AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 11:00 PM
Away
Western Carolina
—
14p
#51Home
Cincinnati
0-0 · AVR 54.8
43p
WCU 2%98% CIN
Spread
CIN -29.2
Total
57
Moneyline
WCU—CIN—
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Cincinnati
STy Goodwill
76.9128/1427
DBMJ Cannon
74.9156/1427
LBJonathan Thompson
72.1122/878
SJasper Beeler
67.8287/1427
QBJC French IV
67.449/308
WRIsaiah Johnson
64.785/777

Projected margin

80% between 13 and 46
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKCIN +29.295% interval: 6.3 to 52.280% interval: 12.5 to 46+13+46WCU wins 2%CIN wins 98%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ CIN 42–14 WCUCIN 39–39 WCU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesCIN 42–35 WCU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesCIN 46–32 WCU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesCIN 49–28 WCU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesCIN 53–25 WCU neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesCIN 56–21 WCU neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesCIN 60–18 WCU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCIN 63–14 WCU neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesCIN 67–11 WCU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesCIN 35–35 WCU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesCIN 39–32 WCU neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesCIN 42–28 WCU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCIN 46–25 WCU neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesCIN 49–21 WCU neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesCIN 53–18 WCU neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesCIN 56–14 WCU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesCIN 60–11 WCU neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesCIN 63–7 WCU neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesCIN 32–32 WCU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesCIN 35–28 WCU neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesCIN 39–25 WCU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesCIN 42–21 WCU neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesCIN 46–18 WCU neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesCIN 49–14 WCU neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesCIN 53–11 WCU neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesCIN 56–7 WCU neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesCIN 60–4 WCU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesCIN 28–28 WCU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesCIN 32–25 WCU neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesCIN 35–21 WCU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesCIN 39–18 WCU neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesCIN 42–14 WCU neighborhood · ~3.7% of outcomesCIN 46–11 WCU neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesCIN 49–7 WCU neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesCIN 53–4 WCU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesCIN 56–0 WCU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesCIN 25–25 WCU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesCIN 28–21 WCU neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesCIN 32–18 WCU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCIN 35–14 WCU neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesCIN 39–11 WCU neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesCIN 42–7 WCU neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesCIN 46–4 WCU neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesCIN 49–0 WCU neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)CIN 21–21 WCU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesCIN 25–18 WCU neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesCIN 28–14 WCU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCIN 32–11 WCU neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesCIN 35–7 WCU neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesCIN 39–4 WCU neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesCIN 42–0 WCU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)CIN 18–18 WCU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesCIN 21–14 WCU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesCIN 25–11 WCU neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesCIN 28–7 WCU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCIN 32–4 WCU neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesCIN 35–0 WCU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalPKCIN +14CIN +28CIN +42CIN +56margin →