Passing
TXST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WSU offense
- #134
- TXST defense
- #113
EPA comparison
-0.12
#134
0.32
#113
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 6:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
WSU 38.8%61.2% TXST
- Projected margin
- TXST by 4.4
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- WSU 14 to TXST 23
- Win probability
- TXST 61.2%
Current team profiles
Washington StateTexas StateWhen Washington State has the ball
Rushing
TXST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WSU offense
- #123
- TXST defense
- #34
EPA comparison
-0.07
#123
-0.04
#34
Rush EPA
Drive success
TXST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WSU offense
- #137
- TXST defense
- #112
Success rates
33%
#137
45%
#112
Success rate
More metrics
-0.11
#133
0.11
#90
EPA / play
1.22
#81
1.20
#65
Explosiveness
20%
#135
15%
#90
Havoc
When Texas State has the ball
Passing
TXST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WSU defense
- #52
- TXST offense
- #14
EPA comparison
0.09
#52
0.48
#14
Pass EPA
Rushing
WSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WSU defense
- #52
- TXST offense
- #63
EPA comparison
0.01
#52
0.12
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
TXST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WSU defense
- #55
- TXST offense
- #23
Success rates
39%
#55
49%
#23
Success rate
More metrics
0.01
#45
0.24
#30
EPA / play
1.24
#77
1.27
#43
Explosiveness
14%
#107
14%
#49
Havoc
Current key players
Washington StateQBCaden Pinnick
796 yds · 3 TD · 5 INT
62.5244/729
LBIsaiah Hung
23 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.9
- Coverage
- 77.0
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.7102/1796
STrey Ridley
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.5
- Coverage
- 77.0
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 5
- Passer rating allowed
- 79.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.6105/2969
LBGage Jones
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.7
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
72.3283/1796
WRTank Hawkins
10 rec · 79 yds · 0 TD
72.2192/2069
RBMaxwell Woods
188 yds · 0 TD · 5.7 YPC
71.6268/1044
Availability reports · 4
- Tony Freeman · WRout · 2026-09-14
Freeman has been shut down for the remainder of the season with a torn ACL.
- Hudson Cedarland · TEout · 2026-08-23
Cedarland is bothered by a leg injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- CJ Toney · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Toney is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Beavers on Saturday, October 17th.
- Ryan McKendry · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
McKendry is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will take the field against the Beavers on Saturday, Oc
Texas StateQBBrad Jackson
1226 yds · 13 TD · 5 INT
82.459/729
WRLa'Keyleon Graves
1 rec · 49 yds · 1 TD
83.928/2069
LBAyden Jones
31 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.2
- Coverage
- 74.7
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 14
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 1
80.181/1796
RBJuntavious Harris
80 yds · 1 TD · 8.9 YPC
78.5101/1044
DBRyan Nolan
29 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.8
- Coverage
- 80.3
- Targets allowed
- 17
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 131
- Passer rating allowed
- 102.8
- Missed tackles
- 5
78.486/2969
WRDameon Crowe
4 rec · 37 yds · 0 TD
74.8131/2069
Availability reports · 3
- Cole Snodgrass · TEout · 2026-10-01
Snodgrass is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and is unlikely to suit up against the San Diego State on Saturday.
- Kylen Evans · WRQues. · 2026-09-27
vans is nursing with a shoulder injury, and it is unclear if he will face San Diego State on Saturday, October 3th.
- Jordan Sample · LBQues. · 2026-09-27
Sample is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against San Diego State on Saturday, October 3th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
WSUWashington State
TXSTTexas State
vs
Offense
62.5
#127 of 138
QB
Quarterback
82.4
#50 of 138
68.2
#128 of 138
RB
Running backs
78.2
#46 of 138
68.0
#109 of 138
WR
Receivers
77.4
#21 of 138
63.9
#97 of 138
TE
Tight ends
64.5
#94 of 138
60.9
#129 of 138
OL
Offensive line
69.2
#61 of 138
Defense
73.1
#70 of 138
DL
Defensive line
81.3
#12 of 138
73.9
#72 of 138
LB
Linebackers
75.1
#58 of 138
67.8
#119 of 138
DB
Secondary
71.2
#81 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Washington State
opponent
Texas State
Hhome-20.0
FRESFresno State#69-0.9Hhome
Aaway-1.0
USUUtah State#97+4.7Hhome
Aaway-7.4
SDSUSan Diego State#104-2.0Aaway
Hhome-9.6
BOISBoise State#29-13.1Aaway
Aaway-1.6
ORSTOregon State#44+0.2Aaway
Hhome+6.9
CSUColorado State#118+8.7Hhome