CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
KU 49.7%50.3% OKST
Projected margin
OKST by 0.1
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
KU 18 to OKST 19
Win probability
OKST 50.3%

Current team profiles

Kansas
Oklahoma State

When Kansas has the ball

Passing

OKST defense
Higher-ranked profile
KU offense
#55
OKST defense
#41
EPA comparison
0.27
#55
0.07
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

KU offense
Higher-ranked profile
KU offense
#19
OKST defense
#47
EPA comparison
0.24
#19
0.00
#47
Rush EPA

Drive success

KU offense
Higher-ranked profile
KU offense
#28
OKST defense
#54
Success rates
48%
#28
39%
#54
Success rate
More metrics
0.25
#28
0.02
#52
EPA / play
1.34
#20
1.20
#57
Explosiveness
14%
#60
15%
#81
Havoc

When Oklahoma State has the ball

Passing

OKST offense
Higher-ranked profile
KU defense
#71
OKST offense
#31
EPA comparison
0.15
#71
0.37
#31
Pass EPA

Rushing

KU defense
Higher-ranked profile
KU defense
#27
OKST offense
#93
EPA comparison
-0.07
#27
0.04
#93
Rush EPA

Drive success

OKST offense
Higher-ranked profile
KU defense
#20
OKST offense
#18
Success rates
35%
#20
50%
#18
Success rate
More metrics
-0.03
#30
0.17
#63
EPA / play
1.27
#92
1.09
#128
Explosiveness
20%
#19
10%
#9
Havoc

Current key players

Kansas
QBChase Jenkins
65 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
93.31/729
LBJaron Willis
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
81.8
Coverage
71.6
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
86.330/1796
WRNik McMillan
14 rec · 256 yds · 2 TD
85.324/2069
LBTrey Lathan
22 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.1
Coverage
83.7
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
9
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
83.554/1796
TEJack Utz
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
84.2
Penalties
0
77.934/1017
RBJalen Dupree
103 yds · 2 TD · 4.9 YPC
77.8120/1044
Availability reports · 7
  • Cole Ballard · QBout · 2026-10-02

    Ballard is dealing with a shoulder injury, and there is no timetable for return.

  • Yasin Willis · RBout · 2026-09-28

    Willis has been out of the lineup with an foot injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Justin Thurman · RBout · 2026-08-11

    Thurman has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Kory Amachree · RBout · 2026-10-02

    Amachree is expected to miss the remainder of the season due to an undisclosed injury.

  • Jaylen Mason · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Mason is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jailen Butler · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Butler exited the game with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to be established if he will suit up against Wildcats on Saturday, October

  • Carter Moses · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Moses is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.

Oklahoma State
QBDrew Mestemaker
1271 yds · 11 TD · 5 INT
83.155/729
WRWyatt Young
22 rec · 410 yds · 3 TD
84.026/2069
RBKD Jones
54 yds · 1 TD · 7.7 YPC
83.744/1044
LBEthan Wesloski
36 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.6
Coverage
81.3
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
17
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
0
79.392/1796
CBMo Horn
10 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.7
Coverage
82.3
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
66
Passer rating allowed
118.0
Missed tackles
0
78.192/2969
LBJack Puckett
0 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
61.7
Coverage
60.7
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
75.8161/1796
Availability reports · 2
  • Jacob Sexton · OGout · 2026-10-10

    Sexton is dealing with a leg injury, and there is no timetable for return.

  • Oscar Hammond · TEout · 2026-09-20

    Hammond is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

KU
OKST
vs
Offense
93.3
#1 of 138
QB
83.1
#48 of 138
76.8
#57 of 138
RB
79.5
#38 of 138
78.9
#15 of 138
WR
76.0
#30 of 138
77.9
#30 of 138
TE
60.4
#115 of 138
77.5
#8 of 138
OL
69.7
#56 of 138
Defense
89.4
#1 of 138
DL
75.6
#49 of 138
83.2
#10 of 138
LB
76.0
#51 of 138
72.4
#66 of 138
DB
70.7
#88 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Kansas
opponent
Oklahoma State
A-4.5
WVU#86
+17.0A
H-0.7
UCF#48
+14.0H
A-9.7
KSU#37
-12.3A
N-7.0
ASU#65
-7.4A