CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 6:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
BOIS 72.9%27.1% WSU
Projected margin
BOIS by 9.6
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
BOIS 28 to WSU 9
Win probability
BOIS 72.9%

Current team profiles

Boise State
Washington State

When Boise State has the ball

Passing

BOIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
BOIS offense
#18
WSU defense
#52
EPA comparison
0.44
#18
0.09
#52
Pass EPA

Rushing

BOIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
BOIS offense
#25
WSU defense
#52
EPA comparison
0.22
#25
0.01
#52
Rush EPA

Drive success

BOIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
BOIS offense
#26
WSU defense
#55
Success rates
49%
#26
39%
#55
Success rate
More metrics
0.32
#10
0.01
#45
EPA / play
1.22
#75
1.24
#77
Explosiveness
9%
#5
14%
#107
Havoc

When Washington State has the ball

Passing

BOIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
BOIS defense
#55
WSU offense
#134
EPA comparison
0.10
#55
-0.12
#134
Pass EPA

Rushing

BOIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
BOIS defense
#93
WSU offense
#123
EPA comparison
0.10
#93
-0.07
#123
Rush EPA

Drive success

BOIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
BOIS defense
#40
WSU offense
#137
Success rates
37%
#40
33%
#137
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#64
-0.11
#133
EPA / play
1.62
#138
1.22
#81
Explosiveness
18%
#31
20%
#135
Havoc

Current key players

Boise State
QBMaddux Madsen
1058 yds · 11 TD · 0 INT
90.616/729
TEMatt Wagner
17 rec · 196 yds · 4 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
66.9
Run blocking
75.5
Penalties
0
88.17/1017
RBSire Gaines
234 yds · 2 TD · 5.2 YPC
79.295/1044
LBMax Stege
9 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
72.3
Coverage
59.9
Pressures
18
Pass-rush snaps
132
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
76.1156/1796
LBJayden Virgin-Morgan
11 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.8
Coverage
63.1
Pressures
13
Pass-rush snaps
115
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
75.1181/1796
WRRasean Jones
23 rec · 359 yds · 1 TD
75.0125/2069
Availability reports · 2
  • Rasean Jones · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Jones is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against Cougars on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Cam Bates · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bates is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against Cougars on Saturday, October 24th.

Washington State
QBCaden Pinnick
796 yds · 3 TD · 5 INT
62.5244/729
LBIsaiah Hung
23 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.9
Coverage
77.0
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
78.7102/1796
STrey Ridley
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.5
Coverage
77.0
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
5
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
77.6105/2969
LBGage Jones
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.7
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.3283/1796
WRTank Hawkins
10 rec · 79 yds · 0 TD
72.2192/2069
RBMaxwell Woods
188 yds · 0 TD · 5.7 YPC
71.6268/1044
Availability reports · 4
  • Tony Freeman · WRout · 2026-09-14

    Freeman has been shut down for the remainder of the season with a torn ACL.

  • Hudson Cedarland · TEout · 2026-08-23

    Cedarland is bothered by a leg injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • CJ Toney · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Toney is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Beavers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Ryan McKendry · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    McKendry is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will take the field against the Beavers on Saturday, Oc

Position units

Position-unit comparison

BOIS
WSU
vs
Offense
90.6
#18 of 138
QB
62.5
#127 of 138
79.0
#39 of 138
RB
68.2
#128 of 138
71.5
#67 of 138
WR
68.0
#109 of 138
88.1
#7 of 138
TE
63.9
#97 of 138
70.2
#53 of 138
OL
60.9
#129 of 138
Defense
68.0
#122 of 138
DL
73.1
#70 of 138
74.8
#62 of 138
LB
73.9
#72 of 138
69.3
#107 of 138
DB
67.8
#119 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Boise State
opponent
Washington State
A+7.0
FRES#69
-20.0H
H+19.0
USU#97
-1.0A
H+16.0
ORST#44
-1.6A
H+10.2
SDSU#104
-7.4A
H+13.1
TXST#55
-4.4A
A+13.8
CSU#118
+6.9H