CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
WCU 1.9%98.1% CIN
Projected margin
CIN by 37.9
Projected total
57
80% outcome range
CIN 17 to CIN 60
Win probability
CIN 98.1%
FinalWCU 10 · CIN 62model had +37.9, off by 14.1

Current team profiles

Western Carolina
Cincinnati

When Western Carolina has the ball

Passing

No comparison
WCU offense
—
CIN defense
#103
EPA comparison
—
0.27
#103
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
WCU offense
—
CIN defense
#98
EPA comparison
—
0.11
#98
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
WCU offense
#17
CIN defense
#100
Success rates
48%
#17
43%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
0.22
#15
0.13
#98
EPA / play
0.21
#45
1.20
#57
Explosiveness
—
16%
#65
Havoc

When Cincinnati has the ball

Passing

No comparison
WCU defense
—
CIN offense
#45
EPA comparison
—
0.29
#45
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
WCU defense
—
CIN offense
#4
EPA comparison
—
0.31
#4
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
WCU defense
#70
CIN offense
#46
Success rates
45%
#70
46%
#46
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#52
0.29
#21
EPA / play
0.24
#113
1.35
#16
Explosiveness
—
12%
#26
Havoc

Current key players

Western Carolina
QBLex Thomas
1478 yds · 7 TD · 0 INT
77.454/370
OLSawyer Nelson
Player detail
Pass blocking
79.8
Run blocking
76.6
Penalties
0
78.816/1368
DBAndre Jackson Jr.
28 tkl · 5 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
77.0
Coverage
78.0
Targets allowed
28
Rec allowed
17
Yards allowed
205
Passer rating allowed
107.0
Missed tackles
2
78.863/1765
OLVito Moriana-Sigel
Player detail
Pass blocking
61.4
Run blocking
77.4
Penalties
0
75.239/1368
LBMarco Patierno
17 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
84.9
Coverage
64.9
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
73.3141/1054
DLCaleb Turner-Allen
12 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
61.7
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
104
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
73.2176/1549
Cincinnati
QBJC French IV
949 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
83.253/729
RBCole Tabb
330 yds · 6 TD · 9.7 YPC
92.72/1044
CBZay Johnson
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
80.1
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
2
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
0
80.755/2969
LBAntwan Peek Jr.
38 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.2
Coverage
74.4
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
42
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
2
76.5149/1796
SMJ Cannon
22 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.8
Coverage
75.0
Targets allowed
22
Rec allowed
13
Yards allowed
194
Passer rating allowed
50.2
Missed tackles
5
75.4179/2969
LBJonathan Thompson
36 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.1
Coverage
70.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
30
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
2
74.5197/1796
Availability reports · 2
  • DaMari Witherspoon · TEQues. · 2026-09-27

    Witherspoon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Arizona on Saturday, October 3th.

  • Giyahni Kontosis · WRprobable · 2026-10-02

    Kontosis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but he is expected to be active against Arizona on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

WCU
CIN
vs
Offense
77.4
#43 of 125
QB
83.2
#47 of 138
70.7
#71 of 126
RB
83.7
#17 of 138
66.8
#88 of 126
WR
68.8
#97 of 138
61.7
#78 of 124
TE
70.0
#65 of 138
72.8
#9 of 125
OL
76.4
#11 of 138
Defense
69.7
#75 of 126
DL
67.8
#124 of 138
69.4
#83 of 126
LB
73.7
#73 of 138
73.1
#39 of 126
DB
72.0
#70 of 138
Common opponents