CFB
Model
All rankings
Pac-12

San Diego State

Aztecs2-47th in Pac-12
Snapdragon Stadium · San Diego, CA · 35,000
TeamOvermatched
OffenseStuck in the mud · poorweak point: staying on schedule, 135th
DefenseBend-don't-break · weak · stout against the runweak point: getting off the field, 130th

The season

Best win
W 31-29 vs #55 Texas State
Wk 5 · Oct 3 · won as a 39% underdog
Worst loss
L 16-41 @ #80 Toledo
Wk 4 · Sep 26 · model had 23%

Schedule

model 5/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsPortland State
    W 53–20
    Win chance >99%Model margin +45.7Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    atUCLA
    L 10–28
    Win chance 19%Model margin -11.9Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    vsJames Madison
    L 13–26
    Win chance 38%Model margin -4.2Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    atToledo
    L 16–41
    Win chance 23%Model margin -10.0Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    vsTexas State
    W 31–29
    Win chance 39%Model margin -3.9Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 10
    atOregon State
    L 14–66
    Win chance 21%Model margin -11.1Game details
  7. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsFresno State
    Win chance 56%Model margin +2.0Game details
  8. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atColorado State
    Win chance 68%Model margin +6.3Game details
  9. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsWashington State
    Win chance 71%Model margin +7.4Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 15
    vsUtah State
    Win chance 71%Model margin +7.6Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 22
    atBoise State
    Win chance 23%Model margin -10.2Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
5
#138 of 138
Defense efficiency
13
#123 of 138
Efficiency
#136-0.12
EPA / play
#1040.15
#135-0.14
Pass
#1130.32
#126-0.08
Rush
#560.02
#13533%
Success
#13048%
Big plays & havoc
#1221.12
Explosive
#151.08
#9816%
Havoc
#12812%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB84th
RB105th
WR68th
TE51st
OL48th
DL84th
LB113th
DB90th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Stone SaundersFR
20 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
74.8
116th QB
RB
Javion KinnardSO
312 yds · 1 TD · 5.6 YPC
72.7
236th RB
WR
Daishaun DavisFR
3 rec · 42 yds · 0 TD
72.3
188th WR
WR
Justius LoweSR
2 rec · 56 yds · 1 TD
71.6
207th WR
TE
Jack LuaFR
1 rec · 10 yds · 0 TD
71.9
69th TE
Defense
LB
Sione HalaSR
45 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
74.1
211th LB
LB
Cameron CooperJR
21 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
71.9
292nd LB
CB
Mike LindsaySO
13 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
75.4
182nd DB
CB
Jelani WhitmoreSR
10 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
71.4
355th DB
S
Isaiah GreenSO
7 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
70.1
442nd DB

Injury report

8 listed
Ques.
Nathan AcevedoWR

Acevedo is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.

70.610-11
Ques.
Lucky SuttonRB

Sutton is dealing with an ankle injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.

68.410-11
Ques.
Jackson FordTE

Ford is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.

56.810-11
Ques.
Donovan BrownWR

Brown is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.

53.110-11
Ques.
Ryan WolferTE

Wolfer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.

51.910-11
Ques.
Aldrich DoeWR

Aldrich has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, Octob

64.5202510-11
Ques.
Jack EllisTE

Ellis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.

—10-11
Ques.
Parker GuiltinanTE

Guiltinan is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.

—10-11

Past seasons

Year by year
+5.4 points since 2022
304355688055.5202247.9202345.9202460.92025
2022 55.52023 47.92024 45.92025 60.9

2025

9-3
D-I rank
#66
Rating
60.9
Listed games · 12
WLWWWWWWLWWL
296 pts scored151 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Stony BrookW 42–0
  2. W2 at Washington StateL 13–36
  3. W4 vs CaliforniaW 34–0
  4. W5 at Northern IllinoisW 6–3
  5. W6 vs Colorado StateW 45–24
  6. W7 at NevadaW 44–10
  7. W9 at Fresno StateW 23–0
  8. W10 vs WyomingW 24–7
  9. W11 at Hawai'iL 6–38
  10. W12 vs Boise StateW 17–7
  11. W13 vs San José StateW 25–3
  12. W14 at New MexicoL 17–23

2024

3-9
D-I rank
#142
Rating
45.9
Listed games · 12
WLLLWWLLLLLL
256 pts scored355 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs East Texas A&MW 45–14
  2. W2 vs Oregon StateL 0–21
  3. W3 at CaliforniaL 10–31
  4. W5 at Central MichiganL 21–22
  5. W6 vs Hawai'iW 27–24
  6. W7 at WyomingW 27–24
  7. W9 vs Washington StateL 26–29
  8. W10 at Boise StateL 24–56
  9. W11 vs New MexicoL 16–21
  10. W12 at UNLVL 20–41
  11. W13 at Utah StateL 20–41
  12. W14 vs Air ForceL 20–31

2023

4-8
D-I rank
#139
Rating
47.9
Listed games · 12
WWLLLLWLLLLW
246 pts scored321 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs OhioW 20–13
  2. W1 vs Idaho StateW 36–28
  3. W2 vs UCLAL 10–35
  4. W3 at Oregon StateL 9–26
  5. W4 vs Boise StateL 31–34
  6. W5 at Air ForceL 10–49
  7. W7 at Hawai'iW 41–34
  8. W8 vs NevadaL 0–6
  9. W10 vs Utah StateL 24–32
  10. W11 at Colorado StateL 19–22
  11. W12 at San José StateL 13–24
  12. W13 vs Fresno StateW 33–18

2022

7-5
D-I rank
#94
Rating
55.5
Listed games · 12
LWLWLWWLWWWL
256 pts scored242 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs ArizonaL 20–38
  2. W2 vs Idaho StateW 38–7
  3. W3 at UtahL 7–35
  4. W4 vs ToledoW 17–14
  5. W5 at Boise StateL 13–35
  6. W6 vs Hawai'iW 16–14
  7. W8 at NevadaW 23–7
  8. W9 at Fresno StateL 28–32
  9. W10 vs UNLVW 14–10
  10. W11 vs San José StateW 43–27
  11. W12 at New MexicoW 34–10
  12. W13 vs Air ForceL 3–13