Passing
TXST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- TXST offense
- #14
- BOIS defense
- #55
EPA comparison
0.48
#14
0.10
#55
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 10:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
TXST 20.2%79.8% BOIS
- Projected margin
- BOIS by 13.1
- Projected total
- 62
- 80% outcome range
- TXST 6 to BOIS 32
- Win probability
- BOIS 79.8%
Current team profiles
Texas State
Boise StateWhen Texas State has the ball
Rushing
TXST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- TXST offense
- #63
- BOIS defense
- #93
EPA comparison
0.12
#63
0.10
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
TXST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- TXST offense
- #23
- BOIS defense
- #40
Success rates
49%
#23
37%
#40
Success rate
More metrics
0.24
#30
0.06
#64
EPA / play
1.27
#43
1.62
#138
Explosiveness
14%
#49
18%
#31
Havoc
When Boise State has the ball
Passing
BOIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- TXST defense
- #113
- BOIS offense
- #18
EPA comparison
0.32
#113
0.44
#18
Pass EPA
Rushing
BOIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- TXST defense
- #34
- BOIS offense
- #25
EPA comparison
-0.04
#34
0.22
#25
Rush EPA
Drive success
BOIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- TXST defense
- #112
- BOIS offense
- #26
Success rates
45%
#112
49%
#26
Success rate
More metrics
0.11
#90
0.32
#10
EPA / play
1.20
#65
1.22
#75
Explosiveness
15%
#90
9%
#5
Havoc
Current key players
Texas StateQBBrad Jackson
1226 yds · 13 TD · 5 INT
82.459/729
WRLa'Keyleon Graves
1 rec · 49 yds · 1 TD
83.928/2069
LBAyden Jones
31 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.2
- Coverage
- 74.7
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 14
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 1
80.181/1796
RBJuntavious Harris
80 yds · 1 TD · 8.9 YPC
78.5101/1044
DBRyan Nolan
29 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.8
- Coverage
- 80.3
- Targets allowed
- 17
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 131
- Passer rating allowed
- 102.8
- Missed tackles
- 5
78.486/2969
WRDameon Crowe
4 rec · 37 yds · 0 TD
74.8131/2069
Availability reports · 3
- Cole Snodgrass · TEout · 2026-10-01
Snodgrass is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and is unlikely to suit up against the San Diego State on Saturday.
- Kylen Evans · WRQues. · 2026-09-27
vans is nursing with a shoulder injury, and it is unclear if he will face San Diego State on Saturday, October 3th.
- Jordan Sample · LBQues. · 2026-09-27
Sample is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against San Diego State on Saturday, October 3th.
Boise StateQBMaddux Madsen
1058 yds · 11 TD · 0 INT
90.616/729
TEMatt Wagner
17 rec · 196 yds · 4 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 66.9
- Run blocking
- 75.5
- Penalties
- 0
88.17/1017
RBSire Gaines
234 yds · 2 TD · 5.2 YPC
79.295/1044
LBMax Stege
9 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 72.3
- Coverage
- 59.9
- Pressures
- 18
- Pass-rush snaps
- 132
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
76.1156/1796
LBJayden Virgin-Morgan
11 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.8
- Coverage
- 63.1
- Pressures
- 13
- Pass-rush snaps
- 115
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.1181/1796
WRRasean Jones
23 rec · 359 yds · 1 TD
75.0125/2069
Availability reports · 2
- Rasean Jones · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Jones is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against Cougars on Saturday, October 24th.
- Cam Bates · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Bates is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against Cougars on Saturday, October 24th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
TXSTTexas State
BOISBoise State
vs
Offense
82.4
#50 of 138
QB
Quarterback
90.6
#18 of 138
78.2
#46 of 138
RB
Running backs
79.0
#39 of 138
77.4
#21 of 138
WR
Receivers
71.5
#67 of 138
64.5
#94 of 138
TE
Tight ends
88.1
#7 of 138
69.2
#61 of 138
OL
Offensive line
70.2
#53 of 138
Defense
81.3
#12 of 138
DL
Defensive line
68.0
#122 of 138
75.1
#58 of 138
LB
Linebackers
74.8
#62 of 138
71.2
#81 of 138
DB
Secondary
69.3
#107 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Texas State
opponent
Boise State
Aaway+0.2
ORSTOregon State#44+16.0Hhome
Hhome+4.7
USUUtah State#97+19.0Hhome
Aaway-2.0
SDSUSan Diego State#104+10.2Hhome
Hhome-0.9
FRESFresno State#69+7.0Aaway
Hhome+4.4
WSUWashington State#101+9.6Aaway
Hhome+8.7
CSUColorado State#118+13.8Aaway