CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
CIN 49.4%50.6% WVU
Projected margin
WVU by 0.3
Projected total
59
80% outcome range
CIN 18 to WVU 19
Win probability
WVU 50.6%

Current team profiles

Cincinnati
West Virginia

When Cincinnati has the ball

Passing

CIN offense
Higher-ranked profile
CIN offense
#45
WVU defense
#130
EPA comparison
0.29
#45
0.44
#130
Pass EPA

Rushing

CIN offense
Higher-ranked profile
CIN offense
#4
WVU defense
#73
EPA comparison
0.31
#4
0.05
#73
Rush EPA

Drive success

CIN offense
Higher-ranked profile
CIN offense
#46
WVU defense
#122
Success rates
46%
#46
46%
#122
Success rate
More metrics
0.29
#21
0.20
#120
EPA / play
1.35
#16
1.27
#93
Explosiveness
12%
#26
16%
#74
Havoc

When West Virginia has the ball

Passing

WVU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CIN defense
#103
WVU offense
#82
EPA comparison
0.27
#103
0.17
#82
Pass EPA

Rushing

WVU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CIN defense
#98
WVU offense
#55
EPA comparison
0.11
#98
0.14
#55
Rush EPA

Drive success

WVU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CIN defense
#100
WVU offense
#73
Success rates
43%
#100
43%
#73
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#98
0.14
#71
EPA / play
1.20
#57
1.30
#32
Explosiveness
16%
#65
13%
#35
Havoc

Current key players

Cincinnati
QBJC French IV
949 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
83.253/729
RBCole Tabb
330 yds · 6 TD · 9.7 YPC
92.72/1044
CBZay Johnson
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
80.1
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
2
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
0
80.755/2969
LBAntwan Peek Jr.
38 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.2
Coverage
74.4
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
42
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
2
76.5149/1796
SMJ Cannon
22 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.8
Coverage
75.0
Targets allowed
22
Rec allowed
13
Yards allowed
194
Passer rating allowed
50.2
Missed tackles
5
75.4179/2969
LBJonathan Thompson
36 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.1
Coverage
70.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
30
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
2
74.5197/1796
Availability reports · 2
  • DaMari Witherspoon · TEQues. · 2026-09-27

    Witherspoon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Arizona on Saturday, October 3th.

  • Giyahni Kontosis · WRprobable · 2026-10-02

    Kontosis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but he is expected to be active against Arizona on Saturday.

West Virginia
QBMichael Hawkins Jr.
836 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
90.025/729
WRKedrick Triplett
1 rec · 27 yds · 1 TD
87.815/2069
WRDJ Epps
14 rec · 393 yds · 4 TD
78.172/2069
RBCam Cook
652 yds · 5 TD · 5.5 YPC
76.9137/1044
DBJaCorey Thomas
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.4
Coverage
76.6
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
3
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
76.9128/2969
DBGeimere Latimer II
21 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.6
Coverage
69.3
Targets allowed
19
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
68
Passer rating allowed
95.9
Missed tackles
6
76.2152/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Martavious Boswell · RBout · 2026-10-10

    Boswell is dealing with a Undisclosed injury, he will miss an extended period.

  • John Neider · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Neider is hampered by an undisclosed injury and he will miss an extended period.

  • Cam Ball · TEout · 2026-10-10

    Ball is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Andre Devine · RBout · 2026-10-10

    Devine is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

CIN
WVU
vs
Offense
83.2
#47 of 138
QB
90.0
#24 of 138
83.7
#17 of 138
RB
75.6
#67 of 138
68.8
#97 of 138
WR
79.6
#12 of 138
70.0
#65 of 138
TE
63.9
#98 of 138
76.4
#11 of 138
OL
66.6
#81 of 138
Defense
67.8
#124 of 138
DL
67.5
#129 of 138
73.7
#73 of 138
LB
72.5
#83 of 138
72.0
#70 of 138
DB
74.7
#38 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Cincinnati
opponent
West Virginia
H-11.9
UTAH#9
-19.6A
H-14.9
TTU#10
-22.5A
A-27.0
ARIZ#25
-21.0H
A-6.4
HOU#13
-3.4H
A-5.3
ISU#56
-3.0A