Passing
BOIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BOIS offense
- #18
- WMU defense
- #65
EPA comparison
0.44
#18
0.12
#65
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
BOIS 52.8%47.2% WMU
- Projected margin
- BOIS by 1.2
- Projected total
- 49
- 80% outcome range
- BOIS 21 to WMU 18
- Win probability
- BOIS 52.8%
FinalBOIS 32 · WMU 7model had -1.2, off by 23.8
Current team profiles
Boise State
Western MichiganWhen Boise State has the ball
Rushing
BOIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BOIS offense
- #25
- WMU defense
- #47
EPA comparison
0.22
#25
0.00
#47
Rush EPA
Drive success
BOIS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BOIS offense
- #26
- WMU defense
- #105
Success rates
49%
#26
44%
#105
Success rate
More metrics
0.32
#10
0.06
#64
EPA / play
1.22
#75
1.08
#16
Explosiveness
9%
#5
13%
#109
Havoc
When Western Michigan has the ball
Passing
BOIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BOIS defense
- #55
- WMU offense
- #92
EPA comparison
0.10
#55
0.13
#92
Pass EPA
Rushing
WMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BOIS defense
- #93
- WMU offense
- #51
EPA comparison
0.10
#93
0.15
#51
Rush EPA
Drive success
BOIS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BOIS defense
- #40
- WMU offense
- #85
Success rates
37%
#40
42%
#85
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#64
0.14
#73
EPA / play
1.62
#138
1.15
#108
Explosiveness
18%
#31
13%
#42
Havoc
Current key players
Boise StateQBMaddux Madsen
1058 yds · 11 TD · 0 INT
90.616/729
TEMatt Wagner
17 rec · 196 yds · 4 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 66.9
- Run blocking
- 75.5
- Penalties
- 0
88.17/1017
RBSire Gaines
234 yds · 2 TD · 5.2 YPC
79.295/1044
LBMax Stege
9 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 72.3
- Coverage
- 59.9
- Pressures
- 18
- Pass-rush snaps
- 132
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
76.1156/1796
LBJayden Virgin-Morgan
11 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.8
- Coverage
- 63.1
- Pressures
- 13
- Pass-rush snaps
- 115
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.1181/1796
WRRasean Jones
23 rec · 359 yds · 1 TD
75.0125/2069
Availability reports · 2
- Rasean Jones · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Jones is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against Cougars on Saturday, October 24th.
- Cam Bates · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Bates is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against Cougars on Saturday, October 24th.
Western MichiganQBTrey Petty
54 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
90.815/729
LBJustyce Betts
35 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 87.8
- Coverage
- 78.1
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
88.121/1796
WRAveion Chenault
18 rec · 272 yds · 1 TD
82.240/2069
LBDillon Moore
28 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.1
- Coverage
- 68.3
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 18
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 2
80.775/1796
RBJalen Buckley
287 yds · 5 TD · 4.6 YPC
77.6122/1044
TENate Levicki
8 rec · 112 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 63.6
- Run blocking
- 68.3
- Penalties
- 0
75.545/1017
Availability reports · 1
- Michael Dersa · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Dersa is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Chippewas on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
BOISBoise State
WMUWestern Michigan
vs
Offense
90.6
#18 of 138
QB
Quarterback
90.8
#15 of 138
79.0
#39 of 138
RB
Running backs
68.5
#126 of 138
71.5
#67 of 138
WR
Receivers
69.5
#88 of 138
88.1
#7 of 138
TE
Tight ends
75.5
#36 of 138
70.2
#53 of 138
OL
Offensive line
60.3
#131 of 138
Defense
68.0
#122 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.6
#28 of 138
74.8
#62 of 138
LB
Linebackers
78.8
#28 of 138
69.3
#107 of 138
DB
Secondary
68.9
#112 of 138