Passing
HOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- HOU offense
- #6
- TTU defense
- #30
EPA comparison
0.55
#6
0.02
#30
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 3 · Fri Sep 18 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
HOU 23.2%76.8% TTU
- Projected margin
- TTU by 10.1
- Projected total
- 54
- 80% outcome range
- HOU 8 to TTU 30
- Win probability
- TTU 76.8%
FinalHOU 26 · TTU 28model had +10.1, off by 8.1
Current team profiles
Houston
Texas TechWhen Houston has the ball
Rushing
HOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- HOU offense
- #21
- TTU defense
- #22
EPA comparison
0.23
#21
-0.09
#22
Rush EPA
Drive success
HOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- HOU offense
- #2
- TTU defense
- #35
Success rates
55%
#2
36%
#35
Success rate
More metrics
0.36
#5
-0.06
#17
EPA / play
1.09
#127
1.29
#102
Explosiveness
10%
#7
17%
#56
Havoc
When Texas Tech has the ball
Passing
TTU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- HOU defense
- #93
- TTU offense
- #33
EPA comparison
0.22
#93
0.36
#33
Pass EPA
Rushing
HOU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- HOU defense
- #33
- TTU offense
- #42
EPA comparison
-0.05
#33
0.17
#42
Rush EPA
Drive success
TTU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- HOU defense
- #55
- TTU offense
- #42
Success rates
39%
#55
47%
#42
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#84
0.19
#51
EPA / play
1.32
#111
1.15
#105
Explosiveness
20%
#19
19%
#126
Havoc
Current key players
HoustonQBLuke Carney
— yds · — TD · — INT
90.420/729
WRJack Newhouse
— rec · — yds · — TD
92.44/2069
LBChristian Brathwaite
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.0
- Coverage
- 72.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
91.17/1796
RBJohn Hebert
65 yds · 1 TD · 13.0 YPC
88.715/1044
TEWyatt Herbel
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 83.4
- Penalties
- 0
88.65/1017
DBJalen Mayo
19 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.2
- Coverage
- 78.7
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 158
- Passer rating allowed
- 74.5
- Missed tackles
- 3
83.832/2969
Availability reports · 6
- John Hebert · RBout · 2026-10-05
Hebert is laid up with a lower leg injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Muizz Tounkara · WRout · 2026-08-11
Tounkara is nursing with a foot injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Jacory Thurman · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Thurman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jeffrey Strozier Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Strozier is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will suit up against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th
- Evan Noel · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Noel is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
- JayShon Ridgle · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Ridgle is dealing with undisclosed injury, it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
Texas TechQBWill Hammond
1102 yds · 5 TD · 5 INT
66.1203/729
LBAustin Romaine
33 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.3
- Coverage
- 82.6
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 20
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 0
85.236/1796
TETerrance Carter Jr.
13 rec · 129 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 69.8
- Run blocking
- 83.9
- Penalties
- 0
81.121/1017
LBCorey Platt Jr.
11 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 51.4
- Coverage
- 88.9
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.885/1796
RBJ'Koby Williams
373 yds · 3 TD · 5.9 YPC
78.599/1044
CBDavin Martin
13 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.8
- Coverage
- 77.4
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 111
- Passer rating allowed
- 78.7
- Missed tackles
- 1
78.096/2969
Availability reports · 4
- Cameron Dickey · RBout · 2026-10-05
Dickey is battling with a sprained ankle injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Trey White · LBQues. · 2026-09-26
White is battling with a knee injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Colorado on Saturday, October 3rd.
- Amier Boyd · CBQues. · 2026-09-26
Boyd is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Colorado on Saturday, October 3rd.
- Terrance Carter Jr. · TEprobable · 2026-09-28
Carter Jr is nursing a shoulder injury, but he is expected to play against Colorado on Saturday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
HOUHouston
TTUTexas Tech
vs
Offense
90.4
#19 of 138
QB
Quarterback
66.1
#116 of 138
87.3
#4 of 138
RB
Running backs
76.2
#64 of 138
77.3
#22 of 138
WR
Receivers
66.7
#124 of 138
88.6
#5 of 138
TE
Tight ends
81.1
#21 of 138
76.2
#12 of 138
OL
Offensive line
70.9
#47 of 138
Defense
80.3
#15 of 138
DL
Defensive line
75.4
#50 of 138
77.6
#40 of 138
LB
Linebackers
80.1
#21 of 138
72.8
#58 of 138
DB
Secondary
75.1
#32 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Houston
opponent
Texas Tech
Aaway+3.4
WVUWest Virginia#86+22.5Hhome
Aaway+10.0
COLOColorado#84+22.0Aaway
Hhome+13.1
OKSTOklahoma State#52+21.6Aaway
Hhome+6.4
CINCincinnati#59+14.9Aaway
Hhome+5.2
BAYBaylor#41+13.7Aaway
Hhome+13.0
ORSTOregon State#44+11.0Aaway