Passing
CIN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CIN offense
- #45
- HOU defense
- #93
EPA comparison
0.29
#45
0.22
#93
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
CIN 33.8%66.2% HOU
- Projected margin
- HOU by 6.4
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- CIN 12 to HOU 25
- Win probability
- HOU 66.2%
Current team profiles
Cincinnati
HoustonWhen Cincinnati has the ball
Rushing
CIN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CIN offense
- #4
- HOU defense
- #33
EPA comparison
0.31
#4
-0.05
#33
Rush EPA
Drive success
CIN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CIN offense
- #46
- HOU defense
- #55
Success rates
46%
#46
39%
#55
Success rate
More metrics
0.29
#21
0.09
#84
EPA / play
1.35
#16
1.32
#111
Explosiveness
12%
#26
20%
#19
Havoc
When Houston has the ball
Passing
HOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CIN defense
- #103
- HOU offense
- #6
EPA comparison
0.27
#103
0.55
#6
Pass EPA
Rushing
HOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CIN defense
- #98
- HOU offense
- #21
EPA comparison
0.11
#98
0.23
#21
Rush EPA
Drive success
HOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CIN defense
- #100
- HOU offense
- #2
Success rates
43%
#100
55%
#2
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#98
0.36
#5
EPA / play
1.20
#57
1.09
#127
Explosiveness
16%
#65
10%
#7
Havoc
Current key players
CincinnatiQBJC French IV
949 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
83.253/729
RBCole Tabb
330 yds · 6 TD · 9.7 YPC
92.72/1044
CBZay Johnson
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 80.1
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 2
- Passer rating allowed
- 56.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
80.755/2969
LBAntwan Peek Jr.
38 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.2
- Coverage
- 74.4
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 42
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 2
76.5149/1796
SMJ Cannon
22 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.8
- Coverage
- 75.0
- Targets allowed
- 22
- Rec allowed
- 13
- Yards allowed
- 194
- Passer rating allowed
- 50.2
- Missed tackles
- 5
75.4179/2969
LBJonathan Thompson
36 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.1
- Coverage
- 70.0
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 30
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 2
74.5197/1796
Availability reports · 2
- DaMari Witherspoon · TEQues. · 2026-09-27
Witherspoon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Arizona on Saturday, October 3th.
- Giyahni Kontosis · WRprobable · 2026-10-02
Kontosis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but he is expected to be active against Arizona on Saturday.
HoustonQBLuke Carney
— yds · — TD · — INT
90.420/729
WRJack Newhouse
— rec · — yds · — TD
92.44/2069
LBChristian Brathwaite
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.0
- Coverage
- 72.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
91.17/1796
RBJohn Hebert
65 yds · 1 TD · 13.0 YPC
88.715/1044
TEWyatt Herbel
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 83.4
- Penalties
- 0
88.65/1017
DBJalen Mayo
19 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.2
- Coverage
- 78.7
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 158
- Passer rating allowed
- 74.5
- Missed tackles
- 3
83.832/2969
Availability reports · 6
- John Hebert · RBout · 2026-10-05
Hebert is laid up with a lower leg injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Muizz Tounkara · WRout · 2026-08-11
Tounkara is nursing with a foot injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Jacory Thurman · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Thurman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jeffrey Strozier Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Strozier is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will suit up against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th
- Evan Noel · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Noel is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
- JayShon Ridgle · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Ridgle is dealing with undisclosed injury, it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
CINCincinnati
HOUHouston
vs
Offense
83.2
#47 of 138
QB
Quarterback
90.4
#19 of 138
83.7
#17 of 138
RB
Running backs
87.3
#4 of 138
68.8
#97 of 138
WR
Receivers
77.3
#22 of 138
70.0
#65 of 138
TE
Tight ends
88.6
#5 of 138
76.4
#11 of 138
OL
Offensive line
76.2
#12 of 138
Defense
67.8
#124 of 138
DL
Defensive line
80.3
#15 of 138
73.7
#73 of 138
LB
Linebackers
77.6
#40 of 138
72.0
#70 of 138
DB
Secondary
72.8
#58 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Cincinnati
opponent
Houston
Hhome+5.0
KSUKansas State#37+19.0Aaway
Hhome-14.9
TTUTexas Tech#10-2.0Aaway
Aaway-0.3
WVUWest Virginia#86+3.4Aaway
Hhome-11.9
UTAHUtah#9-13.6Aaway
Hhome+11.6
COLOColorado#84+10.0Aaway