CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
CIN 24.0%76.0% BYU
Projected margin
BYU by 10.9
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
CIN 8 to BYU 30
Win probability
BYU 76.0%

Current team profiles

Cincinnati
BYU

When Cincinnati has the ball

Passing

BYU defense
Higher-ranked profile
CIN offense
#45
BYU defense
#16
EPA comparison
0.29
#45
-0.02
#16
Pass EPA

Rushing

CIN offense
Higher-ranked profile
CIN offense
#4
BYU defense
#18
EPA comparison
0.31
#4
-0.10
#18
Rush EPA

Drive success

BYU defense
Higher-ranked profile
CIN offense
#46
BYU defense
#32
Success rates
46%
#46
35%
#32
Success rate
More metrics
0.29
#21
-0.08
#13
EPA / play
1.35
#16
1.18
#48
Explosiveness
12%
#26
20%
#17
Havoc

When BYU has the ball

Passing

BYU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CIN defense
#103
BYU offense
#70
EPA comparison
0.27
#103
0.23
#70
Pass EPA

Rushing

BYU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CIN defense
#98
BYU offense
#1
EPA comparison
0.11
#98
0.36
#1
Rush EPA

Drive success

BYU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CIN defense
#100
BYU offense
#7
Success rates
43%
#100
52%
#7
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#98
0.30
#16
EPA / play
1.20
#57
1.18
#96
Explosiveness
16%
#65
8%
#2
Havoc

Current key players

Cincinnati
QBJC French IV
949 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
83.253/729
RBCole Tabb
330 yds · 6 TD · 9.7 YPC
92.72/1044
CBZay Johnson
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
80.1
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
2
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
0
80.755/2969
LBAntwan Peek Jr.
38 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.2
Coverage
74.4
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
42
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
2
76.5149/1796
SMJ Cannon
22 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.8
Coverage
75.0
Targets allowed
22
Rec allowed
13
Yards allowed
194
Passer rating allowed
50.2
Missed tackles
5
75.4179/2969
LBJonathan Thompson
36 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.1
Coverage
70.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
30
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
2
74.5197/1796
Availability reports · 2
  • DaMari Witherspoon · TEQues. · 2026-09-27

    Witherspoon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Arizona on Saturday, October 3th.

  • Giyahni Kontosis · WRprobable · 2026-10-02

    Kontosis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but he is expected to be active against Arizona on Saturday.

BYU
QBTreyson Bourguet
15 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT
84.448/729
RBLJ Martin
344 yds · 3 TD · 7.8 YPC
87.223/1044
TEWalker Lyons
8 rec · 89 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
66.6
Run blocking
78.4
Penalties
0
80.922/1017
WRLegend Glasker
14 rec · 279 yds · 2 TD
80.553/2069
CBCannon DeVries
14 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.9
Coverage
74.7
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
77
Passer rating allowed
102.4
Missed tackles
0
77.1120/2969
LBCade Uluave
20 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
65.5
Coverage
75.7
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
11
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
0
76.9142/1796
Availability reports · 7
  • LJ Martin · RBout · 2026-10-07

    Martin is managing with an ankle injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Sione Moa · RBout · 2026-09-20

    Moa is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Raider Damuni · Sout · 2026-09-07

    Damuni is out of commission due to a lower body injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Siale Esera · LBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Esera is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will play against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October

  • Andrew Gentry · OGQues. · 2026-10-10

    Gentry is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Brody Laga · KQues. · 2026-10-10

    Laga has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October 1

  • Jacob Nye · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Nye is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

CIN
BYU
vs
Offense
83.2
#47 of 138
QB
84.4
#42 of 138
83.7
#17 of 138
RB
87.2
#6 of 138
68.8
#97 of 138
WR
73.0
#47 of 138
70.0
#65 of 138
TE
80.9
#22 of 138
76.4
#11 of 138
OL
80.6
#3 of 138
Defense
67.8
#124 of 138
DL
76.1
#46 of 138
73.7
#73 of 138
LB
74.5
#64 of 138
72.0
#70 of 138
DB
72.6
#62 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Cincinnati
opponent
BYU
A-27.0
ARIZ#25
+11.0H
A-5.3
ISU#56
+14.0H
H-11.9
UTAH#9
-9.0A