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Pac-12

Texas State

Bobcats2-33rd in Pac-12
Bobcat Stadium (TX) · San Marcos, TX · 30,000
TeamCarried by the offense
OffenseGrinding passing attack · strong
DefenseStout against the run · weakweak point: pass defense, 113th

The season

Best win
W 49-35 vs #64 North Texas
Wk 3 · Sep 19 · won as a 36% underdog
Worst loss
L 29-31 @ #104 San Diego State
Wk 5 · Oct 3 · lost as a 61% favorite

Schedule

model 3/5 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    atTexas
    L 7–59
    Win chance 5%Model margin -22.6Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    vsUTSA
    L 26–31
    Win chance 43%Model margin -2.2Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    vsNorth Texas
    W 49–35
    Win chance 36%Model margin -4.8Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    vsIncarnate Word
    W 63–10
    Win chance 99%Model margin +33.1Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    atSan Diego State
    L 29–31
    Win chance 61%Model margin +3.9Game details
  6. Week 7 · Oct 15
    vsColorado State
    Win chance 74%Model margin +8.7Game details
  7. Week 8 · Oct 24
    vsUtah State
    Win chance 64%Model margin +4.7Game details
  8. Week 9 · Nov 1
    atBoise State
    Win chance 17%Model margin -13.1Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 8
    atOregon State
    Win chance 51%Model margin +0.2Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsFresno State
    Win chance 47%Model margin -0.9Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    vsWashington State
    Win chance 63%Model margin +4.4Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
77
#18 of 138
Defense efficiency
29
#105 of 138
Efficiency
#300.24
EPA / play
#900.11
#140.48
Pass
#1130.32
#630.12
Rush
#34-0.04
#2349%
Success
#11245%
Big plays & havoc
#431.27
Explosive
#651.20
#4914%
Havoc
#9015%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB50th
RB46th
WR21st
TE94th
OL61st
DL12th
LB58th
DB81st

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Brad JacksonSO
1226 yds · 13 TD · 5 INT
82.4
59th QB
RB
Juntavious HarrisFR
80 yds · 1 TD · 8.9 YPC
78.5
101st RB
WR
La'Keyleon GravesFR
1 rec · 49 yds · 1 TD
83.9
28th WR
WR
Dameon CroweFR
4 rec · 37 yds · 0 TD
74.8
131st WR
TE
Cole SnodgrassSO
— rec · — yds · — TD
64.5
169th TE
Defense
LB
Ayden JonesJR
31 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
80.1
81st LB
LB
Cole NillesJR
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
72.9
262nd LB
DB
Ryan NolanSR
29 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
78.4
86th DB
DB
Dexter Ricks Jr.SR
7 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
71.9
329th DB
DB
Will Mitchell IISO
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
68.8
532nd DB

Injury report

1 out
out
Cole SnodgrassTE

Snodgrass is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and is unlikely to suit up against the San Diego State on Saturday.

64.510-01
Ques.
Kylen EvansWR

vans is nursing with a shoulder injury, and it is unclear if he will face San Diego State on Saturday, October 3th.

73.509-27
Ques.
Jordan SampleLB

Sample is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against San Diego State on Saturday, October 3th.

58.109-27

Past seasons

Year by year
+5.0 points since 2022
405060708052.0202250.1202362.8202456.92025
2022 52.02023 50.12024 62.82025 56.9

2025

6-6
D-I rank
#84
Rating
56.9
Listed games · 12
WWLWLLLLLWWW
433 pts scored367 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Eastern MichiganW 52–27
  2. W2 at UTSAW 43–36
  3. W3 at Arizona StateL 15–34
  4. W4 vs NichollsW 35–3
  5. W6 at Arkansas StateL 30–31
  6. W7 vs TroyL 41–48
  7. W8 at MarshallL 37–40
  8. W10 vs James MadisonL 20–52
  9. W11 at LouisianaL 39–42
  10. W12 at Southern MissW 41–14
  11. W13 vs UL MonroeW 31–14
  12. W14 vs South AlabamaW 49–26

2024

7-5
D-I rank
#62
Rating
62.8
Listed games · 12
WWLLWWLLWWLW
445 pts scored291 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs LamarW 34–27
  2. W2 vs UTSAW 49–10
  3. W3 vs Arizona StateL 28–31
  4. W5 vs Sam HoustonL 39–40
  5. W6 at TroyW 38–17
  6. W7 vs Arkansas StateW 41–9
  7. W8 at Old DominionL 14–24
  8. W10 vs LouisianaL 17–23
  9. W11 at UL MonroeW 38–17
  10. W12 vs Southern MissW 58–3
  11. W13 vs Georgia StateL 44–52
  12. W14 at South AlabamaW 45–38

2023

7-5
D-I rank
#121
Rating
50.1
Listed games · 12
WLWWWLWLWLLW
432 pts scored406 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at BaylorW 42–31
  2. W2 at UTSAL 13–20
  3. W3 vs Jackson StateW 77–34
  4. W4 vs NevadaW 35–24
  5. W5 at Southern MissW 50–36
  6. W6 at LouisianaL 30–34
  7. W7 vs UL MonroeW 21–20
  8. W9 vs TroyL 13–31
  9. W10 vs Georgia SouthernW 45–24
  10. W11 at Coastal CarolinaL 23–31
  11. W12 at Arkansas StateL 31–77
  12. W13 vs South AlabamaW 52–44

2022

4-8
D-I rank
#116
Rating
52.0
Listed games · 12
LWLWLWLLLLWL
253 pts scored316 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at NevadaL 14–38
  2. W2 vs Florida InternationalW 41–12
  3. W3 at BaylorL 7–42
  4. W4 vs Houston ChristianW 34–0
  5. W5 at James MadisonL 13–40
  6. W6 vs App StateW 36–24
  7. W7 at TroyL 14–17
  8. W8 vs Southern MissL 14–20
  9. W10 at UL MonroeL 30–31
  10. W11 at South AlabamaL 21–38
  11. W12 vs Arkansas StateW 16–13
  12. W13 vs LouisianaL 13–41