Passing
KU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ASU offense
- #84
- KU defense
- #71
EPA comparison
0.16
#84
0.15
#71
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 12:00 PM ET · neutral site
Forecast win probability
ASU 64.0%36.0% KU
- Projected margin
- ASU by 6.1
- Projected total
- 55
- 80% outcome range
- ASU 27 to KU 12
- Win probability
- ASU 64.0%
FinalASU 24 · KU 17model had -6.1, off by 0.9
Current team profiles
Arizona StateKansasWhen Arizona State has the ball
Rushing
KU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ASU offense
- #88
- KU defense
- #27
EPA comparison
0.06
#88
-0.07
#27
Rush EPA
Drive success
KU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ASU offense
- #67
- KU defense
- #20
Success rates
44%
#67
35%
#20
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#98
-0.03
#30
EPA / play
1.21
#86
1.27
#92
Explosiveness
16%
#88
20%
#19
Havoc
When Kansas has the ball
Passing
KU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ASU defense
- #65
- KU offense
- #55
EPA comparison
0.12
#65
0.27
#55
Pass EPA
Rushing
KU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ASU defense
- #84
- KU offense
- #19
EPA comparison
0.07
#84
0.24
#19
Rush EPA
Drive success
KU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ASU defense
- #49
- KU offense
- #28
Success rates
38%
#49
48%
#28
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#87
0.25
#28
EPA / play
1.31
#105
1.34
#20
Explosiveness
15%
#90
14%
#60
Havoc
Current key players
Arizona StateQBCutter Boley
1040 yds · 10 TD · 3 INT
78.286/729
WRReed Harris
26 rec · 499 yds · 5 TD
88.012/2069
LBIsaiah Iosefa
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.8
- Coverage
- 71.1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
82.361/1796
RBDemarius Robinson
27 yds · 0 TD · 6.8 YPC
80.571/1044
DBCaleb Chester
9 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.0
- Coverage
- 77.8
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 34
- Passer rating allowed
- 86.9
- Missed tackles
- 1
79.176/2969
DBLyrik Rawls
11 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 72.5
- Coverage
- 79.6
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 87
- Passer rating allowed
- 95.4
- Missed tackles
- 2
75.9162/2969
Availability reports · 6
- Lyrik Rawls · CBout · 2026-10-07
Rawls is managing with a leg injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Khamari Anderson · TEout · 2026-09-21
Anderson is sidelined with a leg injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.
- Wade Helton · OGout · 2026-09-18
Helton is sidelined with a leg injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Zyrus Fiaseu · LBout · 2026-08-25
Fiaseu is sidelined with a knee injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Grayson Rigdon · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Rigdon is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Raiders on Saturday, October
- Harry Hassmann · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Hassmann is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Raiders on Saturday, October 17th.
KansasQBChase Jenkins
65 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
93.31/729
LBJaron Willis
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.8
- Coverage
- 71.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.330/1796
WRNik McMillan
14 rec · 256 yds · 2 TD
85.324/2069
LBTrey Lathan
22 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.1
- Coverage
- 83.7
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 9
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
83.554/1796
TEJack Utz
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 84.2
- Penalties
- 0
77.934/1017
RBJalen Dupree
103 yds · 2 TD · 4.9 YPC
77.8120/1044
Availability reports · 7
- Cole Ballard · QBout · 2026-10-02
Ballard is dealing with a shoulder injury, and there is no timetable for return.
- Yasin Willis · RBout · 2026-09-28
Willis has been out of the lineup with an foot injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Justin Thurman · RBout · 2026-08-11
Thurman has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Kory Amachree · RBout · 2026-10-02
Amachree is expected to miss the remainder of the season due to an undisclosed injury.
- Jaylen Mason · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Mason is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jailen Butler · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Butler exited the game with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to be established if he will suit up against Wildcats on Saturday, October
- Carter Moses · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Moses is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ASUArizona State
KUKansas
vs
Offense
78.2
#67 of 138
QB
Quarterback
93.3
#1 of 138
78.6
#43 of 138
RB
Running backs
76.8
#57 of 138
72.8
#51 of 138
WR
Receivers
78.9
#15 of 138
60.5
#114 of 138
TE
Tight ends
77.9
#30 of 138
70.2
#52 of 138
OL
Offensive line
77.5
#8 of 138
Defense
76.2
#44 of 138
DL
Defensive line
89.4
#1 of 138
72.0
#88 of 138
LB
Linebackers
83.2
#10 of 138
73.3
#53 of 138
DB
Secondary
72.4
#66 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Arizona State
opponent
Kansas
Hhome-36.0
BAYBaylor#41-2.7Hhome
Hhome+7.4
OKSTOklahoma State#52-0.1Aaway
Hhome-2.2
KSUKansas State#37-9.7Aaway
Aaway-13.0
BYUBYU#18-9.8Hhome
Aaway-3.8
UCFUCF#48-0.7Hhome