CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ARIZ 66.0%34.0% WVU
Projected margin
ARIZ by 6.4
Projected total
57
80% outcome range
ARIZ 28 to WVU 14
Win probability
ARIZ 66.0%
FinalARIZ 52 · WVU 31model had -6.4, off by 14.6

Current team profiles

Arizona
West Virginia

When Arizona has the ball

Passing

ARIZ offense
Higher-ranked profile
ARIZ offense
#28
WVU defense
#130
EPA comparison
0.39
#28
0.44
#130
Pass EPA

Rushing

ARIZ offense
Higher-ranked profile
ARIZ offense
#61
WVU defense
#73
EPA comparison
0.13
#61
0.05
#73
Rush EPA

Drive success

ARIZ offense
Higher-ranked profile
ARIZ offense
#21
WVU defense
#122
Success rates
49%
#21
46%
#122
Success rate
More metrics
0.24
#32
0.20
#120
EPA / play
1.22
#77
1.27
#93
Explosiveness
14%
#52
16%
#74
Havoc

When West Virginia has the ball

Passing

ARIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
ARIZ defense
#17
WVU offense
#82
EPA comparison
-0.01
#17
0.17
#82
Pass EPA

Rushing

ARIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
ARIZ defense
#47
WVU offense
#55
EPA comparison
0.00
#47
0.14
#55
Rush EPA

Drive success

ARIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
ARIZ defense
#27
WVU offense
#73
Success rates
35%
#27
43%
#73
Success rate
More metrics
-0.04
#28
0.14
#71
EPA / play
1.42
#131
1.30
#32
Explosiveness
16%
#63
13%
#35
Havoc

Current key players

Arizona
QBNoah Fifita
1398 yds · 13 TD · 3 INT
83.452/729
LBDash Fifita
5 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
56.6
Coverage
71.5
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
22
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
84.743/1796
CBJay'Vion Cole
17 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.0
Coverage
76.6
Targets allowed
27
Rec allowed
14
Yards allowed
105
Passer rating allowed
73.8
Missed tackles
2
78.390/2969
WRGiovanni Richardson
15 rec · 170 yds · 0 TD
77.089/2069
WRTre Spivey
22 rec · 314 yds · 4 TD
76.1107/2069
RBIsmail Mahdi
72 yds · 0 TD · 6.0 YPC
74.7180/1044
Availability reports · 7
  • Tre Spivey · WRout · 2026-10-04

    Spivey has been out of commission due to ankle injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Daylen Austin · Sout · 2026-09-25

    Austin has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to an undisclosed injury.

  • Giovanni Richardson · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Richardson is managing with an hamstring injury, and it is undetermined if he will face Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Cole Rusk · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Rusk is laid up with an lower leg injury, and it is unknown if he will face Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Cornelius Warren III · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Warren III is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Max Harris · LBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Harris is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Scotty Brennan · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Brennan is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Iowa State on Saturday, October 24th.

West Virginia
QBMichael Hawkins Jr.
836 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
90.025/729
WRKedrick Triplett
1 rec · 27 yds · 1 TD
87.815/2069
WRDJ Epps
14 rec · 393 yds · 4 TD
78.172/2069
RBCam Cook
652 yds · 5 TD · 5.5 YPC
76.9137/1044
DBJaCorey Thomas
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.4
Coverage
76.6
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
3
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
76.9128/2969
DBGeimere Latimer II
21 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.6
Coverage
69.3
Targets allowed
19
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
68
Passer rating allowed
95.9
Missed tackles
6
76.2152/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Martavious Boswell · RBout · 2026-10-10

    Boswell is dealing with a Undisclosed injury, he will miss an extended period.

  • John Neider · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Neider is hampered by an undisclosed injury and he will miss an extended period.

  • Cam Ball · TEout · 2026-10-10

    Ball is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Andre Devine · RBout · 2026-10-10

    Devine is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

ARIZ
WVU
vs
Offense
83.4
#46 of 138
QB
90.0
#24 of 138
74.2
#80 of 138
RB
75.6
#67 of 138
74.4
#39 of 138
WR
79.6
#12 of 138
63.4
#101 of 138
TE
63.9
#98 of 138
75.2
#17 of 138
OL
66.6
#81 of 138
Defense
72.0
#86 of 138
DL
67.5
#129 of 138
74.8
#61 of 138
LB
72.5
#83 of 138
70.9
#84 of 138
DB
74.7
#38 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Arizona
opponent
West Virginia
H+27.0
CIN#59
+0.3H
H-5.0
UTAH#9
-19.6A
H+6.5
TCU#36
-8.1A
H+7.1
ISU#56
-3.0A
A-13.2
TTU#10
-22.5A