Passing
BOIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BOIS offense
- #18
- ORE defense
- #34
EPA comparison
0.44
#18
0.05
#34
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
BOIS 4.5%95.5% ORE
- Projected margin
- ORE by 27.1
- Projected total
- 53
- 80% outcome range
- ORE 7 to ORE 48
- Win probability
- ORE 95.5%
FinalBOIS 27 · ORE 34model had +27.1, off by 20.1
Current team profiles
Boise State
OregonWhen Boise State has the ball
Rushing
BOIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BOIS offense
- #25
- ORE defense
- #34
EPA comparison
0.22
#25
-0.04
#34
Rush EPA
Drive success
BOIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BOIS offense
- #26
- ORE defense
- #37
Success rates
49%
#26
37%
#37
Success rate
More metrics
0.32
#10
-0.03
#32
EPA / play
1.22
#75
1.21
#69
Explosiveness
9%
#5
16%
#62
Havoc
When Oregon has the ball
Passing
ORE offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BOIS defense
- #55
- ORE offense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.10
#55
0.32
#41
Pass EPA
Rushing
BOIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BOIS defense
- #93
- ORE offense
- #100
EPA comparison
0.10
#93
0.03
#100
Rush EPA
Drive success
BOIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BOIS defense
- #40
- ORE offense
- #60
Success rates
37%
#40
44%
#60
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#64
0.17
#61
EPA / play
1.62
#138
1.32
#26
Explosiveness
18%
#31
14%
#67
Havoc
Current key players
Boise StateQBMaddux Madsen
1058 yds · 11 TD · 0 INT
90.616/729
TEMatt Wagner
17 rec · 196 yds · 4 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 66.9
- Run blocking
- 75.5
- Penalties
- 0
88.17/1017
RBSire Gaines
234 yds · 2 TD · 5.2 YPC
79.295/1044
LBMax Stege
9 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 72.3
- Coverage
- 59.9
- Pressures
- 18
- Pass-rush snaps
- 132
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
76.1156/1796
LBJayden Virgin-Morgan
11 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.8
- Coverage
- 63.1
- Pressures
- 13
- Pass-rush snaps
- 115
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.1181/1796
WRRasean Jones
23 rec · 359 yds · 1 TD
75.0125/2069
Availability reports · 2
- Rasean Jones · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Jones is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against Cougars on Saturday, October 24th.
- Cam Bates · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Bates is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against Cougars on Saturday, October 24th.
OregonQBDylan Raiola
413 yds · 5 TD · 0 INT
85.836/729
LBNasir Wyatt
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 64.7
- Coverage
- 61.2
- Pressures
- 10
- Pass-rush snaps
- 50
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
91.56/1796
LBDevon Jackson
23 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.3
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 11
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
83.553/1796
RBDierre Hill Jr.
184 yds · 3 TD · 4.4 YPC
82.752/1044
WRMessiah Hampton
14 rec · 142 yds · 2 TD
80.651/2069
TEKendre Harrison
4 rec · 53 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 71.5
- Run blocking
- 65.8
- Penalties
- 0
79.826/1017
Availability reports · 5
- Jeremiah McClellan · WRout · 2026-09-21
McClellan is sidelined due to a foot injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Iverson Hooks · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Hooks is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.
- D. Moore · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Moore is dealing with a concussion injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.
- Dillon Gresham · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Gresham is hampered by a neck injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17t
- Simeon Price · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Price is nursing due to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October
Position units
Position-unit comparison
BOISBoise State
OREOregon
vs
Offense
90.6
#18 of 138
QB
Quarterback
85.8
#34 of 138
79.0
#39 of 138
RB
Running backs
81.3
#27 of 138
71.5
#67 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.9
#49 of 138
88.1
#7 of 138
TE
Tight ends
79.8
#25 of 138
70.2
#53 of 138
OL
Offensive line
73.7
#22 of 138
Defense
68.0
#122 of 138
DL
Defensive line
75.9
#47 of 138
74.8
#62 of 138
LB
Linebackers
84.4
#7 of 138
69.3
#107 of 138
DB
Secondary
73.2
#55 of 138