Passing
CIN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CIN offense
- #45
- ISU defense
- #79
EPA comparison
0.29
#45
0.17
#79
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
CIN 36.7%63.3% ISU
- Projected margin
- ISU by 5.3
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- CIN 13 to ISU 24
- Win probability
- ISU 63.3%
Current team profiles
Cincinnati
Iowa StateWhen Cincinnati has the ball
Rushing
CIN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CIN offense
- #4
- ISU defense
- #63
EPA comparison
0.31
#4
0.03
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
CIN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CIN offense
- #46
- ISU defense
- #73
Success rates
46%
#46
40%
#73
Success rate
More metrics
0.29
#21
0.07
#75
EPA / play
1.35
#16
1.25
#86
Explosiveness
12%
#26
15%
#79
Havoc
When Iowa State has the ball
Passing
ISU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CIN defense
- #103
- ISU offense
- #82
EPA comparison
0.27
#103
0.17
#82
Pass EPA
Rushing
ISU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CIN defense
- #98
- ISU offense
- #63
EPA comparison
0.11
#98
0.12
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
CIN defense
Higher-ranked profile
- CIN defense
- #100
- ISU offense
- #111
Success rates
43%
#100
39%
#111
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#98
0.13
#79
EPA / play
1.20
#57
1.30
#31
Explosiveness
16%
#65
18%
#121
Havoc
Current key players
CincinnatiQBJC French IV
949 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
83.253/729
RBCole Tabb
330 yds · 6 TD · 9.7 YPC
92.72/1044
CBZay Johnson
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 80.1
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 2
- Passer rating allowed
- 56.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
80.755/2969
LBAntwan Peek Jr.
38 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.2
- Coverage
- 74.4
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 42
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 2
76.5149/1796
SMJ Cannon
22 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.8
- Coverage
- 75.0
- Targets allowed
- 22
- Rec allowed
- 13
- Yards allowed
- 194
- Passer rating allowed
- 50.2
- Missed tackles
- 5
75.4179/2969
LBJonathan Thompson
36 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.1
- Coverage
- 70.0
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 30
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 2
74.5197/1796
Availability reports · 2
- DaMari Witherspoon · TEQues. · 2026-09-27
Witherspoon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Arizona on Saturday, October 3th.
- Giyahni Kontosis · WRprobable · 2026-10-02
Kontosis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but he is expected to be active against Arizona on Saturday.
Iowa StateQBConnor Moberly
20 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
63.4234/729
RBAiden Flora
594 yds · 6 TD · 8.1 YPC
91.04/1044
CBBeni Ngoyi
7 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.7
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 90
- Passer rating allowed
- 62.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
82.540/2969
CBDavid Coffey
13 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.9
- Coverage
- 80.9
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 51
- Passer rating allowed
- 59.3
- Missed tackles
- 3
79.866/2969
LBTristan Exline
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.7
- Coverage
- 63.1
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.590/1796
SDrew Surges
13 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.5
- Coverage
- 76.1
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 50
- Passer rating allowed
- 101.4
- Missed tackles
- 4
74.8202/2969
Availability reports · 8
- Carter Pabst · WRout · 2026-10-03
Pabst is sidelined due to knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Jordyn Bailey · WRout · 2026-09-01
Bailey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear when he will return.
- Dominic Overby · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Overby is dealing with an Knee injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Caden Crawford · DLQues. · 2026-10-10
Crawford is hampered due to an undisclosed injury , and it is unclear if he will play against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Jaheim Singletary · CBQues. · 2026-10-10
Singletary is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Rylan Barnes · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Barnes is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Easton Miller · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Miller is dealing with a Undisclosed injury, but he is expected to suit up against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Luke Galer · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Galer is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
CINCincinnati
ISUIowa State
vs
Offense
83.2
#47 of 138
QB
Quarterback
63.4
#124 of 138
83.7
#17 of 138
RB
Running backs
81.6
#25 of 138
68.8
#97 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.0
#63 of 138
70.0
#65 of 138
TE
Tight ends
59.6
#124 of 138
76.4
#11 of 138
OL
Offensive line
70.2
#51 of 138
Defense
67.8
#124 of 138
DL
Defensive line
78.3
#22 of 138
73.7
#73 of 138
LB
Linebackers
73.3
#77 of 138
72.0
#70 of 138
DB
Secondary
76.8
#19 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Cincinnati
opponent
Iowa State
Aaway-27.0
ARIZArizona#25-7.1Aaway
Aaway-0.3
WVUWest Virginia#86+3.0Hhome
Aaway-10.9
BYUBYU#18-14.0Aaway
Hhome+5.0
KSUKansas State#37+2.4Hhome
Hhome-11.9
UTAHUtah#9-14.0Hhome