CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Fri Sep 18 · 10:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
PRST 0.1%99.9% ORE
Projected margin
ORE by 54.9
Projected total
69
80% outcome range
ORE 34 to ORE 77
Win probability
ORE 99.9%
FinalPRST 0 · ORE 84model had +54.9, off by 29.1

Current team profiles

Portland State
Oregon

When Portland State has the ball

Passing

No comparison
PRST offense
—
ORE defense
#34
EPA comparison
—
0.05
#34
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
PRST offense
—
ORE defense
#34
EPA comparison
—
-0.04
#34
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
PRST offense
#76
ORE defense
#37
Success rates
43%
#76
37%
#37
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#76
-0.03
#32
EPA / play
0.18
#109
1.21
#69
Explosiveness
—
16%
#62
Havoc

When Oregon has the ball

Passing

No comparison
PRST defense
—
ORE offense
#41
EPA comparison
—
0.32
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
PRST defense
—
ORE offense
#100
EPA comparison
—
0.03
#100
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
PRST defense
#114
ORE offense
#60
Success rates
48%
#114
44%
#60
Success rate
More metrics
0.21
#110
0.17
#61
EPA / play
0.25
#121
1.32
#26
Explosiveness
—
14%
#67
Havoc

Current key players

Portland State
QBTyrese Smith
268 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT
77.356/370
RBBo Gionet
— yds · — TD · — YPC
84.013/631
QBJohn-Keawe Sagapolutele
161 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT
76.559/370
DBTerahiti Wolfe
7 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.3
Coverage
77.9
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
66
Passer rating allowed
46.7
Missed tackles
1
75.7121/1765
RBDelon Thompson
411 yds · 3 TD · 5.1 YPC
73.4108/631
KJoshua Hossmann Lees
6/8 FG · 0%
73.355/416
Oregon
QBDylan Raiola
413 yds · 5 TD · 0 INT
85.836/729
LBNasir Wyatt
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
64.7
Coverage
61.2
Pressures
10
Pass-rush snaps
50
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
91.56/1796
LBDevon Jackson
23 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.3
Coverage
81.0
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
11
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
83.553/1796
RBDierre Hill Jr.
184 yds · 3 TD · 4.4 YPC
82.752/1044
WRMessiah Hampton
14 rec · 142 yds · 2 TD
80.651/2069
TEKendre Harrison
4 rec · 53 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.5
Run blocking
65.8
Penalties
0
79.826/1017
Availability reports · 5
  • Jeremiah McClellan · WRout · 2026-09-21

    McClellan is sidelined due to a foot injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.

  • Iverson Hooks · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hooks is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • D. Moore · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Moore is dealing with a concussion injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Dillon Gresham · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gresham is hampered by a neck injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17t

  • Simeon Price · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Price is nursing due to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

PRST
ORE
vs
Offense
77.3
#44 of 125
QB
85.8
#34 of 138
78.7
#14 of 126
RB
81.3
#27 of 138
67.2
#82 of 126
WR
72.9
#49 of 138
59.6
#96 of 124
TE
79.8
#25 of 138
56.1
#123 of 125
OL
73.7
#22 of 138
Defense
63.0
#124 of 126
DL
75.9
#47 of 138
65.8
#110 of 126
LB
84.4
#7 of 138
69.1
#90 of 126
DB
73.2
#55 of 138
Common opponents