CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
ARIZ 19.2%80.8% TTU
Projected margin
TTU by 13.2
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
ARIZ 5 to TTU 32
Win probability
TTU 80.8%

Current team profiles

Arizona
Texas Tech

When Arizona has the ball

Passing

ARIZ offense
Higher-ranked profile
ARIZ offense
#28
TTU defense
#30
EPA comparison
0.39
#28
0.02
#30
Pass EPA

Rushing

TTU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ARIZ offense
#61
TTU defense
#22
EPA comparison
0.13
#61
-0.09
#22
Rush EPA

Drive success

ARIZ offense
Higher-ranked profile
ARIZ offense
#21
TTU defense
#35
Success rates
49%
#21
36%
#35
Success rate
More metrics
0.24
#32
-0.06
#17
EPA / play
1.22
#77
1.29
#102
Explosiveness
14%
#52
17%
#56
Havoc

When Texas Tech has the ball

Passing

ARIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
ARIZ defense
#17
TTU offense
#33
EPA comparison
-0.01
#17
0.36
#33
Pass EPA

Rushing

TTU offense
Higher-ranked profile
ARIZ defense
#47
TTU offense
#42
EPA comparison
0.00
#47
0.17
#42
Rush EPA

Drive success

ARIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
ARIZ defense
#27
TTU offense
#42
Success rates
35%
#27
47%
#42
Success rate
More metrics
-0.04
#28
0.19
#51
EPA / play
1.42
#131
1.15
#105
Explosiveness
16%
#63
19%
#126
Havoc

Current key players

Arizona
QBNoah Fifita
1398 yds · 13 TD · 3 INT
83.452/729
LBDash Fifita
5 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
56.6
Coverage
71.5
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
22
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
84.743/1796
CBJay'Vion Cole
17 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.0
Coverage
76.6
Targets allowed
27
Rec allowed
14
Yards allowed
105
Passer rating allowed
73.8
Missed tackles
2
78.390/2969
WRGiovanni Richardson
15 rec · 170 yds · 0 TD
77.089/2069
WRTre Spivey
22 rec · 314 yds · 4 TD
76.1107/2069
RBIsmail Mahdi
72 yds · 0 TD · 6.0 YPC
74.7180/1044
Availability reports · 7
  • Tre Spivey · WRout · 2026-10-04

    Spivey has been out of commission due to ankle injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Daylen Austin · Sout · 2026-09-25

    Austin has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to an undisclosed injury.

  • Giovanni Richardson · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Richardson is managing with an hamstring injury, and it is undetermined if he will face Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Cole Rusk · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Rusk is laid up with an lower leg injury, and it is unknown if he will face Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Cornelius Warren III · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Warren III is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Max Harris · LBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Harris is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Scotty Brennan · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Brennan is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

Texas Tech
QBWill Hammond
1102 yds · 5 TD · 5 INT
66.1203/729
LBAustin Romaine
33 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.3
Coverage
82.6
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
20
Missed tackles
5
Forced fumbles
0
85.236/1796
TETerrance Carter Jr.
13 rec · 129 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
69.8
Run blocking
83.9
Penalties
0
81.121/1017
LBCorey Platt Jr.
11 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
51.4
Coverage
88.9
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
79.885/1796
RBJ'Koby Williams
373 yds · 3 TD · 5.9 YPC
78.599/1044
CBDavin Martin
13 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.8
Coverage
77.4
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
111
Passer rating allowed
78.7
Missed tackles
1
78.096/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Cameron Dickey · RBout · 2026-10-05

    Dickey is battling with a sprained ankle injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Trey White · LBQues. · 2026-09-26

    White is battling with a knee injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Colorado on Saturday, October 3rd.

  • Amier Boyd · CBQues. · 2026-09-26

    Boyd is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Colorado on Saturday, October 3rd.

  • Terrance Carter Jr. · TEprobable · 2026-09-28

    Carter Jr is nursing a shoulder injury, but he is expected to play against Colorado on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

ARIZ
TTU
vs
Offense
83.4
#46 of 138
QB
66.1
#116 of 138
74.2
#80 of 138
RB
76.2
#64 of 138
74.4
#39 of 138
WR
66.7
#124 of 138
63.4
#101 of 138
TE
81.1
#21 of 138
75.2
#17 of 138
OL
70.9
#47 of 138
Defense
72.0
#86 of 138
DL
75.4
#50 of 138
74.8
#61 of 138
LB
80.1
#21 of 138
70.9
#84 of 138
DB
75.1
#32 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Arizona
opponent
Texas Tech
H+27.0
CIN#59
+14.9A
H+6.5
TCU#36
+17.0H
H+11.7
ASU#65
+22.2H
A+21.0
WVU#86
+22.5H