AVRCFB Model
All rankings
Pac-12

Boise State

Broncos0-02nd in Pac-12
Albertsons Stadium · Boise, ID · 36,387
Rank —
60
Rating
51.0
TeamAverage roster
OffenseUnproven
DefenseUnprovenweak point: defensive line, 133rd

The season ahead

11 games scheduled

Schedule

11 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
at#2Oregon
1%
Sep 59-44p›
2
vs#63Memphis
61%
Sep 1231-28p›
3
vsSouth Dakota
98%
Sep 2043-16p›
4
at#84Western Michigan
53%
Sep 2628-27p›
5
vs#92Utah State
75%
Oct 335-26p›
6
at#87Fresno StateMilk Can
56%
Oct 1130-28p›
8
at#85Washington State
56%
Oct 2429-27p›
9
vs#59Texas State
58%
Nov 132-29p›
10
at#129Colorado State
82%
Nov 735-22p›
11
vs#122Oregon State
89%
Nov 1437-21p›
12
vs#64San Diego State
59%
Nov 2229-26p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#5769
Talent
#6367
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB70th
RB15th
WR69th
TE67th
OL42nd
DL133rd
LB65th
DB43rd

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named7 ratedavg 58.62025 ratings
X59.0
B. Ford
WR · SR123rd
LT59.5
R. Carreon
OL · SR108th
LG—
D. Metoyer
OL · SR
C—
J. Steele
OL · JR
RG—
S. Taufa
OL · FR
RT—
T. Ethridge
OL · SR
TE53.5
M. Wagner
TE · JR103rd
SL49.9
Q. Brown
WR · SO314th
Z51.1
C. Bates
WR · JR282nd
QB58.2
M. Madsen
QB · SR75th
RB79.1
D. Riley
RB · JR27th

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Maddux MadsenSR
58.2
75th QB
RB
Dylan RileyJR
79.1
27th RB
WR
Ben FordSR
59.0
123rd WR
WR
Cameron BatesJR
51.1
282nd WR
TE
Matt WagnerJR
53.5
103rd TE
Defense
LB
Jayden Virgin-MorganSR
72.5
120th LB
LB
Boen PhelpsJR
64.3
222nd LB
DB
Jaden MickeySR
76.9
127th DB
DB
Sherrod SmithJR
71.1
210th DB
DB
JeRico Washington Jr.JR
71.0
211th DB

Injury report

1 starters
questionable
B. FordWR
08-11
questionable
Jake RippLBstarter
08-23

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

1%–8% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W12
vs#64San Diego State
2% lose8% win
±2.0
likely move
in odds
59% to win
W9
vs#59Texas State
2% lose8% win
±1.9
likely move
in odds
58% to win
W8
at#85Washington State
2% lose8% win
±1.7
likely move
in odds
56% to win
W6
at#87Fresno State
2% lose8% win
±1.6
likely move
in odds
56% to win
W4
at#84Western Michigan
3% lose8% win
±1.3
likely move
in odds
54% to win
W5
vs#92Utah State
2% lose7% win
±1.2
likely move
in odds
73% to win
W2
vs#63Memphis
3% lose8% win
±1.1
likely move
in odds
60% to win
W10
at#129Colorado State
2% lose7% win
±0.8
likely move
in odds
81% to win