CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
COLO 27.1%72.9% ASU
Projected margin
ASU by 9.6
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
COLO 9 to ASU 28
Win probability
ASU 72.9%

Current team profiles

Colorado
Arizona State

When Colorado has the ball

Passing

ASU defense
Higher-ranked profile
COLO offense
#108
ASU defense
#65
EPA comparison
0.09
#108
0.12
#65
Pass EPA

Rushing

ASU defense
Higher-ranked profile
COLO offense
#132
ASU defense
#84
EPA comparison
-0.10
#132
0.07
#84
Rush EPA

Drive success

ASU defense
Higher-ranked profile
COLO offense
#107
ASU defense
#49
Success rates
40%
#107
38%
#49
Success rate
More metrics
-0.01
#125
0.09
#87
EPA / play
1.17
#100
1.31
#105
Explosiveness
17%
#106
15%
#90
Havoc

When Arizona State has the ball

Passing

COLO defense
Higher-ranked profile
COLO defense
#79
ASU offense
#84
EPA comparison
0.17
#79
0.16
#84
Pass EPA

Rushing

COLO defense
Higher-ranked profile
COLO defense
#12
ASU offense
#88
EPA comparison
-0.14
#12
0.06
#88
Rush EPA

Drive success

COLO defense
Higher-ranked profile
COLO defense
#37
ASU offense
#67
Success rates
37%
#37
44%
#67
Success rate
More metrics
-0.02
#34
0.07
#98
EPA / play
1.20
#57
1.21
#86
Explosiveness
21%
#13
16%
#88
Havoc

Current key players

Colorado
QBIsaac Wilson
443 yds · 2 TD · 3 INT
60.1271/729
DBJah Jah Boyd
12 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
86.0
Coverage
85.7
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
1
88.913/2969
RBTitus Bautista
7 yds · 0 TD · 7.0 YPC
83.745/1044
LBCarson Crawford
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
62.7
Coverage
71.4
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
4
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
77.0141/1796
WRJoseph Williams
32 rec · 454 yds · 5 TD
76.993/2069
DBRJ Johnson
4 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.0
Coverage
79.2
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
76.2153/2969
Availability reports · 7
  • Zach Atkins · TEout · 2026-10-02

    Atkins is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Danny Scudero · WRout · 2026-10-01

    Scudero is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Makari Vickers · CBout · 2026-10-02

    Vickers is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Quentin Gibson · WRQues. · 2026-10-01

    Gibson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the Red-raiders on Saturday.

  • Charlie Williams · TEQues. · 2026-10-01

    Williams is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Damian Henderson II · RBprobable · 2026-10-01

    Henderson II is managing with an undisclosed injury , but it is expected to play against Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • DeAndre Moore Jr. · WRprobable · 2026-10-02

    Moore Jr is managing with an undisclosed injury , but it is expected to play against the Red Raiders on Saturday.

Arizona State
QBCutter Boley
1040 yds · 10 TD · 3 INT
78.286/729
WRReed Harris
26 rec · 499 yds · 5 TD
88.012/2069
LBIsaiah Iosefa
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.8
Coverage
71.1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
82.361/1796
RBDemarius Robinson
27 yds · 0 TD · 6.8 YPC
80.571/1044
DBCaleb Chester
9 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.0
Coverage
77.8
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
34
Passer rating allowed
86.9
Missed tackles
1
79.176/2969
DBLyrik Rawls
11 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.5
Coverage
79.6
Targets allowed
9
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
87
Passer rating allowed
95.4
Missed tackles
2
75.9162/2969
Availability reports · 6
  • Lyrik Rawls · CBout · 2026-10-07

    Rawls is managing with a leg injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Khamari Anderson · TEout · 2026-09-21

    Anderson is sidelined with a leg injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Wade Helton · OGout · 2026-09-18

    Helton is sidelined with a leg injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Zyrus Fiaseu · LBout · 2026-08-25

    Fiaseu is sidelined with a knee injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Grayson Rigdon · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Rigdon is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Raiders on Saturday, October

  • Harry Hassmann · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hassmann is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Raiders on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

COLO
ASU
vs
Offense
60.1
#132 of 138
QB
78.2
#67 of 138
81.9
#24 of 138
RB
78.6
#43 of 138
71.8
#64 of 138
WR
72.8
#51 of 138
56.5
#135 of 138
TE
60.5
#114 of 138
71.2
#43 of 138
OL
70.2
#52 of 138
Defense
77.4
#31 of 138
DL
76.2
#44 of 138
74.1
#69 of 138
LB
72.0
#88 of 138
75.0
#34 of 138
DB
73.3
#53 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Colorado
opponent
Arizona State
A-10.0
BAY#41
-36.0H
A-4.8
OKST#52
+7.4H
H-9.2
KSU#37
-2.2H
H-5.4
UCF#48
-3.8A
H-22.0
TTU#10
-22.2A