AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 9:30 PM
Away
Portland State
—
9p
#64Home
San Diego State
0-0 · AVR 50.2
49p
PRST 0%100% SDSU
Spread
SDSU -40.5
Total
58
Moneyline
PRST—SDSU—
Against the market
with itline SDSU -40.5

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
San Diego State
SMax Garrison
89.513/1427
SJalen Thomeson
76.7129/1427
SDalesean Staley
76.2136/1427
RBLucky Sutton
73.839/514
LBTano Letuli
61.6258/878
QBJayden Denegal
56.486/308

Projected margin

80% between 21 and 56
-14-7+7+14PKSDSU +40.5MKT95% interval: 11 to 6680% interval: 21 to 56+21+56PRST wins 0%SDSU wins 100%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ SDSU 49–7 PRSTSDSU 46–32 PRST neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesSDSU 49–28 PRST neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesSDSU 53–25 PRST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSDSU 56–21 PRST neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesSDSU 60–18 PRST neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesSDSU 63–14 PRST neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesSDSU 67–11 PRST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesSDSU 70–7 PRST neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesSDSU 74–4 PRST neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesSDSU 42–28 PRST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesSDSU 46–25 PRST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesSDSU 49–21 PRST neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesSDSU 53–18 PRST neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesSDSU 56–14 PRST neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesSDSU 60–11 PRST neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesSDSU 63–7 PRST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSDSU 67–4 PRST neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesSDSU 70–0 PRST neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesSDSU 39–25 PRST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesSDSU 42–21 PRST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesSDSU 46–18 PRST neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesSDSU 49–14 PRST neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesSDSU 53–11 PRST neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesSDSU 56–7 PRST neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesSDSU 60–4 PRST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSDSU 63–0 PRST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)SDSU 35–21 PRST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesSDSU 39–18 PRST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSDSU 42–14 PRST neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesSDSU 46–11 PRST neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesSDSU 49–7 PRST neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesSDSU 53–4 PRST neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesSDSU 56–0 PRST neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)SDSU 32–18 PRST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesSDSU 35–14 PRST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesSDSU 39–11 PRST neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesSDSU 42–7 PRST neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesSDSU 46–4 PRST neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesSDSU 49–0 PRST neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)SDSU 28–14 PRST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesSDSU 32–11 PRST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesSDSU 35–7 PRST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSDSU 39–4 PRST neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesSDSU 42–0 PRST neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)SDSU 25–11 PRST neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesSDSU 28–7 PRST neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesSDSU 32–4 PRST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSDSU 35–0 PRST neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalSDSU +14SDSU +28SDSU +42SDSU +56SDSU +70margin →