Passing
OKST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- OKST offense
- #31
- TLSA defense
- #82
EPA comparison
0.37
#31
0.18
#82
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 3:45 PM ET
Forecast win probability
OKST 49.1%50.9% TLSA
- Projected margin
- TLSA by 0.4
- Projected total
- 50
- 80% outcome range
- OKST 20 to TLSA 21
- Win probability
- TLSA 50.9%
FinalOKST 10 · TLSA 24model had +0.4, off by 13.6
Current team profiles
Oklahoma State
TulsaWhen Oklahoma State has the ball
Rushing
TLSA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- OKST offense
- #93
- TLSA defense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.04
#93
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA
Drive success
OKST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- OKST offense
- #18
- TLSA defense
- #74
Success rates
50%
#18
41%
#74
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#63
0.03
#54
EPA / play
1.09
#128
1.14
#29
Explosiveness
10%
#9
13%
#116
Havoc
When Tulsa has the ball
Passing
OKST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- OKST defense
- #41
- TLSA offense
- #108
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.09
#108
Pass EPA
Rushing
TLSA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- OKST defense
- #47
- TLSA offense
- #21
EPA comparison
0.00
#47
0.23
#21
Rush EPA
Drive success
OKST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- OKST defense
- #54
- TLSA offense
- #117
Success rates
39%
#54
39%
#117
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#52
0.14
#74
EPA / play
1.20
#57
1.22
#78
Explosiveness
15%
#81
15%
#69
Havoc
Current key players
Oklahoma StateQBDrew Mestemaker
1271 yds · 11 TD · 5 INT
83.155/729
WRWyatt Young
22 rec · 410 yds · 3 TD
84.026/2069
RBKD Jones
54 yds · 1 TD · 7.7 YPC
83.744/1044
LBEthan Wesloski
36 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.6
- Coverage
- 81.3
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 17
- Missed tackles
- 7
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.392/1796
CBMo Horn
10 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 61.7
- Coverage
- 82.3
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 8
- Yards allowed
- 66
- Passer rating allowed
- 118.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
78.192/2969
LBJack Puckett
0 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 61.7
- Coverage
- 60.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.8161/1796
Availability reports · 2
- Jacob Sexton · OGout · 2026-10-10
Sexton is dealing with a leg injury, and there is no timetable for return.
- Oscar Hammond · TEout · 2026-09-20
Hammond is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
TulsaQBDexter Williams II
340 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
64.2222/729
RBSeth Davis
90 yds · 1 TD · 10.0 YPC
88.714/1044
TEJackson Shockley
1 rec · 22 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 48.5
- Run blocking
- 65.5
- Penalties
- 0
87.18/1017
DBDevin Robinson
19 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.6
- Coverage
- 76.0
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 62
- Passer rating allowed
- 92.5
- Missed tackles
- 3
79.077/2969
LBDax Collins
39 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.8
- Coverage
- 58.3
- Pressures
- 12
- Pass-rush snaps
- 24
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 0
76.7146/1796
CBCaldra Williford
16 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.4
- Coverage
- 74.2
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 65
- Passer rating allowed
- 158.3
- Missed tackles
- 2
75.4178/2969
Availability reports · 2
- Jimmy Calloway · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Calloway is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against the Owls on Saturday, Octob
- Grayson Tempest · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Tempest is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against the Owls on Saturday, Octobe
Position units
Position-unit comparison
OKSTOklahoma State
TLSATulsa
vs
Offense
83.1
#48 of 138
QB
Quarterback
64.2
#121 of 138
79.5
#38 of 138
RB
Running backs
84.4
#13 of 138
76.0
#30 of 138
WR
Receivers
67.0
#120 of 138
60.4
#115 of 138
TE
Tight ends
87.1
#8 of 138
69.7
#56 of 138
OL
Offensive line
68.5
#64 of 138
Defense
75.6
#49 of 138
DL
Defensive line
73.1
#68 of 138
76.0
#51 of 138
LB
Linebackers
71.4
#93 of 138
70.7
#88 of 138
DB
Secondary
74.5
#41 of 138