CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17
Forecast win probability
NEB 24.5%75.5% ORE
Projected margin
ORE by 10.7
Projected total
60
80% outcome range
NEB 8 to ORE 29
Win probability
ORE 75.5%

Current team profiles

Nebraska
Oregon

When Nebraska has the ball

Passing

ORE defense
Higher-ranked profile
NEB offense
#47
ORE defense
#34
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
0.05
#34
Pass EPA

Rushing

NEB offense
Higher-ranked profile
NEB offense
#3
ORE defense
#34
EPA comparison
0.33
#3
-0.04
#34
Rush EPA

Drive success

NEB offense
Higher-ranked profile
NEB offense
#36
ORE defense
#37
Success rates
48%
#36
37%
#37
Success rate
More metrics
0.31
#14
-0.03
#32
EPA / play
1.38
#14
1.21
#69
Explosiveness
13%
#37
16%
#62
Havoc

When Oregon has the ball

Passing

NEB defense
Higher-ranked profile
NEB defense
#7
ORE offense
#41
EPA comparison
-0.10
#7
0.32
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

NEB defense
Higher-ranked profile
NEB defense
#63
ORE offense
#100
EPA comparison
0.03
#63
0.03
#100
Rush EPA

Drive success

NEB defense
Higher-ranked profile
NEB defense
#18
ORE offense
#60
Success rates
34%
#18
44%
#60
Success rate
More metrics
-0.02
#35
0.17
#61
EPA / play
1.36
#120
1.32
#26
Explosiveness
19%
#28
14%
#67
Havoc

Current key players

Nebraska
QBAnthony Colandrea
1142 yds · 13 TD · 2 INT
91.110/729
RBJamal Rule
333 yds · 5 TD · 7.9 YPC
86.229/1044
LBDerek Wacker
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
81.4
Coverage
76.8
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
86.133/1796
LBOwen Chambliss
26 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.0
Coverage
83.4
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
16
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
83.057/1796
CBAndrew Marshall
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.6
Coverage
76.4
Targets allowed
17
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
13
Passer rating allowed
34.7
Missed tackles
1
77.7104/2969
CBVictor Evans III
12 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.0
Coverage
73.4
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
46
Passer rating allowed
65.0
Missed tackles
0
73.1269/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Riley Van Poppel · DLQues. · 2026-10-10

    Van Poppel is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Larry Miles · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Miles is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will face Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Carter Nelson · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Nelson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but it is yet to established if he will play against the Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.

Oregon
QBDylan Raiola
413 yds · 5 TD · 0 INT
85.836/729
LBNasir Wyatt
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
64.7
Coverage
61.2
Pressures
10
Pass-rush snaps
50
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
91.56/1796
LBDevon Jackson
23 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.3
Coverage
81.0
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
11
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
83.553/1796
RBDierre Hill Jr.
184 yds · 3 TD · 4.4 YPC
82.752/1044
WRMessiah Hampton
14 rec · 142 yds · 2 TD
80.651/2069
TEKendre Harrison
4 rec · 53 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.5
Run blocking
65.8
Penalties
0
79.826/1017
Availability reports · 5
  • Jeremiah McClellan · WRout · 2026-09-21

    McClellan is sidelined due to a foot injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.

  • Iverson Hooks · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hooks is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • D. Moore · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Moore is dealing with a concussion injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Dillon Gresham · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gresham is hampered by a neck injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be active against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October 17t

  • Simeon Price · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Price is nursing due to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Cornhuskers on Saturday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

NEB
ORE
vs
Offense
91.1
#11 of 138
QB
85.8
#34 of 138
83.2
#18 of 138
RB
81.3
#27 of 138
69.6
#86 of 138
WR
72.9
#49 of 138
67.3
#79 of 138
TE
79.8
#25 of 138
71.7
#41 of 138
OL
73.7
#22 of 138
Defense
77.8
#27 of 138
DL
75.9
#47 of 138
79.3
#25 of 138
LB
84.4
#7 of 138
71.6
#74 of 138
DB
73.2
#55 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Nebraska
opponent
Oregon
H+4.6
WASH#45
+12.7H
A+2.9
ILL#47
+10.9A
H-10.7
OSU#2
-8.0A
A+18.0
MSU#62
+18.4A