Passing
No comparison
- SDAK offense
- —
- BOIS defense
- #55
EPA comparison
—
0.10
#55
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 10:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SDAK 3.7%96.3% BOIS
- Projected margin
- BOIS by 31.6
- Projected total
- 60
- 80% outcome range
- BOIS 9 to BOIS 55
- Win probability
- BOIS 96.3%
FinalSDAK 24 · BOIS 38model had +31.6, off by 17.6
Current team profiles
South Dakota
Boise StateWhen South Dakota has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- SDAK offense
- —
- BOIS defense
- #93
EPA comparison
—
0.10
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- SDAK offense
- #8
- BOIS defense
- #40
Success rates
50%
#8
37%
#40
Success rate
More metrics
0.30
#5
0.06
#64
EPA / play
0.23
#20
1.62
#138
Explosiveness
—
18%
#31
Havoc
When Boise State has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- SDAK defense
- —
- BOIS offense
- #18
EPA comparison
—
0.44
#18
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- SDAK defense
- —
- BOIS offense
- #25
EPA comparison
—
0.22
#25
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- SDAK defense
- #79
- BOIS offense
- #26
Success rates
45%
#79
49%
#26
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#49
0.32
#10
EPA / play
0.20
#57
1.22
#75
Explosiveness
—
9%
#5
Havoc
Current key players
South DakotaQBJackson Proctor
60 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
95.51/370
LBWade Abrams
49 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.6
- Coverage
- 85.5
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 3
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 1
86.011/1054
LBBeau Ryan
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.8
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
81.634/1054
WRAndre Jacobs
— rec · — yds · — TD
79.727/1229
QBAustyn Modrzewski
1313 yds · 18 TD · 5 INT
79.642/370
KBohdie Ing
5/5 FG · 0%
78.511/416
Boise StateQBMaddux Madsen
1058 yds · 11 TD · 0 INT
90.616/729
TEMatt Wagner
17 rec · 196 yds · 4 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 66.9
- Run blocking
- 75.5
- Penalties
- 0
88.17/1017
RBSire Gaines
234 yds · 2 TD · 5.2 YPC
79.295/1044
LBMax Stege
9 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 72.3
- Coverage
- 59.9
- Pressures
- 18
- Pass-rush snaps
- 132
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
76.1156/1796
LBJayden Virgin-Morgan
11 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.8
- Coverage
- 63.1
- Pressures
- 13
- Pass-rush snaps
- 115
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.1181/1796
WRRasean Jones
23 rec · 359 yds · 1 TD
75.0125/2069
Availability reports · 2
- Rasean Jones · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Jones is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against Cougars on Saturday, October 24th.
- Cam Bates · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Bates is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against Cougars on Saturday, October 24th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
SDAKSouth Dakota
BOISBoise State
vs
Offense
95.5
#1 of 125
QB
Quarterback
90.6
#18 of 138
75.1
#43 of 126
RB
Running backs
79.0
#39 of 138
75.6
#11 of 126
WR
Receivers
71.5
#67 of 138
57.9
#106 of 124
TE
Tight ends
88.1
#7 of 138
70.1
#22 of 125
OL
Offensive line
70.2
#53 of 138
Defense
73.5
#37 of 126
DL
Defensive line
68.0
#122 of 138
81.4
#6 of 126
LB
Linebackers
74.8
#62 of 138
72.5
#47 of 126
DB
Secondary
69.3
#107 of 138