Passing
No comparison
- ACU offense
- —
- TTU defense
- #30
EPA comparison
—
0.02
#30
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ACU 0.2%99.8% TTU
- Projected margin
- TTU by 46.4
- Projected total
- 60
- 80% outcome range
- TTU 26 to TTU 67
- Win probability
- TTU 99.8%
FinalACU 10 · TTU 33model had +46.4, off by 23.4
Current team profiles
Abilene Christian
Texas TechWhen Abilene Christian has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- ACU offense
- —
- TTU defense
- #22
EPA comparison
—
-0.09
#22
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- ACU offense
- #35
- TTU defense
- #35
Success rates
46%
#35
36%
#35
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#50
-0.06
#17
EPA / play
0.23
#22
1.29
#102
Explosiveness
—
17%
#56
Havoc
When Texas Tech has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- ACU defense
- —
- TTU offense
- #33
EPA comparison
—
0.36
#33
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- ACU defense
- —
- TTU offense
- #42
EPA comparison
—
0.17
#42
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- ACU defense
- #74
- TTU offense
- #42
Success rates
45%
#74
47%
#42
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#99
0.19
#51
EPA / play
0.20
#60
1.15
#105
Explosiveness
—
19%
#126
Havoc
Current key players
Abilene ChristianDBDillon Williams
58 tkl · 5 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.1
- Coverage
- 64.7
- Targets allowed
- 21
- Rec allowed
- 14
- Yards allowed
- 109
- Passer rating allowed
- 79.3
- Missed tackles
- 5
78.959/1765
WRCristian Driver
18 rec · 224 yds · 1 TD
75.264/1229
KHugo Nash
12 punts · 0.0 avg
74.939/416
RBDeonte Dean
127 yds · 3 TD · 4.9 YPC
73.3113/631
LBBoone Morris
27 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.6
- Coverage
- 62.6
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 18
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.3142/1054
WRRaydrian Baltrip
10 rec · 149 yds · 1 TD
71.9112/1229
Texas TechQBWill Hammond
1102 yds · 5 TD · 5 INT
66.1203/729
LBAustin Romaine
33 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.3
- Coverage
- 82.6
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 20
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 0
85.236/1796
TETerrance Carter Jr.
13 rec · 129 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 69.8
- Run blocking
- 83.9
- Penalties
- 0
81.121/1017
LBCorey Platt Jr.
11 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 51.4
- Coverage
- 88.9
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.885/1796
RBJ'Koby Williams
373 yds · 3 TD · 5.9 YPC
78.599/1044
CBDavin Martin
13 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.8
- Coverage
- 77.4
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 111
- Passer rating allowed
- 78.7
- Missed tackles
- 1
78.096/2969
Availability reports · 4
- Cameron Dickey · RBout · 2026-10-05
Dickey is battling with a sprained ankle injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Trey White · LBQues. · 2026-09-26
White is battling with a knee injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Colorado on Saturday, October 3rd.
- Amier Boyd · CBQues. · 2026-09-26
Boyd is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Colorado on Saturday, October 3rd.
- Terrance Carter Jr. · TEprobable · 2026-09-28
Carter Jr is nursing a shoulder injury, but he is expected to play against Colorado on Saturday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ACUAbilene Christian
TTUTexas Tech
vs
Offense
68.1
#80 of 125
QB
Quarterback
66.1
#116 of 138
70.9
#67 of 126
RB
Running backs
76.2
#64 of 138
71.1
#39 of 126
WR
Receivers
66.7
#124 of 138
61.4
#81 of 124
TE
Tight ends
81.1
#21 of 138
62.7
#86 of 125
OL
Offensive line
70.9
#47 of 138
Defense
66.8
#105 of 126
DL
Defensive line
75.4
#50 of 138
67.5
#104 of 126
LB
Linebackers
80.1
#21 of 138
71.0
#69 of 126
DB
Secondary
75.1
#32 of 138