CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
NU 22.1%77.9% ORE
Projected margin
ORE by 12.2
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
NU 6 to ORE 31
Win probability
ORE 77.9%

Current team profiles

Northwestern
Oregon

When Northwestern has the ball

Passing

NU offense
Higher-ranked profile
NU offense
#9
ORE defense
#34
EPA comparison
0.52
#9
0.05
#34
Pass EPA

Rushing

NU offense
Higher-ranked profile
NU offense
#21
ORE defense
#34
EPA comparison
0.23
#21
-0.04
#34
Rush EPA

Drive success

NU offense
Higher-ranked profile
NU offense
#21
ORE defense
#37
Success rates
49%
#21
37%
#37
Success rate
More metrics
0.33
#8
-0.03
#32
EPA / play
1.31
#29
1.21
#69
Explosiveness
15%
#69
16%
#62
Havoc

When Oregon has the ball

Passing

ORE offense
Higher-ranked profile
NU defense
#55
ORE offense
#41
EPA comparison
0.10
#55
0.32
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

NU defense
Higher-ranked profile
NU defense
#73
ORE offense
#100
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.03
#100
Rush EPA

Drive success

ORE offense
Higher-ranked profile
NU defense
#104
ORE offense
#60
Success rates
43%
#104
44%
#60
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#69
0.17
#61
EPA / play
1.11
#26
1.32
#26
Explosiveness
17%
#49
14%
#67
Havoc

Current key players

Northwestern
QBAidan Chiles
900 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
73.8122/729
RBJoseph Himon II
277 yds · 3 TD · 13.8 YPC
86.625/1044
TELuke Dehnicke
11 rec · 208 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
35.0
Run blocking
60.8
Penalties
1
85.011/1017
DBBraden Turner
15 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
86.0
Coverage
78.9
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
100
Passer rating allowed
73.5
Missed tackles
1
78.389/2969
WRGriffin Wilde
16 rec · 281 yds · 2 TD
74.2140/2069
DBRobert Fitzgerald
42 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.6
Coverage
74.4
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
9
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
9
74.0227/2969
Availability reports · 7
  • Josh Fussell · CBout · 2026-10-10

    Fussell is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.

  • Tom McGlinchey · TEout · 2026-10-10

    McGlinchey is sidelined with an undisclosed injury and there is no timetable for return.

  • Luke Dehnicke · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Dehnicke is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Braden Turner · CBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Turner is bothered by a Undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Chase Farrell · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Farrell has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will be available against the MI State on Saturday,

  • Chris Petrucci · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Petrucci has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaden McDuffie · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    McDuffie is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be active against the MI State on Saturday, October 17th.

Oregon
QBDylan Raiola
413 yds · 5 TD · 0 INT
85.836/729
LBNasir Wyatt
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
64.7
Coverage
61.2
Pressures
10
Pass-rush snaps
50
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
91.56/1796
LBDevon Jackson
23 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.3
Coverage
81.0
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
11
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
83.553/1796
RBDierre Hill Jr.
184 yds · 3 TD · 4.4 YPC
82.752/1044
WRMessiah Hampton
14 rec · 142 yds · 2 TD
80.651/2069
TEKendre Harrison
4 rec · 53 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.5
Run blocking
65.8
Penalties
0
79.826/1017
Availability reports · 5
  • Jeremiah McClellan · WRout · 2026-09-21

    McClellan is sidelined due to a foot injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.

  • Iverson Hooks · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hooks is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • D. Moore · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Moore is dealing with a concussion injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Dillon Gresham · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gresham is hampered by a neck injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17t

  • Simeon Price · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Price is nursing due to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

NU
ORE
vs
Offense
73.8
#87 of 138
QB
85.8
#34 of 138
80.3
#34 of 138
RB
81.3
#27 of 138
66.2
#126 of 138
WR
72.9
#49 of 138
85.0
#11 of 138
TE
79.8
#25 of 138
65.8
#89 of 138
OL
73.7
#22 of 138
Defense
68.7
#118 of 138
DL
75.9
#47 of 138
68.7
#115 of 138
LB
84.4
#7 of 138
71.6
#75 of 138
DB
73.2
#55 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Northwestern
opponent
Oregon
A-17.5
OSU#2
-8.0A
A+8.9
MSU#62
+18.4A
H+6.8
ILL#47
+10.9A