Passing
JMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- JMU offense
- #22
- SDSU defense
- #113
EPA comparison
0.42
#22
0.32
#113
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 10:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
JMU 62.1%37.9% SDSU
- Projected margin
- JMU by 4.2
- Projected total
- 49
- 80% outcome range
- JMU 24 to SDSU 16
- Win probability
- JMU 62.1%
FinalJMU 26 · SDSU 13model had -4.2, off by 8.8
Current team profiles
James Madison
San Diego StateWhen James Madison has the ball
Rushing
JMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- JMU offense
- #28
- SDSU defense
- #56
EPA comparison
0.21
#28
0.02
#56
Rush EPA
Drive success
JMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- JMU offense
- #37
- SDSU defense
- #130
Success rates
48%
#37
48%
#130
Success rate
More metrics
0.29
#20
0.15
#104
EPA / play
1.24
#65
1.08
#15
Explosiveness
10%
#13
12%
#128
Havoc
When San Diego State has the ball
Passing
JMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- JMU defense
- #41
- SDSU offense
- #135
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
-0.14
#135
Pass EPA
Rushing
JMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- JMU defense
- #22
- SDSU offense
- #126
EPA comparison
-0.09
#22
-0.08
#126
Rush EPA
Drive success
JMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- JMU defense
- #22
- SDSU offense
- #135
Success rates
35%
#22
33%
#135
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#22
-0.12
#136
EPA / play
1.29
#100
1.12
#122
Explosiveness
17%
#59
16%
#98
Havoc
Current key players
James MadisonQBArrington Maiden
111 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
81.763/729
SJayon Harvey
34 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.1
- Coverage
- 79.6
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 55
- Passer rating allowed
- 98.7
- Missed tackles
- 4
81.247/2969
LBJT Hooten
27 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.6
- Coverage
- 69.4
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 39
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
81.069/1796
WRArrion Concepcion
1 rec · 16 yds · 0 TD
79.065/2069
SD'Kwan Thomas
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.1
- Coverage
- 68.0
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 4
- Passer rating allowed
- 83.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.3184/2969
CBKen Willis
24 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.1
- Coverage
- 67.8
- Targets allowed
- 21
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 119
- Passer rating allowed
- 65.4
- Missed tackles
- 5
74.9195/2969
Availability reports · 1
- Za'Ron Collins · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Panthers on Saturday, October 17th.
San Diego StateQBStone Saunders
20 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
74.8116/729
CBMike Lindsay
13 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.5
- Coverage
- 72.8
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 82
- Passer rating allowed
- 32.4
- Missed tackles
- 2
75.4182/2969
LBSione Hala
45 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.8
- Coverage
- 61.4
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 26
- Missed tackles
- 9
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.1211/1796
RBJavion Kinnard
312 yds · 1 TD · 5.6 YPC
72.7236/1044
WRDaishaun Davis
3 rec · 42 yds · 0 TD
72.3188/2069
TEJack Lua
1 rec · 10 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 73.6
- Run blocking
- 75.7
- Penalties
- 0
71.969/1017
Availability reports · 8
- Nathan Acevedo · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Acevedo is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Lucky Sutton · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Sutton is dealing with an ankle injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jackson Ford · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Ford is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Donovan Brown · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Brown is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Ryan Wolfer · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Wolfer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Aldrich Doe · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Aldrich has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, Octob
- Jack Ellis · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Ellis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Parker Guiltinan · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Guiltinan is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
JMUJames Madison
SDSUSan Diego State
vs
Offense
81.7
#54 of 138
QB
Quarterback
74.8
#84 of 138
71.7
#107 of 138
RB
Running backs
72.1
#105 of 138
74.5
#36 of 138
WR
Receivers
71.5
#68 of 138
73.1
#45 of 138
TE
Tight ends
71.9
#51 of 138
71.7
#39 of 138
OL
Offensive line
70.8
#48 of 138
Defense
76.6
#39 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.2
#84 of 138
75.0
#59 of 138
LB
Linebackers
69.0
#113 of 138
74.0
#45 of 138
DB
Secondary
70.4
#90 of 138