CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 3:30 PM ET
#152Away
UTEP
1-1 · AVR 45.0
17
Final
#27Home
Michigan
2-0 · AVR 70.6
52
Forecast win probability
UTEP 1.6%98.4% MICH
Projected margin
MICH by 31.4
Projected total
48
80% outcome range
MICH 13 to MICH 51
Win probability
MICH 98.4%
FinalUTEP 17 · MICH 52model had +31.4, off by 3.6

Current team profiles

UTEP
Michigan

When UTEP has the ball

Passing

MICH defense
Higher-ranked profile
UTEP offense
#136
MICH defense
#6
EPA comparison
-0.18
#136
-0.11
#6
Pass EPA

Rushing

MICH defense
Higher-ranked profile
UTEP offense
#132
MICH defense
#12
EPA comparison
-0.10
#132
-0.14
#12
Rush EPA

Drive success

MICH defense
Higher-ranked profile
UTEP offense
#135
MICH defense
#7
Success rates
33%
#135
33%
#7
Success rate
More metrics
-0.18
#138
-0.12
#6
EPA / play
1.28
#39
1.14
#30
Explosiveness
23%
#137
17%
#49
Havoc

When Michigan has the ball

Passing

MICH offense
Higher-ranked profile
UTEP defense
#137
MICH offense
#74
EPA comparison
0.48
#137
0.21
#74
Pass EPA

Rushing

MICH offense
Higher-ranked profile
UTEP defense
#107
MICH offense
#93
EPA comparison
0.14
#107
0.04
#93
Rush EPA

Drive success

MICH offense
Higher-ranked profile
UTEP defense
#127
MICH offense
#83
Success rates
47%
#127
42%
#83
Success rate
More metrics
0.24
#128
0.09
#93
EPA / play
1.22
#71
1.15
#109
Explosiveness
13%
#117
16%
#102
Havoc

Current key players

UTEP
QBEJ Colson Jr.
541 yds · 7 TD · 3 INT
60.2270/729
SKane White-Tinsley
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
78.1
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
78.780/2969
CBTJ Tillman
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.0
Coverage
76.0
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
10
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
0
76.7141/2969
CBDecorian Thompson
13 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.6
Coverage
73.5
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
32
Passer rating allowed
68.8
Missed tackles
1
73.8243/2969
LBVashon Brunswick II
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.9
Coverage
61.7
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
70.0370/1796
LBGarrett Hawkins
20 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
86.3
Coverage
50.9
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
27
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
69.9374/1796
Availability reports · 3
  • EJ Colson Jr. · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Colson Jr. is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against Spartans on Saturday, October 17th.

  • CJ Simon · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Simon is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against Spartans on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Mason Ferguson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ferguson is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Spartans on Saturday, October 17th.

Michigan
QBTommy Carr
23 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
91.111/729
WRJJ Buchanan
24 rec · 446 yds · 4 TD
87.417/2069
LBNathaniel Staehling
25 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
84.3
Coverage
71.7
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
18
Missed tackles
5
Forced fumbles
0
81.963/1796
CBJyaire Hill
25 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.0
Coverage
81.3
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
69
Passer rating allowed
73.7
Missed tackles
4
78.583/2969
LBMax Alford
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.5
Coverage
61.6
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.3130/1796
SJacob Oden
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.2
Coverage
71.0
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
-3
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
74.8201/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Andrew Sprague · OGout · 2026-09-26

    Sprague is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday.

  • John Henry Daley · DLQues. · 2026-09-28

    Daley is dealing with a lower body injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Minnesota on Tuesday.

  • Logan Forbes · WRQues. · 2026-09-20

    Forbes is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Iowa on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UTEP
MICH
vs
Offense
60.2
#131 of 138
QB
91.1
#10 of 138
63.0
#138 of 138
RB
67.4
#132 of 138
68.3
#103 of 138
WR
72.0
#59 of 138
60.0
#121 of 138
TE
62.1
#105 of 138
63.8
#106 of 138
OL
73.6
#24 of 138
Defense
71.2
#94 of 138
DL
80.6
#14 of 138
69.3
#108 of 138
LB
78.0
#36 of 138
74.1
#44 of 138
DB
74.6
#39 of 138
Common opponents