AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 9:00 PM
Away
Morgan State
—
7p
#43Home
Arizona State
0-0 · AVR 57.5
49p
MORG 0%100% ASU
Spread
ASU -41.7
Total
56
Moneyline
MORG—ASU—
Against the market
with itline ASU -41.5

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Arizona State
DBAshton Stamps
85.243/1427
DBJessiah McGrew
78.0115/1427
WROmarion Miller
73.438/777
SAdrian Wilson
73.3172/1427
WRRaiden Vines-Bright
70.951/777
LBMartell Hughes
67.7182/878

also out — key defensive lineman (DL), Nigel Pringle (CB), Z. Fiaseu (LB)

Projected margin

80% between 22 and 58
-14-7+7+14PKASU +41.7MKT95% interval: 14 to 6680% interval: 22 to 58+22+58MORG wins 0%ASU wins 100%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ ASU 49–7 MORGASU 46–32 MORG neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesASU 49–28 MORG neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesASU 53–25 MORG neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesASU 56–21 MORG neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesASU 60–18 MORG neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesASU 63–14 MORG neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesASU 67–11 MORG neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesASU 70–7 MORG neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesASU 74–4 MORG neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesASU 42–28 MORG neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesASU 46–25 MORG neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesASU 49–21 MORG neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesASU 53–18 MORG neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesASU 56–14 MORG neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesASU 60–11 MORG neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesASU 63–7 MORG neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesASU 67–4 MORG neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesASU 70–0 MORG neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesASU 39–25 MORG neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesASU 42–21 MORG neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesASU 46–18 MORG neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesASU 49–14 MORG neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesASU 53–11 MORG neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesASU 56–7 MORG neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesASU 60–4 MORG neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesASU 63–0 MORG neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)ASU 35–21 MORG neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesASU 39–18 MORG neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesASU 42–14 MORG neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesASU 46–11 MORG neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesASU 49–7 MORG neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesASU 53–4 MORG neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesASU 56–0 MORG neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)ASU 32–18 MORG neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesASU 35–14 MORG neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesASU 39–11 MORG neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesASU 42–7 MORG neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesASU 46–4 MORG neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesASU 49–0 MORG neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)ASU 28–14 MORG neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesASU 32–11 MORG neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesASU 35–7 MORG neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesASU 39–4 MORG neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesASU 42–0 MORG neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)ASU 25–11 MORG neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesASU 28–7 MORG neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesASU 32–4 MORG neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesASU 35–0 MORG neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalASU +14ASU +28ASU +42ASU +56ASU +70margin →