Passing
MICH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WMU offense
- #92
- MICH defense
- #6
EPA comparison
0.13
#92
-0.11
#6
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
WMU 12.4%87.6% MICH
- Projected margin
- MICH by 18.5
- Projected total
- 46
- 80% outcome range
- WMU 2 to MICH 39
- Win probability
- MICH 87.6%
FinalWMU 12 · MICH 13model had +18.5, off by 17.5
Current team profiles
Western MichiganMichiganWhen Western Michigan has the ball
Rushing
MICH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WMU offense
- #51
- MICH defense
- #12
EPA comparison
0.15
#51
-0.14
#12
Rush EPA
Drive success
MICH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WMU offense
- #85
- MICH defense
- #7
Success rates
42%
#85
33%
#7
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#73
-0.12
#6
EPA / play
1.15
#108
1.14
#30
Explosiveness
13%
#42
17%
#49
Havoc
When Michigan has the ball
Passing
WMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WMU defense
- #65
- MICH offense
- #74
EPA comparison
0.12
#65
0.21
#74
Pass EPA
Rushing
WMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WMU defense
- #47
- MICH offense
- #93
EPA comparison
0.00
#47
0.04
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
MICH offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WMU defense
- #105
- MICH offense
- #83
Success rates
44%
#105
42%
#83
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#64
0.09
#93
EPA / play
1.08
#16
1.15
#109
Explosiveness
13%
#109
16%
#102
Havoc
Current key players
Western MichiganQBTrey Petty
54 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
90.815/729
LBJustyce Betts
35 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 87.8
- Coverage
- 78.1
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
88.121/1796
WRAveion Chenault
18 rec · 272 yds · 1 TD
82.240/2069
LBDillon Moore
28 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.1
- Coverage
- 68.3
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 18
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 2
80.775/1796
RBJalen Buckley
287 yds · 5 TD · 4.6 YPC
77.6122/1044
TENate Levicki
8 rec · 112 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 63.6
- Run blocking
- 68.3
- Penalties
- 0
75.545/1017
Availability reports · 1
- Michael Dersa · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Dersa is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Chippewas on Saturday, October 17th.
MichiganQBTommy Carr
23 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
91.111/729
WRJJ Buchanan
24 rec · 446 yds · 4 TD
87.417/2069
LBNathaniel Staehling
25 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.3
- Coverage
- 71.7
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 18
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 0
81.963/1796
CBJyaire Hill
25 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.0
- Coverage
- 81.3
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 69
- Passer rating allowed
- 73.7
- Missed tackles
- 4
78.583/2969
LBMax Alford
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.5
- Coverage
- 61.6
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.3130/1796
SJacob Oden
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.2
- Coverage
- 71.0
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- -3
- Passer rating allowed
- 79.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.8201/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Andrew Sprague · OGout · 2026-09-26
Sprague is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday.
- John Henry Daley · DLQues. · 2026-09-28
Daley is dealing with a lower body injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Minnesota on Tuesday.
- Logan Forbes · WRQues. · 2026-09-20
Forbes is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Iowa on Saturday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
WMUWestern Michigan
MICHMichigan
vs
Offense
90.8
#15 of 138
QB
Quarterback
91.1
#10 of 138
68.5
#126 of 138
RB
Running backs
67.4
#132 of 138
69.5
#88 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.0
#59 of 138
75.5
#36 of 138
TE
Tight ends
62.1
#105 of 138
60.3
#131 of 138
OL
Offensive line
73.6
#24 of 138
Defense
77.6
#28 of 138
DL
Defensive line
80.6
#14 of 138
78.8
#28 of 138
LB
Linebackers
78.0
#36 of 138
68.9
#112 of 138
DB
Secondary
74.6
#39 of 138