Passing
ORE offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ORE offense
- #41
- ILL defense
- #126
EPA comparison
0.32
#41
0.37
#126
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
ORE 76.0%24.0% ILL
- Projected margin
- ORE by 10.9
- Projected total
- 61
- 80% outcome range
- ORE 30 to ILL 8
- Win probability
- ORE 76.0%
Current team profiles
Oregon
IllinoisWhen Oregon has the ball
Rushing
ORE offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ORE offense
- #100
- ILL defense
- #101
EPA comparison
0.03
#100
0.12
#101
Rush EPA
Drive success
ORE offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ORE offense
- #60
- ILL defense
- #117
Success rates
44%
#60
46%
#117
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#61
0.25
#130
EPA / play
1.32
#26
1.27
#93
Explosiveness
14%
#67
12%
#125
Havoc
When Illinois has the ball
Passing
ORE defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ORE defense
- #34
- ILL offense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.05
#34
0.32
#41
Pass EPA
Rushing
ORE defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ORE defense
- #34
- ILL offense
- #39
EPA comparison
-0.04
#34
0.18
#39
Rush EPA
Drive success
ILL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ORE defense
- #37
- ILL offense
- #15
Success rates
37%
#37
50%
#15
Success rate
More metrics
-0.03
#32
0.23
#34
EPA / play
1.21
#69
1.25
#60
Explosiveness
16%
#62
11%
#14
Havoc
Current key players
OregonQBDylan Raiola
413 yds · 5 TD · 0 INT
85.836/729
LBNasir Wyatt
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 64.7
- Coverage
- 61.2
- Pressures
- 10
- Pass-rush snaps
- 50
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
91.56/1796
LBDevon Jackson
23 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.3
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 11
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
83.553/1796
RBDierre Hill Jr.
184 yds · 3 TD · 4.4 YPC
82.752/1044
WRMessiah Hampton
14 rec · 142 yds · 2 TD
80.651/2069
TEKendre Harrison
4 rec · 53 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 71.5
- Run blocking
- 65.8
- Penalties
- 0
79.826/1017
Availability reports · 5
- Jeremiah McClellan · WRout · 2026-09-21
McClellan is sidelined due to a foot injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Iverson Hooks · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Hooks is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.
- D. Moore · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Moore is dealing with a concussion injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.
- Dillon Gresham · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Gresham is hampered by a neck injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17t
- Simeon Price · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Price is nursing due to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October
IllinoisQBKatin Houser
1246 yds · 11 TD · 3 INT
90.814/729
WRCollin Dixon
40 rec · 546 yds · 8 TD
87.019/2069
LBCameron Thomas
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.3
- Coverage
- 84.7
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 18
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 1
80.676/1796
LBWill Holmes
13 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.4
- Coverage
- 60.3
- Pressures
- 16
- Pass-rush snaps
- 92
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.491/1796
RBJavari Barnett
54 yds · 1 TD · 5.4 YPC
79.393/1044
DBMatthew Bailey
37 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.2
- Coverage
- 79.8
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 38
- Passer rating allowed
- 20.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
78.681/2969
Availability reports · 11
- Tanner Hollinger · TEout · 2026-08-11
Hollinger has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season
- Alex Perry · WRout · 2026-08-13
Perry is batting with a shoulder injury and will undergo surgery, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- BJ Thurman · TEout · 2026-08-13
Thurman is laid up with foot surgery, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
- Grant Smith · TEout · 2026-08-23
Smith is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Will Vala III · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Vala III is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will take the field against Ducks on Sunday, October 24t
- Jacob Eberhart · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Eberhart is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will take the field against Ducks on Sunday, October 24t
- Jacob Harvey · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Harvey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Jayshon Platt · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Platt is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will partake against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- John Forster · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Forster is nursing with a knee injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Kenyon Alston · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Alston is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Nas Rankin · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Rankin is nursing with a leg injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
OREOregon
ILLIllinois
vs
Offense
85.8
#34 of 138
QB
Quarterback
90.8
#14 of 138
81.3
#27 of 138
RB
Running backs
75.4
#70 of 138
72.9
#49 of 138
WR
Receivers
75.8
#31 of 138
79.8
#25 of 138
TE
Tight ends
73.7
#44 of 138
73.7
#22 of 138
OL
Offensive line
69.2
#60 of 138
Defense
75.9
#47 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.8
#74 of 138
84.4
#7 of 138
LB
Linebackers
76.7
#48 of 138
73.2
#55 of 138
DB
Secondary
73.0
#57 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Oregon
opponent
Illinois
Hhome+12.2
NUNorthwestern#16-6.8Aaway
Aaway+18.4
MSUMichigan State#62+1.0Aaway
Aaway-8.0
OSUOhio State#2-23.0Aaway
Hhome+10.7
NEBNebraska#12-2.9Hhome
Hhome-2.0
UCLAUCLA#24-3.2Aaway