CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 7:30 PM ET
#34Away
Arizona
2-1 · AVR 67.6
34
Final
#84Home
Washington State
1-2 · AVR 56.6
24
Forecast win probability
ARIZ 73.7%26.3% WSU
Projected margin
ARIZ by 9.7
Projected total
45
80% outcome range
ARIZ 30 to WSU 9
Win probability
ARIZ 73.7%
FinalARIZ 34 · WSU 24model had -9.7, off by 0.3

Current team profiles

Arizona
Washington State

When Arizona has the ball

Passing

ARIZ offense
Higher-ranked profile
ARIZ offense
#28
WSU defense
#52
EPA comparison
0.39
#28
0.09
#52
Pass EPA

Rushing

WSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
ARIZ offense
#61
WSU defense
#52
EPA comparison
0.13
#61
0.01
#52
Rush EPA

Drive success

ARIZ offense
Higher-ranked profile
ARIZ offense
#21
WSU defense
#55
Success rates
49%
#21
39%
#55
Success rate
More metrics
0.24
#32
0.01
#45
EPA / play
1.22
#77
1.24
#77
Explosiveness
14%
#52
14%
#107
Havoc

When Washington State has the ball

Passing

ARIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
ARIZ defense
#17
WSU offense
#134
EPA comparison
-0.01
#17
-0.12
#134
Pass EPA

Rushing

ARIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
ARIZ defense
#47
WSU offense
#123
EPA comparison
0.00
#47
-0.07
#123
Rush EPA

Drive success

ARIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
ARIZ defense
#27
WSU offense
#137
Success rates
35%
#27
33%
#137
Success rate
More metrics
-0.04
#28
-0.11
#133
EPA / play
1.42
#131
1.22
#81
Explosiveness
16%
#63
20%
#135
Havoc

Current key players

Arizona
QBNoah Fifita
1398 yds · 13 TD · 3 INT
83.452/729
LBDash Fifita
5 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
56.6
Coverage
71.5
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
22
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
84.743/1796
CBJay'Vion Cole
17 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.0
Coverage
76.6
Targets allowed
27
Rec allowed
14
Yards allowed
105
Passer rating allowed
73.8
Missed tackles
2
78.390/2969
WRGiovanni Richardson
15 rec · 170 yds · 0 TD
77.089/2069
WRTre Spivey
22 rec · 314 yds · 4 TD
76.1107/2069
RBIsmail Mahdi
72 yds · 0 TD · 6.0 YPC
74.7180/1044
Availability reports · 7
  • Tre Spivey · WRout · 2026-10-04

    Spivey has been out of commission due to ankle injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Daylen Austin · Sout · 2026-09-25

    Austin has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to an undisclosed injury.

  • Giovanni Richardson · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Richardson is managing with an hamstring injury, and it is undetermined if he will face Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Cole Rusk · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Rusk is laid up with an lower leg injury, and it is unknown if he will face Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Cornelius Warren III · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Warren III is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Max Harris · LBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Harris is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Scotty Brennan · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Brennan is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

Washington State
QBCaden Pinnick
796 yds · 3 TD · 5 INT
62.5244/729
LBIsaiah Hung
23 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.9
Coverage
77.0
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
78.7102/1796
STrey Ridley
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.5
Coverage
77.0
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
5
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
77.6105/2969
LBGage Jones
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.7
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.3283/1796
WRTank Hawkins
10 rec · 79 yds · 0 TD
72.2192/2069
RBMaxwell Woods
188 yds · 0 TD · 5.7 YPC
71.6268/1044
Availability reports · 4
  • Tony Freeman · WRout · 2026-09-14

    Freeman has been shut down for the remainder of the season with a torn ACL.

  • Hudson Cedarland · TEout · 2026-08-23

    Cedarland is bothered by a leg injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • CJ Toney · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Toney is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Beavers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Ryan McKendry · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    McKendry is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will take the field against the Beavers on Saturday, Oc

Position units

Position-unit comparison

ARIZ
WSU
vs
Offense
83.4
#46 of 138
QB
62.5
#127 of 138
74.2
#80 of 138
RB
68.2
#128 of 138
74.4
#39 of 138
WR
68.0
#109 of 138
63.4
#101 of 138
TE
63.9
#97 of 138
75.2
#17 of 138
OL
60.9
#129 of 138
Defense
72.0
#86 of 138
DL
73.1
#70 of 138
74.8
#61 of 138
LB
73.9
#72 of 138
70.9
#84 of 138
DB
67.8
#119 of 138
Common opponents