CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UCLA 25.5%74.5% ORE
Projected margin
ORE by 10.2
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
UCLA 10 to ORE 31
Win probability
ORE 74.5%
FinalUCLA 17 · ORE 15model had +10.2, off by 12.2

Current team profiles

UCLA
Oregon

When UCLA has the ball

Passing

ORE defense
Higher-ranked profile
UCLA offense
#98
ORE defense
#34
EPA comparison
0.12
#98
0.05
#34
Pass EPA

Rushing

UCLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
UCLA offense
#12
ORE defense
#34
EPA comparison
0.26
#12
-0.04
#34
Rush EPA

Drive success

ORE defense
Higher-ranked profile
UCLA offense
#44
ORE defense
#37
Success rates
46%
#44
37%
#37
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#46
-0.03
#32
EPA / play
1.23
#72
1.21
#69
Explosiveness
14%
#63
16%
#62
Havoc

When Oregon has the ball

Passing

UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
UCLA defense
#5
ORE offense
#41
EPA comparison
-0.12
#5
0.32
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
UCLA defense
#1
ORE offense
#100
EPA comparison
-0.24
#1
0.03
#100
Rush EPA

Drive success

UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
UCLA defense
#5
ORE offense
#60
Success rates
32%
#5
44%
#60
Success rate
More metrics
-0.20
#1
0.17
#61
EPA / play
1.23
#74
1.32
#26
Explosiveness
21%
#11
14%
#67
Havoc

Current key players

UCLA
QBNico Iamaleava
820 yds · 4 TD · 2 INT
64.9216/729
LBSammy Omosigho
38 tkl · 7.0 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
91.7
Coverage
82.5
Pressures
11
Pass-rush snaps
42
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
3
90.78/1796
LBTrent Hendrick
7 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.7
Coverage
82.5
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
86.825/1796
RBWayne Knight
445 yds · 9 TD · 9.1 YPC
86.227/1044
DBTa'Shawn James
24 tkl · 2 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
Run defense
74.0
Coverage
84.8
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
70
Passer rating allowed
41.7
Missed tackles
5
84.328/2969
DBDerrick Barksdale
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.5
Coverage
76.5
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
110
Passer rating allowed
120.1
Missed tackles
3
77.7102/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Mikey Matthews · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Matthews is dealing with a lower-leg injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Josh Phifer · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Phifer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Sam Yoon · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Yoon is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 17th.

Oregon
QBDylan Raiola
413 yds · 5 TD · 0 INT
85.836/729
LBNasir Wyatt
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
64.7
Coverage
61.2
Pressures
10
Pass-rush snaps
50
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
91.56/1796
LBDevon Jackson
23 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.3
Coverage
81.0
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
11
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
83.553/1796
RBDierre Hill Jr.
184 yds · 3 TD · 4.4 YPC
82.752/1044
WRMessiah Hampton
14 rec · 142 yds · 2 TD
80.651/2069
TEKendre Harrison
4 rec · 53 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.5
Run blocking
65.8
Penalties
0
79.826/1017
Availability reports · 5
  • Jeremiah McClellan · WRout · 2026-09-21

    McClellan is sidelined due to a foot injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.

  • Iverson Hooks · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hooks is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • D. Moore · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Moore is dealing with a concussion injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Dillon Gresham · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gresham is hampered by a neck injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17t

  • Simeon Price · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Price is nursing due to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UCLA
ORE
vs
Offense
64.9
#120 of 138
QB
85.8
#34 of 138
86.0
#7 of 138
RB
81.3
#27 of 138
74.0
#43 of 138
WR
72.9
#49 of 138
61.1
#110 of 138
TE
79.8
#25 of 138
69.3
#57 of 138
OL
73.7
#22 of 138
Defense
80.0
#16 of 138
DL
75.9
#47 of 138
84.2
#8 of 138
LB
84.4
#7 of 138
75.2
#31 of 138
DB
73.2
#55 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

UCLA
opponent
Oregon
H-5.7
USC#17
+14.0A
A-4.2
MICH#23
+14.1H
H+3.2
ILL#47
+10.9A
H+10.7
MSU#62
+18.4A