CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 3:30 PM ET
#124Away
Miami (OH)
1-1 · AVR 50.3
31
Final
#37Home
Cincinnati
2-0 · AVR 67.4
35
Forecast win probability
M-OH 2.1%97.9% CIN
Projected margin
CIN by 29.2
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
CIN 7 to CIN 48
Win probability
CIN 97.9%
FinalM-OH 31 · CIN 35model had +29.2, off by 25.2

Current team profiles

Miami (OH)
Cincinnati

When Miami (OH) has the ball

Passing

M-OH offense
Higher-ranked profile
M-OH offense
#24
CIN defense
#103
EPA comparison
0.40
#24
0.27
#103
Pass EPA

Rushing

M-OH offense
Higher-ranked profile
M-OH offense
#81
CIN defense
#98
EPA comparison
0.08
#81
0.11
#98
Rush EPA

Drive success

CIN defense
Higher-ranked profile
M-OH offense
#101
CIN defense
#100
Success rates
40%
#101
43%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#65
0.13
#98
EPA / play
1.39
#9
1.20
#57
Explosiveness
15%
#84
16%
#65
Havoc

When Cincinnati has the ball

Passing

CIN offense
Higher-ranked profile
M-OH defense
#122
CIN offense
#45
EPA comparison
0.36
#122
0.29
#45
Pass EPA

Rushing

CIN offense
Higher-ranked profile
M-OH defense
#41
CIN offense
#4
EPA comparison
-0.01
#41
0.31
#4
Rush EPA

Drive success

CIN offense
Higher-ranked profile
M-OH defense
#108
CIN offense
#46
Success rates
44%
#108
46%
#46
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#106
0.29
#21
EPA / play
1.29
#98
1.35
#16
Explosiveness
13%
#123
12%
#26
Havoc

Current key players

Miami (OH)
QBDavid McComb
1120 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
84.249/729
WRScoop Smith
14 rec · 132 yds · 1 TD
83.632/2069
WRMaleek Huggins
14 rec · 262 yds · 1 TD
80.650/2069
RBLazaro Rogers
104 yds · 1 TD · 5.0 YPC
75.5169/1044
LBChristian McKinney
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.4
Coverage
63.6
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
73.3247/1796
LBGrant Lyons
14 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
66.0
Coverage
59.8
Pressures
13
Pass-rush snaps
122
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
1
72.6270/1796
Availability reports · 10
  • David McComb · QBout · 2026-10-10

    McComb is nursing an upper body injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Thomas Gotkowski · QBout · 2026-08-24

    Gotkowski is battling with an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Eric Karner · TEout · 2026-09-05

    Karner is out of action due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Keith Reynolds · WRout · 2026-09-05

    Reynolds has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Devin Hyatt · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Hyatt is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Christian Ross · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Ross is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Akron on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Brayden Boeing · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Boeing is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Akron on Saturday, October 17th.

  • CJ Castner · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Castner is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Akron on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Noam Butbul · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Butbul is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Akron on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Trey Zvonar · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Zvonar is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Akron on Saturday, October 17th.

Cincinnati
QBJC French IV
949 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
83.253/729
RBCole Tabb
330 yds · 6 TD · 9.7 YPC
92.72/1044
CBZay Johnson
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
80.1
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
2
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
0
80.755/2969
LBAntwan Peek Jr.
38 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.2
Coverage
74.4
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
42
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
2
76.5149/1796
SMJ Cannon
22 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.8
Coverage
75.0
Targets allowed
22
Rec allowed
13
Yards allowed
194
Passer rating allowed
50.2
Missed tackles
5
75.4179/2969
LBJonathan Thompson
36 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.1
Coverage
70.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
30
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
2
74.5197/1796
Availability reports · 2
  • DaMari Witherspoon · TEQues. · 2026-09-27

    Witherspoon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Arizona on Saturday, October 3th.

  • Giyahni Kontosis · WRprobable · 2026-10-02

    Kontosis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but he is expected to be active against Arizona on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

M-OH
CIN
vs
Offense
84.2
#43 of 138
QB
83.2
#47 of 138
70.0
#119 of 138
RB
83.7
#17 of 138
78.2
#16 of 138
WR
68.8
#97 of 138
65.9
#88 of 138
TE
70.0
#65 of 138
71.8
#37 of 138
OL
76.4
#11 of 138
Defense
69.8
#109 of 138
DL
67.8
#124 of 138
71.1
#96 of 138
LB
73.7
#73 of 138
67.5
#121 of 138
DB
72.0
#70 of 138
Common opponents