CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
TTU 83.0%17.0% CIN
Projected margin
TTU by 14.9
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
TTU 33 to CIN 4
Win probability
TTU 83.0%

Current team profiles

Texas Tech
Cincinnati

When Texas Tech has the ball

Passing

TTU offense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU offense
#33
CIN defense
#103
EPA comparison
0.36
#33
0.27
#103
Pass EPA

Rushing

TTU offense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU offense
#42
CIN defense
#98
EPA comparison
0.17
#42
0.11
#98
Rush EPA

Drive success

TTU offense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU offense
#42
CIN defense
#100
Success rates
47%
#42
43%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
0.19
#51
0.13
#98
EPA / play
1.15
#105
1.20
#57
Explosiveness
19%
#126
16%
#65
Havoc

When Cincinnati has the ball

Passing

TTU defense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU defense
#30
CIN offense
#45
EPA comparison
0.02
#30
0.29
#45
Pass EPA

Rushing

CIN offense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU defense
#22
CIN offense
#4
EPA comparison
-0.09
#22
0.31
#4
Rush EPA

Drive success

TTU defense
Higher-ranked profile
TTU defense
#35
CIN offense
#46
Success rates
36%
#35
46%
#46
Success rate
More metrics
-0.06
#17
0.29
#21
EPA / play
1.29
#102
1.35
#16
Explosiveness
17%
#56
12%
#26
Havoc

Current key players

Texas Tech
QBWill Hammond
1102 yds · 5 TD · 5 INT
66.1203/729
LBAustin Romaine
33 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.3
Coverage
82.6
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
20
Missed tackles
5
Forced fumbles
0
85.236/1796
TETerrance Carter Jr.
13 rec · 129 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
69.8
Run blocking
83.9
Penalties
0
81.121/1017
LBCorey Platt Jr.
11 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
51.4
Coverage
88.9
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
79.885/1796
RBJ'Koby Williams
373 yds · 3 TD · 5.9 YPC
78.599/1044
CBDavin Martin
13 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.8
Coverage
77.4
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
111
Passer rating allowed
78.7
Missed tackles
1
78.096/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Cameron Dickey · RBout · 2026-10-05

    Dickey is battling with a sprained ankle injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Trey White · LBQues. · 2026-09-26

    White is battling with a knee injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Colorado on Saturday, October 3rd.

  • Amier Boyd · CBQues. · 2026-09-26

    Boyd is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Colorado on Saturday, October 3rd.

  • Terrance Carter Jr. · TEprobable · 2026-09-28

    Carter Jr is nursing a shoulder injury, but he is expected to play against Colorado on Saturday.

Cincinnati
QBJC French IV
949 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
83.253/729
RBCole Tabb
330 yds · 6 TD · 9.7 YPC
92.72/1044
CBZay Johnson
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
80.1
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
2
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
0
80.755/2969
LBAntwan Peek Jr.
38 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.2
Coverage
74.4
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
42
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
2
76.5149/1796
SMJ Cannon
22 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.8
Coverage
75.0
Targets allowed
22
Rec allowed
13
Yards allowed
194
Passer rating allowed
50.2
Missed tackles
5
75.4179/2969
LBJonathan Thompson
36 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.1
Coverage
70.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
30
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
2
74.5197/1796
Availability reports · 2
  • DaMari Witherspoon · TEQues. · 2026-09-27

    Witherspoon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Arizona on Saturday, October 3th.

  • Giyahni Kontosis · WRprobable · 2026-10-02

    Kontosis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but he is expected to be active against Arizona on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

TTU
CIN
vs
Offense
66.1
#116 of 138
QB
83.2
#47 of 138
76.2
#64 of 138
RB
83.7
#17 of 138
66.7
#124 of 138
WR
68.8
#97 of 138
81.1
#21 of 138
TE
70.0
#65 of 138
70.9
#47 of 138
OL
76.4
#11 of 138
Defense
75.4
#50 of 138
DL
67.8
#124 of 138
80.1
#21 of 138
LB
73.7
#73 of 138
75.1
#32 of 138
DB
72.0
#70 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Texas Tech
opponent
Cincinnati
H+13.2
ARIZ#25
-27.0A
H+22.5
WVU#86
-0.3A
A+22.0
COLO#84
+11.6H
H+2.0
HOU#13
-6.4A