Passing
UTSA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTSA offense
- #78
- TXST defense
- #113
EPA comparison
0.19
#78
0.32
#113
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UTSA 54.3%45.8% TXST
- Projected margin
- UTSA by 2.2
- Projected total
- 63
- 80% outcome range
- UTSA 24 to TXST 18
- Win probability
- UTSA 54.3%
FinalUTSA 31 · TXST 26model had -2.2, off by 2.8
Current team profiles
UTSA
Texas StateWhen UTSA has the ball
Rushing
UTSA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTSA offense
- #12
- TXST defense
- #34
EPA comparison
0.26
#12
-0.04
#34
Rush EPA
Drive success
UTSA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTSA offense
- #38
- TXST defense
- #112
Success rates
47%
#38
45%
#112
Success rate
More metrics
0.23
#34
0.11
#90
EPA / play
1.14
#114
1.20
#65
Explosiveness
12%
#27
15%
#90
Havoc
When Texas State has the ball
Passing
TXST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTSA defense
- #60
- TXST offense
- #14
EPA comparison
0.11
#60
0.48
#14
Pass EPA
Rushing
TXST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTSA defense
- #93
- TXST offense
- #63
EPA comparison
0.10
#93
0.12
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
TXST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UTSA defense
- #80
- TXST offense
- #23
Success rates
41%
#80
49%
#23
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#68
0.24
#30
EPA / play
1.15
#34
1.27
#43
Explosiveness
13%
#119
14%
#49
Havoc
Current key players
UTSAQBMark Wiepert
— yds · — TD · — INT
68.6178/729
RBA'Marion Peterson
194 yds · 4 TD · 7.2 YPC
89.212/1044
LBCamron Cooper
14 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.6
- Coverage
- 72.1
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 92
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.5127/1796
CBZach Morris
9 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.9
- Coverage
- 75.4
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 65
- Passer rating allowed
- 48.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
76.4146/2969
WRDJ Allen Jr.
18 rec · 269 yds · 2 TD
76.0109/2069
LBBrandon Tucker
44 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.3
- Coverage
- 57.1
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 16
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.2252/1796
Availability reports · 1
- Bryson Donnell · RBout · 2026-10-10
Donnell has been out of lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
Texas StateQBBrad Jackson
1226 yds · 13 TD · 5 INT
82.459/729
WRLa'Keyleon Graves
1 rec · 49 yds · 1 TD
83.928/2069
LBAyden Jones
31 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.2
- Coverage
- 74.7
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 14
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 1
80.181/1796
RBJuntavious Harris
80 yds · 1 TD · 8.9 YPC
78.5101/1044
DBRyan Nolan
29 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.8
- Coverage
- 80.3
- Targets allowed
- 17
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 131
- Passer rating allowed
- 102.8
- Missed tackles
- 5
78.486/2969
WRDameon Crowe
4 rec · 37 yds · 0 TD
74.8131/2069
Availability reports · 3
- Cole Snodgrass · TEout · 2026-10-01
Snodgrass is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and is unlikely to suit up against the San Diego State on Saturday.
- Kylen Evans · WRQues. · 2026-09-27
vans is nursing with a shoulder injury, and it is unclear if he will face San Diego State on Saturday, October 3th.
- Jordan Sample · LBQues. · 2026-09-27
Sample is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against San Diego State on Saturday, October 3th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
UTSAUTSA
TXSTTexas State
vs
Offense
68.6
#107 of 138
QB
Quarterback
82.4
#50 of 138
84.7
#11 of 138
RB
Running backs
78.2
#46 of 138
68.5
#100 of 138
WR
Receivers
77.4
#21 of 138
64.0
#96 of 138
TE
Tight ends
64.5
#94 of 138
65.0
#95 of 138
OL
Offensive line
69.2
#61 of 138
Defense
69.5
#113 of 138
DL
Defensive line
81.3
#12 of 138
73.9
#71 of 138
LB
Linebackers
75.1
#58 of 138
70.1
#97 of 138
DB
Secondary
71.2
#81 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
UTSA
opponent
Texas State
Aaway-24.0
TEXTexas#7-52.0Aaway
Hhome+5.2
UNTNorth Texas#64+14.0Hhome
Hhome+14.0
CSUColorado State#118+8.7Hhome