Passing
BOIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- USU offense
- #133
- BOIS defense
- #55
EPA comparison
-0.10
#133
0.10
#55
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
USU 10.3%89.7% BOIS
- Projected margin
- BOIS by 20.4
- Projected total
- 49
- 80% outcome range
- USU 1 to BOIS 41
- Win probability
- BOIS 89.7%
FinalUSU 18 · BOIS 37model had +20.4, off by 1.4
Current team profiles
Utah StateBoise StateWhen Utah State has the ball
Rushing
BOIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- USU offense
- #122
- BOIS defense
- #93
EPA comparison
-0.05
#122
0.10
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
BOIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- USU offense
- #131
- BOIS defense
- #40
Success rates
35%
#131
37%
#40
Success rate
More metrics
-0.08
#132
0.06
#64
EPA / play
1.39
#8
1.62
#138
Explosiveness
19%
#130
18%
#31
Havoc
When Boise State has the ball
Passing
BOIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USU defense
- #60
- BOIS offense
- #18
EPA comparison
0.11
#60
0.44
#18
Pass EPA
Rushing
BOIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USU defense
- #40
- BOIS offense
- #25
EPA comparison
-0.02
#40
0.22
#25
Rush EPA
Drive success
BOIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USU defense
- #60
- BOIS offense
- #26
Success rates
39%
#60
49%
#26
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#59
0.32
#10
EPA / play
1.18
#46
1.22
#75
Explosiveness
14%
#101
9%
#5
Havoc
Current key players
Utah StateQBGrady Brosterhous
764 yds · 6 TD · 6 INT
49.1374/729
LBAsher Cunningham
34 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 88.8
- Coverage
- 74.0
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 38
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 1
83.455/1796
WREli Wood
30 rec · 388 yds · 4 TD
80.552/2069
SBrevin Hamblin
42 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.2
- Coverage
- 65.8
- Targets allowed
- 12
- Rec allowed
- 8
- Yards allowed
- 140
- Passer rating allowed
- 71.5
- Missed tackles
- 10
74.9198/2969
LBAdonis Jackson
14 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.2
- Coverage
- 53.6
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 99
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
72.9263/1796
CBD'Angelo Mayes
23 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.3
- Coverage
- 71.6
- Targets allowed
- 30
- Rec allowed
- 17
- Yards allowed
- 226
- Passer rating allowed
- 77.9
- Missed tackles
- 2
70.2435/2969
Availability reports · 8
- J. Nelson · TEout · 2026-10-01
Nelson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Nikko Boncore · WRout · 2026-10-07
Boncore is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Sesi Vailahi · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Vailahi is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be available against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Nehemiah Washington · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Washington is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Anthony Garcia · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Garcia is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Rex Haynes · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Haynes is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will play against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Kache Kaio · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Kaio is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- McCae Hillstead · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Hillstead is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will be suit up against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.
Boise StateQBMaddux Madsen
1058 yds · 11 TD · 0 INT
90.616/729
TEMatt Wagner
17 rec · 196 yds · 4 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 66.9
- Run blocking
- 75.5
- Penalties
- 0
88.17/1017
RBSire Gaines
234 yds · 2 TD · 5.2 YPC
79.295/1044
LBMax Stege
9 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 72.3
- Coverage
- 59.9
- Pressures
- 18
- Pass-rush snaps
- 132
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
76.1156/1796
LBJayden Virgin-Morgan
11 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.8
- Coverage
- 63.1
- Pressures
- 13
- Pass-rush snaps
- 115
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.1181/1796
WRRasean Jones
23 rec · 359 yds · 1 TD
75.0125/2069
Availability reports · 2
- Rasean Jones · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Jones is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against Cougars on Saturday, October 24th.
- Cam Bates · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Bates is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against Cougars on Saturday, October 24th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
USUUtah State
BOISBoise State
vs
Offense
49.1
#138 of 138
QB
Quarterback
90.6
#18 of 138
68.3
#127 of 138
RB
Running backs
79.0
#39 of 138
67.2
#118 of 138
WR
Receivers
71.5
#67 of 138
59.9
#123 of 138
TE
Tight ends
88.1
#7 of 138
62.6
#119 of 138
OL
Offensive line
70.2
#53 of 138
Defense
68.5
#120 of 138
DL
Defensive line
68.0
#122 of 138
76.3
#50 of 138
LB
Linebackers
74.8
#62 of 138
69.5
#104 of 138
DB
Secondary
69.3
#107 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Utah State
opponent
Boise State
Aaway-4.7
TXSTTexas State#55+13.1Hhome
Aaway-1.8
ORSTOregon State#44+16.0Hhome
Aaway-7.6
SDSUSan Diego State#104+10.2Hhome
Hhome-2.9
FRESFresno State#69+7.0Aaway
Hhome+1.0
WSUWashington State#101+9.6Aaway
Hhome+6.7
CSUColorado State#118+13.8Aaway