CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 6:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SDSU 65.9%34.1% CSU
Projected margin
SDSU by 6.3
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
SDSU 25 to CSU 12
Win probability
SDSU 65.9%

Current team profiles

San Diego State
Colorado State

When San Diego State has the ball

Passing

CSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
SDSU offense
#135
CSU defense
#129
EPA comparison
-0.14
#135
0.43
#129
Pass EPA

Rushing

SDSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
SDSU offense
#126
CSU defense
#130
EPA comparison
-0.08
#126
0.22
#130
Rush EPA

Drive success

SDSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
SDSU offense
#135
CSU defense
#138
Success rates
33%
#135
52%
#138
Success rate
More metrics
-0.12
#136
0.23
#126
EPA / play
1.12
#122
1.15
#31
Explosiveness
16%
#98
16%
#77
Havoc

When Colorado State has the ball

Passing

CSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
SDSU defense
#113
CSU offense
#55
EPA comparison
0.32
#113
0.27
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

CSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
SDSU defense
#56
CSU offense
#9
EPA comparison
0.02
#56
0.27
#9
Rush EPA

Drive success

CSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
SDSU defense
#130
CSU offense
#53
Success rates
48%
#130
45%
#53
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#104
0.24
#30
EPA / play
1.08
#15
1.43
#4
Explosiveness
12%
#128
16%
#94
Havoc

Current key players

San Diego State
QBStone Saunders
20 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
74.8116/729
CBMike Lindsay
13 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.5
Coverage
72.8
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
82
Passer rating allowed
32.4
Missed tackles
2
75.4182/2969
LBSione Hala
45 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.8
Coverage
61.4
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
26
Missed tackles
9
Forced fumbles
0
74.1211/1796
RBJavion Kinnard
312 yds · 1 TD · 5.6 YPC
72.7236/1044
WRDaishaun Davis
3 rec · 42 yds · 0 TD
72.3188/2069
TEJack Lua
1 rec · 10 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
73.6
Run blocking
75.7
Penalties
0
71.969/1017
Availability reports · 8
  • Nathan Acevedo · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Acevedo is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Lucky Sutton · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Sutton is dealing with an ankle injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jackson Ford · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ford is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Donovan Brown · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Brown is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Ryan Wolfer · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Wolfer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Aldrich Doe · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Aldrich has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, Octob

  • Jack Ellis · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ellis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Parker Guiltinan · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Guiltinan is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.

Colorado State
QBHauss Hejny
619 yds · 10 TD · 1 INT
78.781/729
RBDurell Robinson
266 yds · 4 TD · 4.3 YPC
78.897/1044
LBCaleb Otlewski
2 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.5
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
76.4150/1796
WRRJ Vick
24 rec · 367 yds · 4 TD
74.3139/2069
WRTommy Maher
9 rec · 83 yds · 0 TD
70.7235/2069
SJace Bellah
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.8
Missed tackles
0
68.4550/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Troy Foster · WRout · 2026-10-02

    Foster has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against Oregon state on Saturday.

  • Grant Houser · TEout · 2026-10-02

    Houser has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against Oregon state on Saturday.

  • Hauss Hejny · QBQues. · 2026-10-07

    Hejny is laid up with a hamstring injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Texas State on Thursday, October 15th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

SDSU
CSU
vs
Offense
74.8
#84 of 138
QB
78.7
#64 of 138
72.1
#105 of 138
RB
78.3
#45 of 138
71.5
#68 of 138
WR
68.9
#95 of 138
71.9
#51 of 138
TE
60.8
#113 of 138
70.8
#48 of 138
OL
67.6
#71 of 138
Defense
72.2
#84 of 138
DL
68.6
#119 of 138
69.0
#113 of 138
LB
69.1
#111 of 138
70.4
#90 of 138
DB
66.2
#132 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

San Diego State
opponent
Colorado State
A-52.0
ORST#44
-30.0H
H+2.0
FRES#69
-12.3A
H+7.4
WSU#101
-6.9A
H+7.6
USU#97
-6.7A
H+2.0
TXST#55
-8.7A
A-10.2
BOIS#29
-13.8H