Passing
MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM offense
- #5
- BOIS defense
- #55
EPA comparison
0.56
#5
0.10
#55
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 6:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MEM 36.4%63.6% BOIS
- Projected margin
- BOIS by 6.0
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- MEM 14 to BOIS 28
- Win probability
- BOIS 63.6%
FinalMEM 20 · BOIS 38model had +6.0, off by 12.0
Current team profiles
Memphis
Boise StateWhen Memphis has the ball
Rushing
MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM offense
- #25
- BOIS defense
- #93
EPA comparison
0.22
#25
0.10
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
MEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM offense
- #17
- BOIS defense
- #40
Success rates
50%
#17
37%
#40
Success rate
More metrics
0.28
#22
0.06
#64
EPA / play
1.26
#50
1.62
#138
Explosiveness
11%
#14
18%
#31
Havoc
When Boise State has the ball
Passing
BOIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM defense
- #26
- BOIS offense
- #18
EPA comparison
0.01
#26
0.44
#18
Pass EPA
Rushing
BOIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM defense
- #119
- BOIS offense
- #25
EPA comparison
0.16
#119
0.22
#25
Rush EPA
Drive success
BOIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MEM defense
- #62
- BOIS offense
- #26
Success rates
40%
#62
49%
#26
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#72
0.32
#10
EPA / play
1.35
#117
1.22
#75
Explosiveness
17%
#57
9%
#5
Havoc
Current key players
MemphisQBMarcus Stokes
1371 yds · 14 TD · 3 INT
85.441/729
RBDallan Hayden
172 yds · 1 TD · 6.4 YPC
88.616/1044
LBTylon Nash
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.1
- Coverage
- 73.9
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.348/1796
TEHunter Tipton
19 rec · 367 yds · 5 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 54.9
- Run blocking
- 44.5
- Penalties
- 0
77.338/1017
CBEllis Ellis Jr.
9 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.5
- Coverage
- 72.4
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 43
- Passer rating allowed
- 73.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
76.4147/2969
WRJermane Hayes
22 rec · 242 yds · 2 TD
74.8130/2069
Boise StateQBMaddux Madsen
1058 yds · 11 TD · 0 INT
90.616/729
TEMatt Wagner
17 rec · 196 yds · 4 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 66.9
- Run blocking
- 75.5
- Penalties
- 0
88.17/1017
RBSire Gaines
234 yds · 2 TD · 5.2 YPC
79.295/1044
LBMax Stege
9 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 72.3
- Coverage
- 59.9
- Pressures
- 18
- Pass-rush snaps
- 132
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
76.1156/1796
LBJayden Virgin-Morgan
11 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.8
- Coverage
- 63.1
- Pressures
- 13
- Pass-rush snaps
- 115
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.1181/1796
WRRasean Jones
23 rec · 359 yds · 1 TD
75.0125/2069
Availability reports · 2
- Rasean Jones · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Jones is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against Cougars on Saturday, October 24th.
- Cam Bates · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Bates is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against Cougars on Saturday, October 24th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MEMMemphis
BOISBoise State
vs
Offense
85.4
#38 of 138
QB
Quarterback
90.6
#18 of 138
87.3
#5 of 138
RB
Running backs
79.0
#39 of 138
68.2
#104 of 138
WR
Receivers
71.5
#67 of 138
77.3
#32 of 138
TE
Tight ends
88.1
#7 of 138
67.2
#75 of 138
OL
Offensive line
70.2
#53 of 138
Defense
69.7
#111 of 138
DL
Defensive line
68.0
#122 of 138
75.3
#57 of 138
LB
Linebackers
74.8
#62 of 138
70.9
#83 of 138
DB
Secondary
69.3
#107 of 138