CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
WASH 20.6%79.4% ORE
Projected margin
ORE by 12.7
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
WASH 6 to ORE 31
Win probability
ORE 79.4%

Current team profiles

Washington
Oregon

When Washington has the ball

Passing

ORE defense
Higher-ranked profile
WASH offense
#55
ORE defense
#34
EPA comparison
0.27
#55
0.05
#34
Pass EPA

Rushing

ORE defense
Higher-ranked profile
WASH offense
#116
ORE defense
#34
EPA comparison
-0.02
#116
-0.04
#34
Rush EPA

Drive success

ORE defense
Higher-ranked profile
WASH offense
#91
ORE defense
#37
Success rates
42%
#91
37%
#37
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#76
-0.03
#32
EPA / play
1.24
#68
1.21
#69
Explosiveness
14%
#52
16%
#62
Havoc

When Oregon has the ball

Passing

ORE offense
Higher-ranked profile
WASH defense
#69
ORE offense
#41
EPA comparison
0.14
#69
0.32
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

WASH defense
Higher-ranked profile
WASH defense
#29
ORE offense
#100
EPA comparison
-0.06
#29
0.03
#100
Rush EPA

Drive success

ORE offense
Higher-ranked profile
WASH defense
#67
ORE offense
#60
Success rates
40%
#67
44%
#60
Success rate
More metrics
0.00
#41
0.17
#61
EPA / play
1.16
#39
1.32
#26
Explosiveness
17%
#45
14%
#67
Havoc

Current key players

Washington
QBDemond Williams Jr.
1327 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
71.8140/729
SAlex McLaughlin
33 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.7
Coverage
88.8
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
89
Passer rating allowed
100.5
Missed tackles
5
84.527/2969
WRDezmen Roebuck
35 rec · 338 yds · 1 TD
75.1124/2069
SRahshawn Clark
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.6
Coverage
75.9
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
64
Passer rating allowed
29.0
Missed tackles
1
74.8200/2969
TEBaron Naone
16 rec · 245 yds · 2 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
39.7
Run blocking
50.0
Penalties
1
73.855/1017
CBRamonz Adams Jr.
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.8
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
70.1
Missed tackles
0
73.2267/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Jayden Limar · RBout · 2026-09-07

    Limar will undergo surgery due to an upper body injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Quaid Carr · RBout · 2026-09-07

    Carr will undergo surgery due to an undisclosed injury, and he is without a definitive timetable for return.

  • CJ Christian · Sout · 2026-10-03

    Christian is sidelined due to achilles injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Demond Williams Jr. · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Williams is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against the Boilermakers on Friday.

  • Christian Moss · WRQues. · 2026-09-20

    Moss is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against Golden Gophers on Saturday, September 26th.

Oregon
QBDylan Raiola
413 yds · 5 TD · 0 INT
85.836/729
LBNasir Wyatt
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
64.7
Coverage
61.2
Pressures
10
Pass-rush snaps
50
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
91.56/1796
LBDevon Jackson
23 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.3
Coverage
81.0
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
11
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
83.553/1796
RBDierre Hill Jr.
184 yds · 3 TD · 4.4 YPC
82.752/1044
WRMessiah Hampton
14 rec · 142 yds · 2 TD
80.651/2069
TEKendre Harrison
4 rec · 53 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.5
Run blocking
65.8
Penalties
0
79.826/1017
Availability reports · 5
  • Jeremiah McClellan · WRout · 2026-09-21

    McClellan is sidelined due to a foot injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.

  • Iverson Hooks · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hooks is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • D. Moore · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Moore is dealing with a concussion injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Dillon Gresham · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gresham is hampered by a neck injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17t

  • Simeon Price · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Price is nursing due to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

WASH
ORE
vs
Offense
71.8
#95 of 138
QB
85.8
#34 of 138
67.9
#129 of 138
RB
81.3
#27 of 138
67.8
#111 of 138
WR
72.9
#49 of 138
73.8
#43 of 138
TE
79.8
#25 of 138
67.3
#74 of 138
OL
73.7
#22 of 138
Defense
74.5
#58 of 138
DL
75.9
#47 of 138
69.8
#106 of 138
LB
84.4
#7 of 138
75.0
#35 of 138
DB
73.2
#55 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Washington
opponent
Oregon
A-4.0
USC#17
+14.0A
A-4.6
NEB#12
+10.7H
A+8.4
MSU#62
+18.4A