Passing
TOL defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SDSU offense
- #135
- TOL defense
- #79
EPA comparison
-0.14
#135
0.17
#79
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SDSU 23.7%76.3% TOL
- Projected margin
- TOL by 10.0
- Projected total
- 49
- 80% outcome range
- SDSU 7 to TOL 28
- Win probability
- TOL 76.3%
FinalSDSU 16 · TOL 41model had +10.0, off by 15.0
Current team profiles
San Diego StateToledoWhen San Diego State has the ball
Rushing
TOL defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SDSU offense
- #126
- TOL defense
- #34
EPA comparison
-0.08
#126
-0.04
#34
Rush EPA
Drive success
TOL defense
Higher-ranked profile
- SDSU offense
- #135
- TOL defense
- #10
Success rates
33%
#135
34%
#10
Success rate
More metrics
-0.12
#136
0.01
#43
EPA / play
1.12
#122
1.32
#109
Explosiveness
16%
#98
14%
#97
Havoc
When Toledo has the ball
Passing
TOL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SDSU defense
- #113
- TOL offense
- #38
EPA comparison
0.32
#113
0.33
#38
Pass EPA
Rushing
TOL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SDSU defense
- #56
- TOL offense
- #55
EPA comparison
0.02
#56
0.14
#55
Rush EPA
Drive success
TOL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- SDSU defense
- #130
- TOL offense
- #81
Success rates
48%
#130
43%
#81
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#104
0.23
#36
EPA / play
1.08
#15
1.44
#3
Explosiveness
12%
#128
14%
#45
Havoc
Current key players
San Diego StateQBStone Saunders
20 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
74.8116/729
CBMike Lindsay
13 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.5
- Coverage
- 72.8
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 82
- Passer rating allowed
- 32.4
- Missed tackles
- 2
75.4182/2969
LBSione Hala
45 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.8
- Coverage
- 61.4
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 26
- Missed tackles
- 9
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.1211/1796
RBJavion Kinnard
312 yds · 1 TD · 5.6 YPC
72.7236/1044
WRDaishaun Davis
3 rec · 42 yds · 0 TD
72.3188/2069
TEJack Lua
1 rec · 10 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 73.6
- Run blocking
- 75.7
- Penalties
- 0
71.969/1017
Availability reports · 8
- Nathan Acevedo · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Acevedo is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Lucky Sutton · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Sutton is dealing with an ankle injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jackson Ford · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Ford is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Donovan Brown · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Brown is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Ryan Wolfer · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Wolfer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Aldrich Doe · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Aldrich has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, Octob
- Jack Ellis · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Ellis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Parker Guiltinan · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Guiltinan is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face the Bulldogs on Saturday, October 17th.
ToledoQBKhamoni Robinson
21 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT
87.830/729
WRAdjatay Dabbs
25 rec · 367 yds · 4 TD
84.125/2069
RBAutavius Ison
175 yds · 1 TD · 4.5 YPC
82.554/1044
CBIsrael Petite
23 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.7
- Coverage
- 80.5
- Targets allowed
- 23
- Rec allowed
- 14
- Yards allowed
- 121
- Passer rating allowed
- 74.7
- Missed tackles
- 2
80.953/2969
LBJulian Fox
36 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.7
- Coverage
- 82.7
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 1
80.872/1796
SNicholas Thompson
15 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.5
- Coverage
- 72.3
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- -6
- Passer rating allowed
- 116.7
- Missed tackles
- 1
75.7169/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Kalvin Gilbert Jr. · WRout · 2026-10-10
Gilbert is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return.
- Trenton Jones · WRout · 2026-10-10
Jones is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Tucker Kelleher · TEout · 2026-10-10
Kelleher is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
SDSUSan Diego State
TOLToledo
vs
Offense
74.8
#84 of 138
QB
Quarterback
87.8
#28 of 138
72.1
#105 of 138
RB
Running backs
81.3
#26 of 138
71.5
#68 of 138
WR
Receivers
75.2
#33 of 138
71.9
#51 of 138
TE
Tight ends
68.5
#77 of 138
70.8
#48 of 138
OL
Offensive line
69.2
#59 of 138
Defense
72.2
#84 of 138
DL
Defensive line
74.4
#60 of 138
69.0
#113 of 138
LB
Linebackers
75.7
#53 of 138
70.4
#90 of 138
DB
Secondary
74.6
#40 of 138