Passing
MICH offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MICH offense
- #74
- RUTG defense
- #128
EPA comparison
0.21
#74
0.38
#128
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
MICH 70.7%29.3% RUTG
- Projected margin
- MICH by 8.5
- Projected total
- 54
- 80% outcome range
- MICH 27 to RUTG 10
- Win probability
- MICH 70.7%
Current team profiles
Michigan
RutgersWhen Michigan has the ball
Rushing
MICH offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MICH offense
- #93
- RUTG defense
- #122
EPA comparison
0.04
#93
0.19
#122
Rush EPA
Drive success
MICH offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MICH offense
- #83
- RUTG defense
- #124
Success rates
42%
#83
46%
#124
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#93
0.23
#127
EPA / play
1.15
#109
1.24
#78
Explosiveness
16%
#102
12%
#125
Havoc
When Rutgers has the ball
Passing
MICH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MICH defense
- #6
- RUTG offense
- #41
EPA comparison
-0.11
#6
0.32
#41
Pass EPA
Rushing
MICH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MICH defense
- #12
- RUTG offense
- #121
EPA comparison
-0.14
#12
-0.03
#121
Rush EPA
Drive success
MICH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MICH defense
- #7
- RUTG offense
- #56
Success rates
33%
#7
45%
#56
Success rate
More metrics
-0.12
#6
0.11
#86
EPA / play
1.14
#30
1.34
#18
Explosiveness
17%
#49
15%
#79
Havoc
Current key players
MichiganQBTommy Carr
23 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
91.111/729
WRJJ Buchanan
24 rec · 446 yds · 4 TD
87.417/2069
LBNathaniel Staehling
25 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.3
- Coverage
- 71.7
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 18
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 0
81.963/1796
CBJyaire Hill
25 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.0
- Coverage
- 81.3
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 69
- Passer rating allowed
- 73.7
- Missed tackles
- 4
78.583/2969
LBMax Alford
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.5
- Coverage
- 61.6
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.3130/1796
SJacob Oden
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.2
- Coverage
- 71.0
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- -3
- Passer rating allowed
- 79.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.8201/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Andrew Sprague · OGout · 2026-09-26
Sprague is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday.
- John Henry Daley · DLQues. · 2026-09-28
Daley is dealing with a lower body injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Minnesota on Tuesday.
- Logan Forbes · WRQues. · 2026-09-20
Forbes is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Iowa on Saturday.
RutgersQBAJ Surace
475 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
65.6208/729
TEKam Anthony
2 rec · 22 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 76.6
- Run blocking
- 77.5
- Penalties
- 0
90.22/1017
WRKJ Duff
33 rec · 628 yds · 7 TD
87.416/2069
RBAntwan Raymond
469 yds · 4 TD · 5.3 YPC
74.8179/1044
DBKaj Sanders
12 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.3
- Coverage
- 70.6
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 23
- Passer rating allowed
- 89.6
- Missed tackles
- 2
72.6297/2969
DBDK Gilley
19 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.7
- Coverage
- 72.0
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 12
- Passer rating allowed
- 91.7
- Missed tackles
- 3
72.3314/2969
Availability reports · 5
- Kevin Levy · CBout · 2026-09-17
Levy is battling with an undisclsoed injury, and he will be out of the lineup against USC on Saturday.
- Dylan Lonergan · QBout · 2026-10-04
Lonergan is dealing with an head injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Antwan Raymond · RBQues. · 2026-09-30
Raymond is dealing with undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be available Saturday against the Indiana.
- Famah Toure · WRQues. · 2026-09-11
Toure is nursing with a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the USC on Saturday, September 19th.
- Dino Kaliakmanis · WRQues. · 2026-09-26
Kaliakmanis is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to suit up against USC on Sunday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MICHMichigan
RUTGRutgers
vs
Offense
91.1
#10 of 138
QB
Quarterback
65.6
#118 of 138
67.4
#132 of 138
RB
Running backs
72.3
#104 of 138
72.0
#59 of 138
WR
Receivers
71.5
#69 of 138
62.1
#105 of 138
TE
Tight ends
90.2
#2 of 138
73.6
#24 of 138
OL
Offensive line
75.6
#14 of 138
Defense
80.6
#14 of 138
DL
Defensive line
71.5
#91 of 138
78.0
#36 of 138
LB
Linebackers
65.5
#133 of 138
74.6
#39 of 138
DB
Secondary
69.5
#105 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Michigan
opponent
Rutgers
Hhome-9.6
IUIndiana#5-32.0Hhome
Hhome-3.0
PSUPenn State#43-19.5Aaway
Hhome+12.3
MSUMichigan State#62+1.2Hhome