16
#3
EPA / play
1.08
#130
1.27
#89
Explosiveness
15%
#77
21%
#14
Havoc

When Oklahoma has the ball

Passing

Same rank
TA&M defense
#55
OU offense
#55
EPA comparison
0.10
#55
0.27
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

TA&M defense
Higher-ranked profile
TA&M defense
#37
OU offense
#138
EPA comparison
-0.03
#37
-0.24
#138
Rush EPA

Drive success

TA&M defense
Higher-ranked profile
TA&M defense
#44
OU offense
#119
Success rates
37%
#44
38%
#119
Success rate
More metrics
0.00
#39
-0.04
#129
EPA / play
1.28
#96
1.06
#132
Explosiveness
17%
#43
17%
#114
Havoc

Current key players

Texas A&M
QBMarcel Reed
908 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
59.6301/729
RBKJ Edwards
181 yds · 2 TD · 6.5 YPC
89.910/1044
TEKiotti Armstrong
2 rec · 62 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.7
Run blocking
70.0
Penalties
1
82.020/1017
LBTamarion Watkins
7 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.2
Coverage
65.7
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
5
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.4129/1796
WRMario Craver
23 rec · 235 yds · 2 TD
73.9150/2069
LBDaymion Sanford
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.8
Coverage
63.5
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
71.1326/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Terry Bussey · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Bussey is tending to an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Tiger Riden Jr. · RBout · 2026-08-27

    Riden Jr. has suffered an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Madden Williams · WRout · 2026-09-06

    Williams has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Blake Ivy · OGQues. · 2026-10-10

    Ivy is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Citadel on Saturday.

Oklahoma
QBWhitt Newbauer
6 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
65.3214/729
DBPeyton Bowen
17 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
81.1
Coverage
83.7
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
2
84.925/2969
LBDane Bathurst
5 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.9
Coverage
63.9
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
82.560/1796
TETrynae Washington
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
67.4
Run blocking
81.4
Penalties
0
79.229/1017
WRIsaiah Sategna III
20 rec · 267 yds · 2 TD
75.7115/2069
DBEli Bowen
12 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
89.3
Coverage
64.2
Targets allowed
21
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
124
Passer rating allowed
58.4
Missed tackles
1
70.5412/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Trell Harris · WRout · 2026-09-15

    Harris sustained a back injury, and there is no timetable for return.

  • Jer'Michael Carter · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Carter is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jack Van Dorselaer · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Dorselaer is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

TA&M
OU
vs
Offense
59.6
#134 of 138
QB
65.3
#119 of 138
80.2
#36 of 138
RB
67.2
#134 of 138
67.6
#114 of 138
WR
68.7
#99 of 138
82.0
#20 of 138
TE
79.2
#27 of 138
71.7
#42 of 138
OL
73.3
#25 of 138
Defense
80.7
#13 of 138
DL
77.6
#30 of 138
72.8
#80 of 138
LB
73.7
#74 of 138
66.8
#128 of 138
DB
71.9
#72 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Texas A&M
opponent
Oklahoma
H-10.0
UK#40
+12.0H
A-21.0
MIZ#15
-2.5A
H-0.4
TEX#7
+3.0N
A+5.4
SC#38
+8.6H