Passing
ORST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SDSU offense
- #135
- ORST defense
- #49
EPA comparison
-0.14
#135
0.08
#49
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 6:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SDSU 22.6%77.4% ORST
- Projected margin
- ORST by 11.1
- Projected total
- 47
- 80% outcome range
- SDSU 7 to ORST 30
- Win probability
- ORST 77.4%
FinalSDSU 14 · ORST 66model had +11.1, off by 40.9
Current team profiles
San Diego StateOregon StateWhen San Diego State has the ball
Rushing
ORST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SDSU offense
- #126
- ORST defense
- #52
EPA comparison
-0.08
#126
0.01
#52
Rush EPA
Drive success
ORST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SDSU offense
- #135
- ORST defense
- #71
Success rates
33%
#135
40%
#71
Success rate
More metrics
-0.12
#136
0.04
#55
EPA / play
1.12
#122
1.08
#18
Explosiveness
16%
#98
17%
#45
Havoc
When Oregon State has the ball
Passing
ORST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SDSU defense
- #113
- ORST offense
- #11
EPA comparison
0.32
#113
0.50
#11
Pass EPA
Rushing
SDSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SDSU defense
- #56
- ORST offense
- #81
EPA comparison
0.02
#56
0.08
#81
Rush EPA
Drive success
ORST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SDSU defense
- #130
- ORST offense
- #11
Success rates
48%
#130
51%
#11
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#104
0.32
#10
EPA / play
1.08
#15
1.26
#45
Explosiveness
12%
#128
11%
#21
Havoc
Current key players
San Diego StateQBStone Saunders
20 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
74.8116/729
CBMike Lindsay
13 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.5
- Coverage
- 72.8
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 82
- Passer rating allowed
- 32.4
- Missed tackles
- 2
75.4182/2969
LBSione Hala
45 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.8
- Coverage
- 61.4
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 26
- Missed tackles
- 9
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.1211/1796
RBJavion Kinnard
312 yds · 1 TD · 5.6 YPC
72.7236/1044
WRDaishaun Davis
3 rec · 42 yds · 0 TD
72.3188/2069
TEJack Lua
1 rec · 10 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 73.6
- Run blocking
- 75.7
- Penalties
- 0
71.969/1017
Availability reports · 8
- Nathan Acevedo · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Acevedo is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Lucky Sutton · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Sutton is dealing with an ankle injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jackson Ford · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Ford is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Donovan Brown · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Brown is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Ryan Wolfer · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Wolfer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Aldrich Doe · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Aldrich has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, Octob
- Jack Ellis · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Ellis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Parker Guiltinan · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Guiltinan is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
Oregon StateQBBraden Atkinson
1827 yds · 16 TD · 2 INT
84.947/729
WRJesse Legree
28 rec · 741 yds · 9 TD
89.68/2069
TELandon Cook
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 59.9
- Penalties
- 0
80.723/1017
LBTakari Hickle
27 tkl · 7.5 TFL · 3.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.6
- Coverage
- 60.5
- Pressures
- 17
- Pass-rush snaps
- 116
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 1
77.2135/1796
LBKord Shaw
20 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.9
- Coverage
- 71.7
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 6
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.3174/1796
RBAJ Newberry
271 yds · 2 TD · 6.0 YPC
73.9195/1044
Position units
Position-unit comparison
SDSUSan Diego State
ORSTOregon State
vs
Offense
74.8
#84 of 138
QB
Quarterback
84.9
#41 of 138
72.1
#105 of 138
RB
Running backs
70.9
#113 of 138
71.5
#68 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.0
#60 of 138
71.9
#51 of 138
TE
Tight ends
80.7
#23 of 138
70.8
#48 of 138
OL
Offensive line
72.6
#30 of 138
Defense
72.2
#84 of 138
DL
Defensive line
65.1
#136 of 138
69.0
#113 of 138
LB
Linebackers
75.6
#56 of 138
70.4
#90 of 138
DB
Secondary
66.9
#126 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
San Diego State
opponent
Oregon State
Aaway+6.3
CSUColorado State#118+30.0Aaway
Hhome+2.0
FRESFresno State#69-9.1Aaway
Hhome+7.4
WSUWashington State#101+1.6Hhome
Aaway-10.2
BOISBoise State#29-16.0Aaway
Hhome+7.6
USUUtah State#97+1.8Hhome
Hhome+2.0
TXSTTexas State#55-0.2Hhome