AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 2:30 AM
Away
Portland State
—
8p
#2Home
Oregon
0-0 · AVR 85.1
63p
PRST 0%100% ORE
Spread
ORE -55.1
Total
71
Moneyline
PRST—ORE—
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Oregon
LBTeitum Tuioti
91.97/878
LBMatayo Uiagalelei
90.610/878
DBBrandon Finney Jr.
88.917/1427
TEJamari Johnson
84.51/287
DBPeyton Woodyard
81.377/1427
QBDante Moorequestionable
79.922/308

also out — Surprise Player Standing, Brayden Platt (LB), J. Davison (RB), Tony Cumberland

Projected margin

80% between 38 and 72
-3+3+7+14PKORE +55.195% interval: 32.1 to 78.180% interval: 38.4 to 71.8+38+72PRST wins 0%ORE wins 100%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ ORE 63–7 PRSTORE 60–32 PRST neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesORE 63–28 PRST neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesORE 67–25 PRST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesORE 70–21 PRST neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesORE 74–18 PRST neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesORE 77–14 PRST neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesORE 81–11 PRST neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesORE 84–7 PRST neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesORE 88–4 PRST neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesORE 56–28 PRST neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesORE 60–25 PRST neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesORE 63–21 PRST neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesORE 67–18 PRST neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesORE 70–14 PRST neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesORE 74–11 PRST neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesORE 77–7 PRST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesORE 81–4 PRST neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesORE 84–0 PRST neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesORE 53–25 PRST neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesORE 56–21 PRST neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesORE 60–18 PRST neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesORE 63–14 PRST neighborhood · ~3.7% of outcomesORE 67–11 PRST neighborhood · ~4.0% of outcomesORE 70–7 PRST neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesORE 74–4 PRST neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesORE 77–0 PRST neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)ORE 49–21 PRST neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesORE 53–18 PRST neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesORE 56–14 PRST neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesORE 60–11 PRST neighborhood · ~3.8% of outcomesORE 63–7 PRST neighborhood · ~4.2% of outcomesORE 67–4 PRST neighborhood · ~3.6% of outcomesORE 70–0 PRST neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)ORE 46–18 PRST neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesORE 49–14 PRST neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesORE 53–11 PRST neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesORE 56–7 PRST neighborhood · ~3.6% of outcomesORE 60–4 PRST neighborhood · ~3.9% of outcomesORE 63–0 PRST neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)ORE 42–14 PRST neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesORE 46–11 PRST neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesORE 49–7 PRST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesORE 53–4 PRST neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesORE 56–0 PRST neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)ORE 39–11 PRST neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesORE 42–7 PRST neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesORE 46–4 PRST neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesORE 49–0 PRST neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)91847770635649totalORE +28ORE +42ORE +56ORE +70ORE +84margin →