CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ASU 7.6%92.4% TTU
Projected margin
TTU by 22.2
Projected total
57
80% outcome range
TTU 4 to TTU 41
Win probability
TTU 92.4%

Current team profiles

Arizona State
Texas Tech

When Arizona State has the ball

Passing

TTU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU offense
#84
TTU defense
#30
EPA comparison
0.16
#84
0.02
#30
Pass EPA

Rushing

TTU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU offense
#88
TTU defense
#22
EPA comparison
0.06
#88
-0.09
#22
Rush EPA

Drive success

TTU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU offense
#67
TTU defense
#35
Success rates
44%
#67
36%
#35
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#98
-0.06
#17
EPA / play
1.21
#86
1.29
#102
Explosiveness
16%
#88
17%
#56
Havoc

When Texas Tech has the ball

Passing

TTU offense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU defense
#65
TTU offense
#33
EPA comparison
0.12
#65
0.36
#33
Pass EPA

Rushing

TTU offense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU defense
#84
TTU offense
#42
EPA comparison
0.07
#84
0.17
#42
Rush EPA

Drive success

TTU offense
Higher-ranked profile
ASU defense
#49
TTU offense
#42
Success rates
38%
#49
47%
#42
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#87
0.19
#51
EPA / play
1.31
#105
1.15
#105
Explosiveness
15%
#90
19%
#126
Havoc

Current key players

Arizona State
QBCutter Boley
1040 yds · 10 TD · 3 INT
78.286/729
WRReed Harris
26 rec · 499 yds · 5 TD
88.012/2069
LBIsaiah Iosefa
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.8
Coverage
71.1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
82.361/1796
RBDemarius Robinson
27 yds · 0 TD · 6.8 YPC
80.571/1044
DBCaleb Chester
9 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.0
Coverage
77.8
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
34
Passer rating allowed
86.9
Missed tackles
1
79.176/2969
DBLyrik Rawls
11 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.5
Coverage
79.6
Targets allowed
9
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
87
Passer rating allowed
95.4
Missed tackles
2
75.9162/2969
Availability reports · 6
  • Lyrik Rawls · CBout · 2026-10-07

    Rawls is managing with a leg injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Khamari Anderson · TEout · 2026-09-21

    Anderson is sidelined with a leg injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Wade Helton · OGout · 2026-09-18

    Helton is sidelined with a leg injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Zyrus Fiaseu · LBout · 2026-08-25

    Fiaseu is sidelined with a knee injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Grayson Rigdon · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Rigdon is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Raiders on Saturday, October

  • Harry Hassmann · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hassmann is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Raiders on Saturday, October 17th.

Texas Tech
QBWill Hammond
1102 yds · 5 TD · 5 INT
66.1203/729
LBAustin Romaine
33 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.3
Coverage
82.6
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
20
Missed tackles
5
Forced fumbles
0
85.236/1796
TETerrance Carter Jr.
13 rec · 129 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
69.8
Run blocking
83.9
Penalties
0
81.121/1017
LBCorey Platt Jr.
11 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
51.4
Coverage
88.9
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
79.885/1796
RBJ'Koby Williams
373 yds · 3 TD · 5.9 YPC
78.599/1044
CBDavin Martin
13 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.8
Coverage
77.4
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
111
Passer rating allowed
78.7
Missed tackles
1
78.096/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Cameron Dickey · RBout · 2026-10-05

    Dickey is battling with a sprained ankle injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Trey White · LBQues. · 2026-09-26

    White is battling with a knee injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Colorado on Saturday, October 3rd.

  • Amier Boyd · CBQues. · 2026-09-26

    Boyd is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Colorado on Saturday, October 3rd.

  • Terrance Carter Jr. · TEprobable · 2026-09-28

    Carter Jr is nursing a shoulder injury, but he is expected to play against Colorado on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

ASU
TTU
vs
Offense
78.2
#67 of 138
QB
66.1
#116 of 138
78.6
#43 of 138
RB
76.2
#64 of 138
72.8
#51 of 138
WR
66.7
#124 of 138
60.5
#114 of 138
TE
81.1
#21 of 138
70.2
#52 of 138
OL
70.9
#47 of 138
Defense
76.2
#44 of 138
DL
75.4
#50 of 138
72.0
#88 of 138
LB
80.1
#21 of 138
73.3
#53 of 138
DB
75.1
#32 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Arizona State
opponent
Texas Tech
H-36.0
BAY#41
+13.7A
A-11.7
ARIZ#25
+13.2H
H+7.4
OKST#52
+21.6A
H+9.6
COLO#84
+22.0A