CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
COLO 37.5%62.5% OKST
Projected margin
OKST by 4.8
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
COLO 14 to OKST 23
Win probability
OKST 62.5%

Current team profiles

Colorado
Oklahoma State

When Colorado has the ball

Passing

OKST defense
Higher-ranked profile
COLO offense
#108
OKST defense
#41
EPA comparison
0.09
#108
0.07
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

OKST defense
Higher-ranked profile
COLO offense
#132
OKST defense
#47
EPA comparison
-0.10
#132
0.00
#47
Rush EPA

Drive success

OKST defense
Higher-ranked profile
COLO offense
#107
OKST defense
#54
Success rates
40%
#107
39%
#54
Success rate
More metrics
-0.01
#125
0.02
#52
EPA / play
1.17
#100
1.20
#57
Explosiveness
17%
#106
15%
#81
Havoc

When Oklahoma State has the ball

Passing

OKST offense
Higher-ranked profile
COLO defense
#79
OKST offense
#31
EPA comparison
0.17
#79
0.37
#31
Pass EPA

Rushing

COLO defense
Higher-ranked profile
COLO defense
#12
OKST offense
#93
EPA comparison
-0.14
#12
0.04
#93
Rush EPA

Drive success

OKST offense
Higher-ranked profile
COLO defense
#37
OKST offense
#18
Success rates
37%
#37
50%
#18
Success rate
More metrics
-0.02
#34
0.17
#63
EPA / play
1.20
#57
1.09
#128
Explosiveness
21%
#13
10%
#9
Havoc

Current key players

Colorado
QBIsaac Wilson
443 yds · 2 TD · 3 INT
60.1271/729
DBJah Jah Boyd
12 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
86.0
Coverage
85.7
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
1
88.913/2969
RBTitus Bautista
7 yds · 0 TD · 7.0 YPC
83.745/1044
LBCarson Crawford
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
62.7
Coverage
71.4
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
4
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
77.0141/1796
WRJoseph Williams
32 rec · 454 yds · 5 TD
76.993/2069
DBRJ Johnson
4 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.0
Coverage
79.2
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
76.2153/2969
Availability reports · 7
  • Zach Atkins · TEout · 2026-10-02

    Atkins is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Danny Scudero · WRout · 2026-10-01

    Scudero is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Makari Vickers · CBout · 2026-10-02

    Vickers is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Quentin Gibson · WRQues. · 2026-10-01

    Gibson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the Red-raiders on Saturday.

  • Charlie Williams · TEQues. · 2026-10-01

    Williams is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Damian Henderson II · RBprobable · 2026-10-01

    Henderson II is managing with an undisclosed injury , but it is expected to play against Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • DeAndre Moore Jr. · WRprobable · 2026-10-02

    Moore Jr is managing with an undisclosed injury , but it is expected to play against the Red Raiders on Saturday.

Oklahoma State
QBDrew Mestemaker
1271 yds · 11 TD · 5 INT
83.155/729
WRWyatt Young
22 rec · 410 yds · 3 TD
84.026/2069
RBKD Jones
54 yds · 1 TD · 7.7 YPC
83.744/1044
LBEthan Wesloski
36 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.6
Coverage
81.3
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
17
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
0
79.392/1796
CBMo Horn
10 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.7
Coverage
82.3
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
66
Passer rating allowed
118.0
Missed tackles
0
78.192/2969
LBJack Puckett
0 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
61.7
Coverage
60.7
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
75.8161/1796
Availability reports · 2
  • Jacob Sexton · OGout · 2026-10-10

    Sexton is dealing with a leg injury, and there is no timetable for return.

  • Oscar Hammond · TEout · 2026-09-20

    Hammond is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

COLO
OKST
vs
Offense
60.1
#132 of 138
QB
83.1
#48 of 138
81.9
#24 of 138
RB
79.5
#38 of 138
71.8
#64 of 138
WR
76.0
#30 of 138
56.5
#135 of 138
TE
60.4
#115 of 138
71.2
#43 of 138
OL
69.7
#56 of 138
Defense
77.4
#31 of 138
DL
75.6
#49 of 138
74.1
#69 of 138
LB
76.0
#51 of 138
75.0
#34 of 138
DB
70.7
#88 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Colorado
opponent
Oklahoma State
H-5.4
UCF#48
+14.0H
H-9.2
KSU#37
-12.3A
H-10.0
HOU#13
-13.1A
A-9.6
ASU#65
-7.4A
H-22.0
TTU#10
-21.6H