CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
COLO 22.9%77.1% CIN
Projected margin
CIN by 11.6
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
COLO 7 to CIN 30
Win probability
CIN 77.1%

Current team profiles

Colorado
Cincinnati

When Colorado has the ball

Passing

CIN defense
Higher-ranked profile
COLO offense
#108
CIN defense
#103
EPA comparison
0.09
#108
0.27
#103
Pass EPA

Rushing

CIN defense
Higher-ranked profile
COLO offense
#132
CIN defense
#98
EPA comparison
-0.10
#132
0.11
#98
Rush EPA

Drive success

CIN defense
Higher-ranked profile
COLO offense
#107
CIN defense
#100
Success rates
40%
#107
43%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
-0.01
#125
0.13
#98
EPA / play
1.17
#100
1.20
#57
Explosiveness
17%
#106
16%
#65
Havoc

When Cincinnati has the ball

Passing

CIN offense
Higher-ranked profile
COLO defense
#79
CIN offense
#45
EPA comparison
0.17
#79
0.29
#45
Pass EPA

Rushing

CIN offense
Higher-ranked profile
COLO defense
#12
CIN offense
#4
EPA comparison
-0.14
#12
0.31
#4
Rush EPA

Drive success

COLO defense
Higher-ranked profile
COLO defense
#37
CIN offense
#46
Success rates
37%
#37
46%
#46
Success rate
More metrics
-0.02
#34
0.29
#21
EPA / play
1.20
#57
1.35
#16
Explosiveness
21%
#13
12%
#26
Havoc

Current key players

Colorado
QBIsaac Wilson
443 yds · 2 TD · 3 INT
60.1271/729
DBJah Jah Boyd
12 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
86.0
Coverage
85.7
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
1
88.913/2969
RBTitus Bautista
7 yds · 0 TD · 7.0 YPC
83.745/1044
LBCarson Crawford
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
62.7
Coverage
71.4
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
4
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
77.0141/1796
WRJoseph Williams
32 rec · 454 yds · 5 TD
76.993/2069
DBRJ Johnson
4 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.0
Coverage
79.2
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
76.2153/2969
Availability reports · 7
  • Zach Atkins · TEout · 2026-10-02

    Atkins is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Danny Scudero · WRout · 2026-10-01

    Scudero is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Makari Vickers · CBout · 2026-10-02

    Vickers is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Quentin Gibson · WRQues. · 2026-10-01

    Gibson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the Red-raiders on Saturday.

  • Charlie Williams · TEQues. · 2026-10-01

    Williams is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Damian Henderson II · RBprobable · 2026-10-01

    Henderson II is managing with an undisclosed injury , but it is expected to play against Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • DeAndre Moore Jr. · WRprobable · 2026-10-02

    Moore Jr is managing with an undisclosed injury , but it is expected to play against the Red Raiders on Saturday.

Cincinnati
QBJC French IV
949 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
83.253/729
RBCole Tabb
330 yds · 6 TD · 9.7 YPC
92.72/1044
CBZay Johnson
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
80.1
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
2
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
0
80.755/2969
LBAntwan Peek Jr.
38 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.2
Coverage
74.4
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
42
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
2
76.5149/1796
SMJ Cannon
22 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.8
Coverage
75.0
Targets allowed
22
Rec allowed
13
Yards allowed
194
Passer rating allowed
50.2
Missed tackles
5
75.4179/2969
LBJonathan Thompson
36 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.1
Coverage
70.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
30
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
2
74.5197/1796
Availability reports · 2
  • DaMari Witherspoon · TEQues. · 2026-09-27

    Witherspoon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Arizona on Saturday, October 3th.

  • Giyahni Kontosis · WRprobable · 2026-10-02

    Kontosis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but he is expected to be active against Arizona on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

COLO
CIN
vs
Offense
60.1
#132 of 138
QB
83.2
#47 of 138
81.9
#24 of 138
RB
83.7
#17 of 138
71.8
#64 of 138
WR
68.8
#97 of 138
56.5
#135 of 138
TE
70.0
#65 of 138
71.2
#43 of 138
OL
76.4
#11 of 138
Defense
77.4
#31 of 138
DL
67.8
#124 of 138
74.1
#69 of 138
LB
73.7
#73 of 138
75.0
#34 of 138
DB
72.0
#70 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Colorado
opponent
Cincinnati
H-9.2
KSU#37
+5.0H
H-20.9
UTAH#9
-11.9H
H-22.0
TTU#10
-14.9H
H-10.0
HOU#13
-6.4A